Points
42Points expected by the market
52.92Gap
−10.92Yield
−16.5%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 3 | −1.88 | −30.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 26 | 23 | −10.99 | −33.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 17 | 16 | +1.95 | +11.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 3 | −1.88 | −30.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | 14 | −6.57 | −25.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 2 | −2.57 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 9 | −4.42 | −43.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 12 | 14 | +4.52 | +58.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Salford · Home5 Aug 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.23 | −1.23 |
| M2 | Harrogate · Away12 Aug 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.70 | +0.46 |
| M3 | Swindon · Home15 Aug 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.33 | −0.87 |
| M4 | Newport County · Home19 Aug 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.42 | −2.29 |
| M5 | AFC Wimbledon · Away26 Aug 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.13 | −2.16 |
| M6 | Sutton · Away2 Sep 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.92 | −0.23 |
| M7 | Crewe · Home9 Sep 2023 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.55 | −1.78 |
| M8 | Doncaster · Home16 Sep 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.55 | −3.33 |
| M9 | Notts County · Away23 Sep 2023 | L 3-4 | 0 | −0.67 | −4.01 |
| M10 | Morecambe · Home30 Sep 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.64 | −5.65 |
| M11 | Stockport · Away3 Oct 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.62 | −6.27 |
| M12 | Accrington · Away7 Oct 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.19 | −7.46 |
| M13 | Colchester · Home14 Oct 2023 | W 5-0 | 3 | +1.59 | −5.86 |
| M14 | Barrow · Home24 Oct 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.43 | −7.29 |
| M15 | Crawley Town · Home28 Oct 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.40 | −5.90 |
| M16 | Tranmere · Away11 Nov 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.34 | −7.24 |
| M17 | Grimsby · Home18 Nov 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.47 | −7.70 |
| M18 | Walsall · Away25 Nov 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.17 | −7.87 |
| M19 | Bradford · Home28 Nov 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.26 | −9.12 |
| M20 | Milton Keynes Dons · Away16 Dec 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.87 | −9.99 |
| M21 | Gillingham · Home22 Dec 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.32 | −10.32 |
| M22 | Newport County · Away26 Dec 2023 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.16 | −11.48 |
| M23 | Swindon · Away29 Dec 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.15 | −12.63 |
| M24 | AFC Wimbledon · Home1 Jan 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.03 | −12.61 |
| M25 | Salford · Away6 Jan 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.36 | −12.97 |
| M26 | Harrogate · Home13 Jan 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.63 | −14.60 |
| M27 | Gillingham · Away20 Jan 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.14 | −14.46 |
| M28 | Accrington · Home27 Jan 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.43 | −15.89 |
| M29 | Colchester · Away3 Feb 2024 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.33 | −16.22 |
| M30 | Mansfield · Home10 Feb 2024 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.98 | −17.19 |
| M31 | Barrow · Away13 Feb 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.21 | −14.98 |
| M32 | Crawley Town · Away17 Feb 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.23 | −16.22 |
| M33 | Tranmere · Home24 Feb 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.59 | −14.63 |
| M34 | Wrexham · Home27 Feb 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.02 | −14.61 |
| M35 | Grimsby · Away2 Mar 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.09 | −15.70 |
| M36 | Walsall · Home9 Mar 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.86 | −13.84 |
| M37 | Bradford · Away12 Mar 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.25 | −11.59 |
| M38 | Sutton · Home16 Mar 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.44 | −13.03 |
| M39 | Doncaster · Away23 Mar 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.07 | −14.10 |
| M40 | Stockport · Home29 Mar 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.71 | −14.81 |
| M41 | Crewe · Away1 Apr 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +2.14 | −12.67 |
| M42 | Milton Keynes Dons · Home6 Apr 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.93 | −13.60 |
| M43 | Mansfield · Away9 Apr 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.52 | −14.12 |
| M44 | Wrexham · Away13 Apr 2024 | L 0-6 | 0 | −0.52 | −14.64 |
| M45 | Morecambe · Away20 Apr 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.90 | −12.74 |
| M46 | Notts County · Home27 Apr 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.81 | −10.92 |
| Total | 42 | −10.92 | |||