Points
69Points expected by the market
70.33Gap
−1.33Yield
+0.2%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.62 | +28.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 20 | 24 | −11.38 | −43.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 20 | 34 | +6.29 | +31.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 8 | +3.14 | +46.8% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.62 | +28.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 14 | 20 | −5.28 | −33.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 12 | +0.56 | −14.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 4 | −6.10 | −68.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 22 | +5.73 | +61.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 8 | +3.14 | +46.8% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Crawley Town · Away5 Aug 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.72 | −1.72 |
| M2 | Colchester · Home12 Aug 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.20 | −0.52 |
| M3 | Stockport · Away15 Aug 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.06 | −0.46 |
| M4 | Morecambe · Away19 Aug 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.66 | −2.12 |
| M5 | Crewe · Home26 Aug 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.03 | −1.09 |
| M6 | Mansfield · Away2 Sep 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.13 | −0.96 |
| M7 | Grimsby · Home9 Sep 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.59 | −1.55 |
| M8 | Harrogate · Home16 Sep 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.84 | −2.39 |
| M9 | Newport County · Away23 Sep 2023 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.78 | −0.61 |
| M10 | Walsall · Home30 Sep 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.76 | −2.37 |
| M11 | Tranmere · Away3 Oct 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.57 | −3.94 |
| M12 | Swindon · Home7 Oct 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.47 | −2.48 |
| M13 | AFC Wimbledon · Away14 Oct 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.95 | −0.52 |
| M14 | Wrexham · Home21 Oct 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.21 | −0.73 |
| M15 | Milton Keynes Dons · Away24 Oct 2023 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.21 | −1.94 |
| M16 | Sutton · Away28 Oct 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.51 | −3.45 |
| M17 | Barrow · Home11 Nov 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.57 | −5.02 |
| M18 | Notts County · Away18 Nov 2023 | L 2-4 | 0 | −0.98 | −6.00 |
| M19 | Accrington · Home25 Nov 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.40 | −4.59 |
| M20 | Forest Green · Away28 Nov 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.54 | −3.06 |
| M21 | Gillingham · Away16 Dec 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.72 | −1.34 |
| M22 | Doncaster · Away22 Dec 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.52 | +0.18 |
| M23 | Morecambe · Home26 Dec 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.95 | −0.77 |
| M24 | Stockport · Home29 Dec 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.25 | −1.02 |
| M25 | Crewe · Away1 Jan 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.50 | −2.52 |
| M26 | Crawley Town · Home6 Jan 2024 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.97 | −4.49 |
| M27 | Colchester · Away13 Jan 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.67 | −5.16 |
| M28 | Salford · Home23 Jan 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.84 | −6.00 |
| M29 | Swindon · Away27 Jan 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.63 | −7.63 |
| M30 | AFC Wimbledon · Home3 Feb 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.55 | −8.18 |
| M31 | Wrexham · Away10 Feb 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.97 | −6.21 |
| M32 | Milton Keynes Dons · Home13 Feb 2024 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.49 | −4.73 |
| M33 | Sutton · Home17 Feb 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.04 | −3.69 |
| M34 | Doncaster · Home5 Mar 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.71 | −4.40 |
| M35 | Accrington · Away9 Mar 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.24 | −3.16 |
| M36 | Forest Green · Home12 Mar 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −2.00 | −5.16 |
| M37 | Mansfield · Home16 Mar 2024 | L 1-5 | 0 | −1.31 | −6.47 |
| M38 | Notts County · Home19 Mar 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.70 | −8.17 |
| M39 | Harrogate · Away23 Mar 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.67 | −9.84 |
| M40 | Tranmere · Home29 Mar 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.42 | −8.42 |
| M41 | Grimsby · Away1 Apr 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.29 | −8.71 |
| M42 | Gillingham · Home6 Apr 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.51 | −7.20 |
| M43 | Salford · Away13 Apr 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.67 | −5.53 |
| M44 | Walsall · Away20 Apr 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.81 | −3.72 |
| M45 | Barrow · Away23 Apr 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.77 | −1.95 |
| M46 | Newport County · Home27 Apr 2024 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.62 | −1.33 |
| Total | 69 | −1.33 | |||