Points
78Points expected by the market
70.92Gap
+7.08Yield
+11.2%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 0 | −2.13 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 19 | 43 | +9.17 | +22.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 23 | 29 | −3.28 | −18.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 6 | +3.32 | +206.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 0 | −2.13 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 16 | 37 | +8.13 | +21.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 10 | +1.56 | +12.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 6 | +1.04 | +31.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 17 | 19 | −4.84 | −29.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 6 | +3.32 | +206.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Wrexham · Away5 Aug 2023 | W 5-3 | 3 | +2.15 | +2.15 |
| M2 | Tranmere · Home12 Aug 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.13 | +3.28 |
| M3 | Crawley Town · Away15 Aug 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.57 | +1.71 |
| M4 | Colchester · Away19 Aug 2023 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.63 | +3.34 |
| M5 | Doncaster · Home26 Aug 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.10 | +4.44 |
| M6 | Crewe · Away2 Sep 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.51 | +2.93 |
| M7 | Notts County · Home9 Sep 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.23 | +2.71 |
| M8 | Stockport · Home16 Sep 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.17 | +1.54 |
| M9 | Sutton · Away23 Sep 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.48 | +1.06 |
| M10 | Harrogate · Home30 Sep 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.84 | −0.78 |
| M11 | Walsall · Away3 Oct 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.37 | −1.15 |
| M12 | Gillingham · Away7 Oct 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.14 | −2.29 |
| M13 | Barrow · Home14 Oct 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.66 | −2.95 |
| M14 | Accrington · Away21 Oct 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.27 | −4.22 |
| M15 | Bradford · Home24 Oct 2023 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.49 | −2.73 |
| M16 | Swindon · Home28 Oct 2023 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.48 | −1.25 |
| M17 | Newport County · Away11 Nov 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.54 | −1.78 |
| M18 | Salford · Away25 Nov 2023 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.48 | −0.30 |
| M19 | Grimsby · Home28 Nov 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.79 | −1.09 |
| M20 | Forest Green · Home16 Dec 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.11 | +0.02 |
| M21 | Morecambe · Away23 Dec 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.50 | +1.51 |
| M22 | Colchester · Home26 Dec 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.02 | +2.53 |
| M23 | Crawley Town · Home29 Dec 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.01 | +3.55 |
| M24 | Doncaster · Away1 Jan 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.54 | +2.00 |
| M25 | Tranmere · Away13 Jan 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.60 | +3.61 |
| M26 | Morecambe · Home20 Jan 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.13 | +1.47 |
| M27 | AFC Wimbledon · Home23 Jan 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.45 | +2.92 |
| M28 | Gillingham · Home27 Jan 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.32 | +4.24 |
| M29 | Barrow · Away3 Feb 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.24 | +3.00 |
| M30 | Accrington · Home10 Feb 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.12 | +4.11 |
| M31 | Bradford · Away13 Feb 2024 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.20 | +2.91 |
| M32 | Swindon · Away17 Feb 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.52 | +4.44 |
| M33 | Wrexham · Home20 Feb 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.58 | +3.85 |
| M34 | Newport County · Home24 Feb 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.07 | +4.92 |
| M35 | AFC Wimbledon · Away2 Mar 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.32 | +3.61 |
| M36 | Mansfield · Away5 Mar 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.11 | +5.72 |
| M37 | Salford · Home9 Mar 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.18 | +6.90 |
| M38 | Grimsby · Away12 Mar 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.48 | +5.42 |
| M39 | Crewe · Home16 Mar 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.29 | +6.72 |
| M40 | Stockport · Away23 Mar 2024 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.94 | +5.77 |
| M41 | Walsall · Home29 Mar 2024 | W 5-0 | 3 | +1.27 | +7.05 |
| M42 | Notts County · Away1 Apr 2024 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.49 | +6.55 |
| M43 | Forest Green · Away6 Apr 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.18 | +7.73 |
| M44 | Mansfield · Home13 Apr 2024 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.46 | +6.27 |
| M45 | Harrogate · Away20 Apr 2024 | W 5-3 | 3 | +1.43 | +7.70 |
| M46 | Sutton · Home27 Apr 2024 | D 4-4 | 1 | −0.62 | +7.08 |
| Total | 78 | +7.08 | |||