Points
57Points expected by the market
55.68Gap
+1.32Yield
+7.4%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 9 | +0.78 | +23.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 27 | 37 | +1.96 | +12.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 14 | 11 | −1.42 | −7.9% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 9 | +0.78 | +23.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 16 | 24 | +2.87 | +21.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 6 | +4.05 | +290.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 13 | −0.91 | −0.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 12 | 5 | −5.47 | −57.6% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Barrow · Home5 Aug 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.44 | −1.44 |
| M2 | Milton Keynes Dons · Away12 Aug 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.87 | −2.31 |
| M3 | Harrogate · Home15 Aug 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.37 | −0.93 |
| M4 | Salford · Home19 Aug 2023 | L 3-4 | 0 | −1.43 | −2.36 |
| M5 | Notts County · Away26 Aug 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.81 | −3.17 |
| M6 | Wrexham · Home2 Sep 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.07 | −4.24 |
| M7 | Colchester · Away9 Sep 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.20 | −5.43 |
| M8 | Crawley Town · Away16 Sep 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.01 | −6.44 |
| M9 | Accrington · Home23 Sep 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.67 | −4.77 |
| M10 | AFC Wimbledon · Away30 Sep 2023 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.78 | −5.55 |
| M11 | Bradford · Home3 Oct 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.86 | −3.69 |
| M12 | Grimsby · Home7 Oct 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.31 | −3.99 |
| M13 | Crewe · Away14 Oct 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.04 | −5.04 |
| M14 | Doncaster · Home20 Oct 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.33 | −6.36 |
| M15 | Morecambe · Away24 Oct 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.07 | −7.43 |
| M16 | Stockport · Away28 Oct 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.50 | −7.93 |
| M17 | Forest Green · Home11 Nov 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.60 | −6.33 |
| M18 | Sutton · Away18 Nov 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.13 | −6.46 |
| M19 | Gillingham · Home25 Nov 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.71 | −4.75 |
| M20 | Mansfield · Away28 Nov 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.47 | −4.28 |
| M21 | Newport County · Home9 Dec 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.50 | −2.79 |
| M22 | Walsall · Away16 Dec 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.05 | −3.83 |
| M23 | Swindon · Home23 Dec 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.37 | −2.46 |
| M24 | Salford · Away26 Dec 2023 | W 5-1 | 3 | +1.73 | −0.73 |
| M25 | Harrogate · Away29 Dec 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.65 | +0.91 |
| M26 | Notts County · Home1 Jan 2024 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.81 | +2.72 |
| M27 | Barrow · Away6 Jan 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.02 | +1.71 |
| M28 | Milton Keynes Dons · Home13 Jan 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.33 | +0.38 |
| M29 | Grimsby · Away27 Jan 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.85 | +2.23 |
| M30 | Crewe · Home3 Feb 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.53 | +1.70 |
| M31 | