Points
71Points expected by the market
58.78Gap
+12.22Yield
+25.5%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 17 | −1.79 | −11.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 23 | 37 | +7.53 | +19.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 12 | 17 | +6.47 | +71.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 14 | −3.24 | −24.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 23 | +8.63 | +73.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 1 | −0.92 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.45 | +119.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 14 | −1.09 | −30.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 10 | 16 | +7.39 | +105.2% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Mansfield · Home5 Aug 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.05 | +0.05 |
| M2 | Swindon · Away12 Aug 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.08 | +0.12 |
| M3 | Newport County · Home15 Aug 2023 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.80 | +1.93 |
| M4 | Walsall · Home19 Aug 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.38 | +1.55 |
| M5 | Bradford · Away26 Aug 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.80 | +0.75 |
| M6 | Milton Keynes Dons · Home2 Sep 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.77 | +2.53 |
| M7 | Forest Green · Away9 Sep 2023 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.82 | +4.35 |
| M8 | AFC Wimbledon · Away16 Sep 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.08 | +4.43 |
| M9 | Colchester · Home23 Sep 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.53 | +5.95 |
| M10 | Wrexham · Away30 Sep 2023 | D 3-3 | 1 | +0.41 | +6.37 |
| M11 | Gillingham · Home3 Oct 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.62 | +7.98 |
| M12 | Salford · Away7 Oct 2023 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.14 | +6.84 |
| M13 | Tranmere · Home14 Oct 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.30 | +8.14 |
| M14 | Crawley Town · Away21 Oct 2023 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.78 | +9.92 |
| M15 | Stockport · Home24 Oct 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.97 | +8.96 |
| M16 | Harrogate · Away28 Oct 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.45 | +10.40 |
| M17 | Notts County · Home11 Nov 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.83 | +12.23 |
| M18 | Doncaster · Home25 Nov 2023 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.47 | +13.70 |
| M19 | Sutton · Away28 Nov 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.32 | +13.38 |
| M20 | Grimsby · Away9 Dec 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.22 | +12.16 |
| M21 | Accrington · Home16 Dec 2023 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.62 | +11.55 |
| M22 | Barrow · Home22 Dec 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.15 | +10.40 |
| M23 | Walsall · Away26 Dec 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.15 | +9.24 |
| M24 | Newport County · Away29 Dec 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.20 | +9.04 |
| M25 | Bradford · Home1 Jan 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.77 | +10.81 |
| M26 | Mansfield · Away6 Jan 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.40 | +13.21 |
| M27 | Swindon · Home13 Jan 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.28 | +14.49 |
| M28 | Barrow · Away20 Jan 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +2.06 | +16.55 |
| M29 | Salford · Home27 Jan 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.64 | +14.91 |
| M30 | Tranmere · Away3 Feb 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.20 | +14.71 |
| M31 | Crawley Town · Home10 Feb 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.34 | +16.04 |
| M32 | Stockport · Away13 Feb 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +2.31 | +18.35 |
| M33 | Harrogate · Home17 Feb 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.81 | +17.55 |
| M34 | Notts County · Away24 Feb 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.96 | +19.50 |
| M35 | Morecambe · Home2 Mar 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.77 | +17.73 |
| M36 | Doncaster · Away9 Mar 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.31 | +16.42 |
| M37 | Sutton · Home12 Mar 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.14 | +17.56 |
| M38 | Milton Keynes Dons · Away16 Mar 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.03 | +16.53 |
| M39 | AFC Wimbledon · Home23 Mar 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.49 | +16.04 |
| M40 | Gillingham · Away29 Mar 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.08 | +15.96 |
| M41 | Forest Green · Home1 Apr 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.89 | +14.07 |
| M42 | Accrington · Away6 Apr 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.47 | +13.61 |
| M43 | Morecambe · Away9 Apr 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.50 | +15.10 |
| M44 | Grimsby · Home13 Apr 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.57 | +13.54 |
| M45 | Wrexham · Home20 Apr 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.13 | +12.40 |
| M46 | Colchester · Away27 Apr 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.19 | +12.22 |
| Total | 71 | +12.22 | |||