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← League Two 2023-24

Crawley Town

Season 2023-24 · 46 matches played

Last 5LLDDW

Points

70

Points expected by the market

56.46

Gap

+13.54

Yield

+37.4%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.

M1M5M10M15M20M25M30M35M40M45

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds bandMatches playedMPPointsPtsExpectedGapYield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches 1 3 2.10 +0.90 +49.0%
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 7 9 11.84 −2.84 −18.6%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 21 37 27.36 +9.64 +40.0%
Underdog 3.50 or more 17 21 15.16 +5.84 +56.5%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

MOpponentDateResultRes. Odds to winExpectedPointsPtsGap Running total€1 bet
M1 Bradford · Home5 Aug 2023 5 Aug 2023 W 1-0 3.79 1.01 3 +1.99 +1.99 +€2.79
M2 Salford · Away12 Aug 2023 12 Aug 2023 D 1-1 5.98 0.69 1 +0.31 +2.30 −€1.00
M3 Milton Keynes Dons · Home15 Aug 2023 15 Aug 2023 W 2-1 3.21 1.15 3 +1.85 +4.14 +€2.21
M4 Gillingham · Home19 Aug 2023 19 Aug 2023 L 0-1 3.05 1.22 0 −1.22 +2.92 −€1.00
M5 Swindon · Away26 Aug 2023 26 Aug 2023 L 0-6 3.74 1.00 0 −1.00 +1.92 −€1.00
M6 Stockport · Away2 Sep 2023 2 Sep 2023 D 3-3 6.95 0.62 1 +0.38 +2.30 −€1.00
M7 Newport County · Home9 Sep 2023 9 Sep 2023 W 4-1 2.86 1.27 3 +1.73 +4.03 +€1.86
M8 Tranmere · Home16 Sep 2023 16 Sep 2023 W 3-2 1.93 1.72 3 +1.28 +5.31 +€0.93
M9 Grimsby · Away23 Sep 2023 23 Sep 2023 W 3-2 3.61 1.05 3 +1.95 +7.27 +€2.61
M10 Sutton · Home30 Sep 2023 30 Sep 2023 W 3-0 1.94 1.71 3 +1.29 +8.56 +€0.94
M11 Doncaster · Away3 Oct 2023 3 Oct 2023 L 0-2 2.76 1.28 0 −1.28 +7.27 −€1.00
M12 Wrexham · Home7 Oct 2023 7 Oct 2023 L 0-1 3.55 1.03 0 −1.03 +6.24 −€1.00
M13 Crewe · Home21 Oct 2023 21 Oct 2023 L 2-4 2.22 1.53 0 −1.53 +4.72 −€1.00
M14 Walsall · Away24 Oct 2023 24 Oct 2023 D 1-1 3.16 1.16 1 −0.16 +4.56 −€1.00
M15 Forest Green · Away28 Oct 2023 28 Oct 2023 L 1-2 3.18 1.14 0 −1.14 +3.42 −€1.00
M16 Accrington · Home11 Nov 2023 11 Nov 2023 W 3-1 2.29 1.48 3 +1.52 +4.94 +€1.29
M17 Barrow · Away18 Nov 2023 18 Nov 2023 L 0-1 3.93 0.98 0 −0.98 +3.96 −€1.00
M18 Harrogate · Home25 Nov 2023 25 Nov 2023 W 2-1 1.83 1.79 3 +1.21 +5.17 +€0.83
