Points
54Points expected by the market
62.25Gap
−8.25Yield
−22.2%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 15 | 24 | −2.68 | −27.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 20 | 24 | −1.46 | +0.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 11 | 6 | −4.10 | −56.4% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 13 | 22 | −1.36 | −16.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 16 | +4.58 | +60.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −0.96 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 2 | −1.32 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 8 | −6.05 | −48.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 10 | 6 | −3.15 | −52.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Crewe · Home12 Aug 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.82 | −0.82 |
| M2 | Forest Green · Away15 Aug 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.61 | +0.80 |
| M3 | Wrexham · Away19 Aug 2023 | D 5-5 | 1 | +0.08 | +0.88 |
| M4 | Crawley Town · Home26 Aug 2023 | W 6-0 | 3 | +1.25 | +2.13 |
| M5 | Doncaster · Away2 Sep 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.53 | +1.60 |
| M6 | Sutton · Home9 Sep 2023 | W 5-3 | 3 | +1.13 | +2.73 |
| M7 | Walsall · Home16 Sep 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.21 | +3.94 |
| M8 | Morecambe · Away23 Sep 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.67 | +3.27 |
| M9 | Grimsby · Home30 Sep 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.13 | +4.40 |
| M10 | Notts County · Away3 Oct 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.02 | +3.39 |
| M11 | Bradford · Away7 Oct 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.19 | +2.20 |
| M12 | Newport County · Home14 Oct 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.06 | +3.26 |
| M13 | Salford · Away21 Oct 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.54 | +2.72 |
| M14 | Gillingham · Home24 Oct 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.80 | +0.92 |
| M15 | Milton Keynes Dons · Away28 Oct 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.22 | −0.30 |
| M16 | Colchester · Away7 Nov 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.49 | −1.79 |
| M17 | Stockport · Home11 Nov 2023 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.15 | −2.94 |
| M18 | Harrogate · Away18 Nov 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.65 | −3.59 |
| M19 | Mansfield · Home25 Nov 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.91 | −1.68 |
| M20 | Accrington · Away28 Nov 2023 | W 4-3 | 3 | +1.84 | +0.16 |
| M21 | AFC Wimbledon · Away9 Dec 2023 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.91 | −0.75 |
| M22 | Barrow · Home16 Dec 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.37 | −2.12 |
| M23 | Tranmere · Away23 Dec 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.12 | −3.24 |
| M24 | Wrexham · Home26 Dec 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.96 | −4.20 |
| M25 | Forest Green · Home29 Dec 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.41 | −2.78 |
| M26 | Crawley Town · Away1 Jan 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.22 | −4.01 |
| M27 | Colchester · Home6 Jan 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.58 | −4.59 |
| M28 | Crewe · Away13 Jan 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.03 | −5.63 |
| M29 | Bradford · Home27 Jan 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.89 | −3.73 |
| M30 | Newport County · Away3 Feb 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.08 | −4.82 |
| M31 | Salford · Home10 Feb 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.31 | −5.12 |
| M32 | Gillingham · Away13 Feb 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.04 | −5.08 |
| M33 | Milton Keynes Dons · Home17 Feb 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.27 | −6.35 |
| M34 | Stockport · Away24 Feb 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.23 | −6.12 |
| M35 | Tranmere · Home27 Feb 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.55 | −4.57 |
| M36 | Harrogate · Home2 Mar 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.87 | −5.44 |
| M37 | Mansfield · Away9 Mar 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.66 | −6.10 |
| M38 | Accrington · Home12 Mar 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.82 | −7.92 |
| M39 | Doncaster · Home16 Mar 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.59 | −9.51 |
| M40 | Notts County · Home29 Mar 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.54 | −7.96 |
| M41 | Sutton · Away1 Apr 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.11 | −9.07 |
| M42 | Barrow · Away6 Apr 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.18 | −6.89 |
| M43 | AFC Wimbledon · Home13 Apr 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.79 | −5.10 |
| M44 | Walsall · Away16 Apr 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.02 | −6.12 |
| M45 | Grimsby · Away20 Apr 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.05 | −7.17 |
| M46 | Morecambe · Home27 Apr 2024 | D 3-3 | 1 | −1.07 | −8.25 |
| Total | 54 | −8.25 | |||