Points
42Points expected by the market
53.00Gap
−11.00Yield
−30.3%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 7 | +0.53 | +4.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 19 | 18 | −7.88 | −55.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 23 | 17 | −3.66 | −15.8% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 7 | +0.53 | +4.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 13 | −6.76 | −60.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 4 | −0.81 | −26.4% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 5 | −1.12 | −40.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 18 | 13 | −2.85 | −12.9% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Notts County · Home5 Aug 2023 | W 5-1 | 3 | +1.98 | +1.98 |
| M2 | Barrow · Away12 Aug 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.11 | +0.86 |
| M3 | Gillingham · Home15 Aug 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.46 | −0.59 |
| M4 | AFC Wimbledon · Home19 Aug 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.44 | −2.03 |
| M5 | Newport County · Away26 Aug 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.03 | −3.06 |
| M6 | Forest Green · Home2 Sep 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.64 | −4.70 |
| M7 | Swindon · Away9 Sep 2023 | L 3-5 | 0 | −0.88 | −5.59 |
| M8 | Accrington · Away16 Sep 2023 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.04 | −6.63 |
| M9 | Milton Keynes Dons · Home23 Sep 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.25 | −6.88 |
| M10 | Crawley Town · Away30 Sep 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.03 | −7.91 |
| M11 | Salford · Home3 Oct 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.49 | −9.40 |
| M12 | Walsall · Home7 Oct 2023 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.61 | −7.79 |
| M13 | Doncaster · Away14 Oct 2023 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.05 | −8.85 |
| M14 | Morecambe · Home21 Oct 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.44 | −10.29 |
| M15 | Wrexham · Away24 Oct 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.57 | −10.86 |
| M16 | Bradford · Home28 Oct 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.79 | −9.07 |
| M17 | Colchester · Away11 Nov 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.05 | −9.11 |
| M18 | Tranmere · Home18 Nov 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.60 | −9.71 |
| M19 | Grimsby · Away25 Nov 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.01 | −9.73 |
| M20 | Crewe · Home28 Nov 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.41 | −10.14 |
| M21 | Stockport · Away16 Dec 2023 | L 0-8 | 0 | −0.62 | −10.76 |
| M22 | Mansfield · Home23 Dec 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.78 | −11.55 |
| M23 | AFC Wimbledon · Away26 Dec 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.43 | −9.11 |
| M24 | Gillingham · Away29 Dec 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.97 | −10.08 |
| M25 | Newport County · Home1 Jan 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.40 | −10.48 |
| M26 | Barrow · Home13 Jan 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.05 | −10.53 |
| M27 | Mansfield · Away23 Jan 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.48 | −10.05 |
| M28 | Walsall · Away27 Jan 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.17 | −9.88 |
| M29 | Harrogate · Home30 Jan 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.38 | −11.26 |
| M30 | Doncaster · Home3 Feb 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.53 | −11.79 |
| M31 | Morecambe · Away10 Feb 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.24 | −13.03 |
| M32 | Wrexham · Home13 Feb 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.07 | −14.10 |
| M33 | Bradford · Away17 Feb 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.79 | −14.89 |
| M34 | Colchester · Home24 Feb 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.39 | −15.28 |
| M35 | Notts County · Away27 Feb 2024 | W 4-3 | 3 | +2.14 | −13.15 |
| M36 | Tranmere · Away2 Mar 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.07 | −14.22 |
| M37 | Grimsby · Home9 Mar 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.46 | −14.68 |
| M38 | Crewe · Away12 Mar 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.89 | −15.57 |
| M39 | Forest Green · Away16 Mar 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.75 | −13.82 |
| M40 | Accrington · Home23 Mar 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.40 | −12.42 |
| M41 | Salford · Away29 Mar 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.94 | −10.48 |
| M42 | Swindon · Home1 Apr 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.37 | −9.10 |
| M43 | Stockport · Home6 Apr 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.89 | −9.99 |
| M44 | Harrogate · Away13 Apr 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.36 | −10.35 |
| M45 | Crawley Town · Home20 Apr 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.50 | −10.86 |
| M46 | Milton Keynes Dons · Away27 Apr 2024 | D 4-4 | 1 | −0.15 | −11.00 |
| Total | 42 | −11.00 | |||