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← League Two 2023-24

Morecambe

Season 2023-24 · 46 matches played

Last 5LLLLD

Points

61

Points expected by the market

51.08

Gap

+9.92

Yield

+22.5%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.

M1M5M10M15M20M25M30M35M40M45

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds bandMatches playedMPPointsPtsExpectedGapYield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 0 — — — —
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches 3 3 4.90 −1.90 −32.7%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 21 31 26.85 +4.15 +25.0%
Underdog 3.50 or more 22 27 19.33 +7.67 +27.7%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

MOpponentDateResultRes. Odds to winExpectedPointsPtsGap Running total€1 bet
M1 Walsall · Home5 Aug 2023 5 Aug 2023 W 2-1 2.62 1.37 3 +1.63 +1.63 +€1.62
M2 Mansfield · Away12 Aug 2023 12 Aug 2023 L 0-3 5.65 0.72 0 −0.72 +0.91 −€1.00
M3 Notts County · Home15 Aug 2023 15 Aug 2023 D 0-0 3.96 0.96 1 +0.04 +0.95 −€1.00
M4 Bradford · Home19 Aug 2023 19 Aug 2023 W 3-0 3.57 1.07 3 +1.93 +2.89 +€2.57
M5 Harrogate · Away26 Aug 2023 26 Aug 2023 L 0-2 2.87 1.26 0 −1.26 +1.63 −€1.00
M6 Salford · Home2 Sep 2023 2 Sep 2023 W 1-0 2.90 1.25 3 +1.75 +3.38 +€1.90
M7 Gillingham · Away16 Sep 2023 16 Sep 2023 L 1-2 4.80 0.85 0 −0.85 +2.52 −€1.00
M8 Swindon · Home23 Sep 2023 23 Sep 2023 D 2-2 3.48 1.07 1 −0.07 +2.46 −€1.00
M9 Forest Green · Away30 Sep 2023 30 Sep 2023 W 2-1 3.46 1.08 3 +1.92 +4.37 +€2.46
M10 Accrington · Home3 Oct 2023 3 Oct 2023 D 1-1 2.30 1.50 1 −0.50 +3.87 −€1.00
M11 Colchester · Away7 Oct 2023 7 Oct 2023 W 3-1 3.57 1.05 3 +1.95 +5.82 +€2.57
M12 Sutton · Away21 Oct 2023 21 Oct 2023 W 3-2 2.80 1.28 3 +1.72 +7.54 +€1.80
M13 Tranmere · Home24 Oct 2023 24 Oct 2023 W 1-0 2.02 1.66 3 +1.34 +8.88 +€1.02
M14 AFC Wimbledon · Home28 Oct 2023 28 Oct 2023 W 4-1 3.20 1.16 3 +1.84 +10.72 +€2.20
M15 Barrow · Away31 Oct 2023 31 Oct 2023 L 0-1 3.59 1.07 0 −1.07 +9.66 −€1.00
M16 Grimsby · Away11 Nov 2023 11 Nov 2023 L 2-3 3.25 1.15 0 −1.15 +8.51 −€1.00
M17 Wrexham · Away25 Nov 2023 25 Nov 2023 L 0-6 6.82 0.61 0 −0.61 +7.90 −€1.00
M18 Newport County · Home28 Nov 2023 28 Nov 2023 L 1-2 2.21 1.55 0 −1.55 +6.35 −€1.00
M19 Stockport · Home9 Dec 2023 9 Dec 2023 D 1-1 4.61 0.86 1 +0.14 +6.50 −€1.00
M20 Doncaster · Away16 Dec 2023 16 Dec 2023 W 5-0 3.53 1.06 3 +1.94 +8.44 +€2.53
M21 Milton Keynes Dons · Home23 Dec 2023 23 Dec 2023 L 1-3 2.96 1.22 0 −1.22 +7.22 −€1.00
M22 Bradford · Away26 Dec 2023 26 Dec 2023 D 2-2 5.21 0.79 1 +0.21 +7.42 −€1.00
M23 Notts County · Away29 Dec 2023 29 Dec 2023 L 0-5 5.12 0.77 0 −0.77 +6.65 −€1.00
M24 Harrogate · Home1 Jan 2024 1 Jan 2024 D 2-2 2.24 1.52 1 −0.52 +6.13 −€1.00
M25 Mansfield · Home13 Jan 2024 13 Jan 2024 D 1-1 5.86 0.71 1 +0.29 +6.42 −€1.00
M26 Milton Keynes Dons · Away20 Jan 2024 20 Jan 2024 W 2-1 6.30 0.66 3 +2.34 +8.77 +€5.30
M27 Colchester · Home27 Jan 2024 27 Jan 2024 L 0-1 2.09 1.61 0 −1.61 +7.15 −€1.00
M28 Crawley Town · Away3 Feb 2024 3 Feb 2024 W 2-1 3.54 1.04 3 +1.96 +9.11 +€2.54
M29 Sutton · Home10 Feb 2024 10 Feb 2024 W 1-0 2.34 1.48 3 +1.52 +10.63 +€1.34
M30 Tranmere · Away13 Feb 2024 13 Feb 2024 W 3-2 3.57 1.05 3 +1.95 +12.58 +€2.57
M31 AFC Wimbledon · Away17 Feb 2024 17 Feb 2024 D 1-1 4.37 0.88 1 +0.12 +12.69 −€1.00
M32 Walsall · Away20 Feb 2024 20 Feb 2024 L 0-3 3.70 1.03 0 −1.03 +11.66 −€1.00
M33 Grimsby · Home24 Feb 2024 24 Feb 2024 D 1-1 2.38 1.46 1 −0.46 +11.20 −€1.00
M34 Crewe · Away2 Mar 2024 2 Mar 2024 W 3-2 4.01 0.97 3 +2.03 +13.24 +€3.01
M35 Crawley Town · Home5 Mar 2024 5 Mar 2024 W 1-0 2.29 1.50 3 +1.50 +14.73 +€1.29
M36 Wrexham · Home9 Mar 2024 9 Mar 2024 L 1-3 4.21 0.92 0 −0.92 +13.81 −€1.00
M37 Newport County · Away12 Mar 2024 12 Mar 2024 L 3-5 3.21 1.16 0 −1.16 +12.65 −€1.00
M38 Salford · Away17 Mar 2024 17 Mar 2024 L 1-3 3.76 1.01 0 −1.01 +11.64 −€1.00
M39 Gillingham · Home23 Mar 2024 23 Mar 2024 L 2-3 3.39 1.12 0 −1.12 +10.52 −€1.00
M40 Accrington · Away29 Mar 2024 29 Mar 2024 W 2-1 3.17 1.15 3 +1.85 +12.37 +€2.17
M41 Barrow · Home1 Apr 2024 1 Apr 2024 W 2-1 3.47 1.09 3 +1.91 +14.29 +€2.47
M42 Doncaster · Home6 Apr 2024 6 Apr 2024 L 0-3 2.87 1.25 0 −1.25 +13.03 −€1.00
M43 Crewe · Home9 Apr 2024 9 Apr 2024 L 0-1 2.96 1.22 0 −1.22 +11.81 −€1.00
M44 Stockport · Away13 Apr 2024 13 Apr 2024 L 0-2 8.06 0.54 0 −0.54 +11.27 −€1.00
M45 Forest Green · Home20 Apr 2024 20 Apr 2024 L 1-2 2.08 1.63 0 −1.63 +9.65 −€1.00
M46 Swindon · Away27 Apr 2024 27 Apr 2024 D 3-3 5.30 0.73 1 +0.27 +9.92 −€1.00
Total 51.08 61 +9.92 +€10.36