Points
71Points expected by the market
57.79Gap
+13.21Yield
+15.8%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 21 | +4.24 | +38.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 22 | 46 | +17.52 | +79.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 14 | 4 | −8.55 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 18 | +2.96 | +32.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 25 | +10.44 | +98.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 1 | −1.90 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.28 | +93.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 21 | +7.07 | +60.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 11 | 3 | −6.65 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Harrogate · Home5 Aug 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.49 | −1.49 |
| M2 | Newport County · Away12 Aug 2023 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.04 | −2.53 |
| M3 | Mansfield · Home15 Aug 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.05 | −2.48 |
| M4 | Notts County · Home19 Aug 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.02 | −3.50 |
| M5 | Milton Keynes Dons · Away26 Aug 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.85 | −4.35 |
| M6 | Swindon · Home2 Sep 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.20 | −4.56 |
| M7 | Wrexham · Away9 Sep 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.62 | −5.18 |
| M8 | Forest Green · Away16 Sep 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.83 | −3.35 |
| M9 | Gillingham · Home23 Sep 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.76 | −1.59 |
| M10 | Barrow · Away30 Sep 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.08 | −2.67 |
| M11 | Crawley Town · Home3 Oct 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.54 | −1.13 |
| M12 | Stockport · Away7 Oct 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.60 | −1.73 |
| M13 | Sutton · Home14 Oct 2023 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.32 | −0.41 |
| M14 | Tranmere · Away20 Oct 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.60 | +1.19 |
| M15 | Salford · Home24 Oct 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.57 | −0.39 |
| M16 | Grimsby · Home28 Oct 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.44 | +1.05 |
| M17 | AFC Wimbledon · Away11 Nov 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.97 | +0.09 |
| M18 | Crewe · Away25 Nov 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.20 | −1.11 |
| M19 | Colchester · Home28 Nov 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.23 | +0.12 |
| M20 | Accrington · Away9 Dec 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.25 | −0.13 |
| M21 | Morecambe · Home16 Dec 2023 | L 0-5 | 0 | −1.68 | −1.80 |
| M22 | Bradford · Home22 Dec 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.23 | −3.03 |
| M23 | Notts County · Away26 Dec 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.90 | −3.93 |
| M24 | Mansfield · Away29 Dec 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.42 | −3.52 |
| M25 | Milton Keynes Dons · Home1 Jan 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.82 | −1.70 |
| M26 | Harrogate · Away6 Jan 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.32 | −3.02 |
| M27 | Newport County · Home13 Jan 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.61 | −4.63 |
| M28 | Stockport · Home27 Jan 2024 | L 1-5 | 0 | −0.94 | −5.56 |
| M29 | Sutton · Away3 Feb 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.17 | −5.73 |
| M30 | Tranmere · Home10 Feb 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.57 | −4.16 |
| M31 | Salford · Away13 Feb 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.05 | −4.11 |
| M32 | Grimsby · Away17 Feb 2024 | W 5-1 | 3 | +1.90 | −2.21 |
| M33 | AFC Wimbledon · Home24 Feb 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.70 | −0.52 |
| M34 | Walsall · Away2 Mar 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.04 | −1.56 |
| M35 | Bradford · Away5 Mar 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.01 | −1.56 |
| M36 | Crewe · Home9 Mar 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.59 | +0.03 |
| M37 | Swindon · Away16 Mar 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.85 | +1.88 |
| M38 | Forest Green · Home23 Mar 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.35 | +3.23 |
| M39 | Crawley Town · Away29 Mar 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.82 | +5.05 |
| M40 | Wrexham · Home2 Apr 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.92 | +6.97 |
| M41 | Morecambe · Away6 Apr 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.52 | +8.50 |
| M42 | Walsall · Home9 Apr 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.48 | +9.97 |
| M43 | Accrington · Home13 Apr 2024 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.06 | +11.03 |
| M44 | Barrow · Home20 Apr 2024 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.41 | +12.44 |
| M45 | Colchester · Away23 Apr 2024 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.28 | +13.73 |
| M46 | Gillingham · Away27 Apr 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.52 | +13.21 |
| Total | 71 | +13.21 | |||