M19 Notts County · Away28 Nov 2023 28 Nov 2023 L 1-3 4.88 0.79 0 −0.79 +4.38 −€1.00
M20 Colchester · Away9 Dec 2023 9 Dec 2023 W 2-1 2.82 1.25 3 +1.75 +6.13 +€1.82
M21 Mansfield · Home16 Dec 2023 16 Dec 2023 L 1-3 3.60 1.03 0 −1.03 +5.10 −€1.00
M22 AFC Wimbledon · Home22 Dec 2023 22 Dec 2023 L 1-2 3.69 1.03 0 −1.03 +4.07 −€1.00
M23 Gillingham · Away26 Dec 2023 26 Dec 2023 W 2-0 3.63 1.04 3 +1.96 +6.03 +€2.63
M24 Milton Keynes Dons · Away29 Dec 2023 29 Dec 2023 L 0-2 4.99 0.79 0 −0.79 +5.24 −€1.00
M25 Swindon · Home1 Jan 2024 1 Jan 2024 W 3-1 2.21 1.52 3 +1.48 +6.72 +€1.21
M26 Bradford · Away6 Jan 2024 6 Jan 2024 W 4-2 5.04 0.79 3 +2.21 +8.93 +€4.04
M27 Salford · Home13 Jan 2024 13 Jan 2024 L 0-1 1.83 1.78 0 −1.78 +7.15 −€1.00
M28 Morecambe · Home3 Feb 2024 3 Feb 2024 L 1-2 1.93 1.71 0 −1.71 +5.44 −€1.00
M29 Crewe · Away10 Feb 2024 10 Feb 2024 L 0-1 3.35 1.09 0 −1.09 +4.35 −€1.00
M30 Walsall · Home13 Feb 2024 13 Feb 2024 D 1-1 2.75 1.29 1 −0.29 +4.07 −€1.00
M31 Forest Green · Home17 Feb 2024 17 Feb 2024 W 2-0 2.30 1.49 3 +1.51 +5.57 +€1.30
M32 AFC Wimbledon · Away20 Feb 2024 20 Feb 2024 W 1-0 4.43 0.87 3 +2.13 +7.70 +€3.43
M33 Accrington · Away24 Feb 2024 24 Feb 2024 W 1-0 2.99 1.21 3 +1.79 +9.49 +€1.99
M34 Morecambe · Away5 Mar 2024 5 Mar 2024 L 0-1 2.96 1.22 0 −1.22 +8.26 −€1.00
M35 Harrogate · Away9 Mar 2024 9 Mar 2024 W 2-1 2.35 1.47 3 +1.53 +9.79 +€1.35
M36 Notts County · Home12 Mar 2024 12 Mar 2024 W 2-1 2.52 1.37 3 +1.63 +11.42 +€1.52
M37 Stockport · Home18 Mar 2024 18 Mar 2024 D 1-1 3.93 0.96 1 +0.04 +11.47 −€1.00
M38 Tranmere · Away23 Mar 2024 23 Mar 2024 W 3-1 3.29 1.11 3 +1.89 +13.36 +€2.29
M39 Doncaster · Home29 Mar 2024 29 Mar 2024 L 0-2 2.19 1.55 0 −1.55 +11.80 −€1.00
M40 Newport County · Away1 Apr 2024 1 Apr 2024 W 4-0 2.56 1.37 3 +1.63 +13.43 +€1.56
M41 Mansfield · Away6 Apr 2024 6 Apr 2024 W 4-1 6.11 0.66 3 +2.34 +15.77 +€5.11
M42 Wrexham · Away9 Apr 2024 9 Apr 2024 L 1-4 4.78 0.81 0 −0.81 +14.96 −€1.00
M43 Colchester · Home13 Apr 2024 13 Apr 2024 L 2-3 2.13 1.58 0 −1.58 +13.37 −€1.00
M44 Barrow · Home16 Apr 2024 16 Apr 2024 D 1-1 2.30 1.50 1 −0.50 +12.87 −€1.00
M45 Sutton · Away20 Apr 2024 20 Apr 2024 D 2-2 2.87 1.24 1 −0.24 +12.63 −€1.00
M46 Grimsby · Home27 Apr 2024 27 Apr 2024 W 2-0 1.49 2.10 3 +0.90 +13.54 +€0.49
Total 56.46 70 +13.54 +€17.20