ESEN
← League Two 2023-24

Harrogate

Season 2023-24 · 46 matches played

Last 5LWDLD

Points

63

Points expected by the market

48.95

Gap

+14.05

Yield

+20.3%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.

M1M5M10M15M20M25M30M35M40M45

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds bandMatches playedMPPointsPtsExpectedGapYield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 0 — — — —
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 0 — — — —
Even 2.20 – 3.49 22 30 28.31 +1.69 +10.1%
Underdog 3.50 or more 24 33 20.63 +12.37 +29.6%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

MOpponentDateResultRes. Odds to winExpectedPointsPtsGap Running total€1 bet
M1 Doncaster · Away5 Aug 2023 5 Aug 2023 W 1-0 3.01 1.22 3 +1.78 +1.78 +€2.01
M2 Forest Green · Home12 Aug 2023 12 Aug 2023 L 0-1 2.49 1.41 0 −1.41 +0.37 −€1.00
M3 Tranmere · Away15 Aug 2023 15 Aug 2023 L 0-3 3.45 1.09 0 −1.09 −0.73 −€1.00
M4 Accrington · Away19 Aug 2023 19 Aug 2023 L 1-2 3.43 1.10 0 −1.10 −1.82 −€1.00
M5 Morecambe · Home26 Aug 2023 26 Aug 2023 W 2-0 2.40 1.46 3 +1.54 −0.28 +€1.40
M6 Barrow · Home2 Sep 2023 2 Sep 2023 L 0-1 2.69 1.34 0 −1.34 −1.61 −€1.00
M7 Gillingham · Away9 Sep 2023 9 Sep 2023 L 0-1 4.61 0.88 0 −0.88 −2.50 −€1.00
M8 Bradford · Away16 Sep 2023 16 Sep 2023 D 1-1 4.52 0.89 1 +0.11 −2.39 −€1.00
M9 Salford · Home23 Sep 2023 23 Sep 2023 W 3-2 2.48 1.41 3 +1.59 −0.80 +€1.48
M10 Milton Keynes Dons · Away30 Sep 2023 30 Sep 2023 W 1-0 4.27 0.91 3 +2.09 +1.29 +€3.27
M11 AFC Wimbledon · Home3 Oct 2023 3 Oct 2023 L 0-1 4.16 0.94 0 −0.94 +0.35 −€1.00
M12 Newport County · Away7 Oct 2023 7 Oct 2023 W 2-1 3.91 0.99 3 +2.01 +2.36 +€2.91
M13 Stockport · Home14 Oct 2023 14 Oct 2023 L 1-3 5.83 0.72 0 −0.72 +1.65 −€1.00
M14 Colchester · Away21 Oct 2023 21 Oct 2023 W 2-1 3.58 1.05 3 +1.95 +3.59 +€2.58
M15 Mansfield · Home24 Oct 2023 24 Oct 2023 L 1-4 5.82 0.70 0 −0.70 +2.89 −€1.00
M16 Crewe · Home28 Oct 2023 28 Oct 2023 L 0-1 3.10 1.18 0 −1.18 +1.71 −€1.00
M17 Walsall · Away11 Nov 2023 11 Nov 2023 W 1-0 4.21 0.92 3 +2.08 +3.79 +€3.21
M18 Swindon · Home18 Nov 2023 18 Nov 2023 D 1-1 3.34 1.10 1 −0.10 +3.69 −€1.00
M19 Crawley Town · Away25 Nov 2023 25 Nov 2023 L 1-2 3.96 0.96 0 −0.96 +2.73 −€1.00
M20 Wrexham · Home28 Nov 2023 28 Nov 2023 D 2-2 5.24 0.77 1 +0.23 +2.96 −€1.00
M21 Notts County · Home16 Dec 2023 16 Dec 2023 W 3-1 3.86 0.98 3 +2.02 +4.99 +€2.86
M22 Grimsby · Away23 Dec 2023 23 Dec 2023 W 2-1 4.18 0.93 3 +2.07 +7.06 +€3.18
M23 Accrington · Home26 Dec 2023 26 Dec 2023 W 2-1 2.50 1.40 3 +1.60 +8.66 +€1.50
M24 Tranmere · Home29 Dec 2023 29 Dec 2023 L 0-2 2.61 1.36 0 −1.36 +7.30 −€1.00
M25 Morecambe · Away1 Jan 2024 1 Jan 2024 D 2-2 2.96 1.21 1 −0.21 +7.08 −€1.00
M26 Doncaster · Home6 Jan 2024 6 Jan 2024 W 3-1 2.52 1.40 3 +1.60 +8.69 +€1.52
M27 Forest Green · Away13 Jan 2024 13 Jan 2024 W 2-0 3.38 1.10 3 +1.90 +10.59 +€2.38
M28 Sutton · Away30 Jan 2024 30 Jan 2024 W 2-1 2.67 1.34 3 +1.66 +12.25 +€1.67
M29 Stockport · Away3 Feb 2024 3 Feb 2024 D 1-1 7.40 0.58 1 +0.42 +12.67 −€1.00
M30 Colchester · Home10 Feb 2024 10 Feb 2024 W 1-0 2.20 1.54 3 +1.46 +14.12 +€1.20
M31 Mansfield · Away13 Feb 2024 13 Feb 2024 L 2-9 5.73 0.71 0 −0.71 +13.41 −€1.00
M32 Crewe · Away17 Feb 2024 17 Feb 2024 D 0-0 4.11 0.94 1 +0.06 +13.47 −€1.00
M33 Walsall · Home24 Feb 2024 24 Feb 2024 L 0-2 2.86 1.26 0 −1.26 +12.21 −€1.00
M34 Newport County · Home27 Feb 2024 27 Feb 2024 L 1-4 2.50 1.41 0 −1.41 +10.80 −€1.00
M35 Swindon · Away2 Mar 2024 2 Mar 2024 D 1-1 4.32 0.89 1 +0.11 +10.91 −€1.00
M36 Crawley Town · Home9 Mar 2024 9 Mar 2024 L 1-2 2.86 1.26 0 −1.26 +9.65 −€1.00
M37 Wrexham · Away12 Mar 2024 12 Mar 2024 D 0-0 9.45 0.46 1 +0.54 +10.19 −€1.00
M38 Barrow · Away16 Mar 2024 16 Mar 2024 D 0-0 6.02 0.71 1 +0.29 +10.48 −€1.00
M39 Bradford · Home23 Mar 2024 23 Mar 2024 W 3-0 3.58 1.06 3 +1.94 +12.43 +€2.58
M40 AFC Wimbledon · Away29 Mar 2024 29 Mar 2024 D 1-1 6.43 0.66 1 +0.34 +12.77 −€1.00
M41 Gillingham · Home1 Apr 2024 1 Apr 2024 W 5-1 3.52 1.08 3 +1.92 +14.68 +€2.52
M42 Notts County · Away6 Apr 2024 6 Apr 2024 L 0-3 3.66 1.00 0 −1.00 +13.68 −€1.00
M43 Grimsby · Home9 Apr 2024 9 Apr 2024 W 1-0 3.06 1.20 3 +1.80 +15.48 +€2.06
M44 Sutton · Home13 Apr 2024 13 Apr 2024 D 2-2 2.61 1.36 1 −0.36 +15.12 −€1.00
M45 Milton Keynes Dons · Home20 Apr 2024 20 Apr 2024 L 3-5 3.08 1.17 0 −1.17 +13.95 −€1.00
M46 Salford · Away27 Apr 2024 27 Apr 2024 D 2-2 4.23 0.90 1 +0.10 +14.05 −€1.00
Total 48.95 63 +14.05 +€9.33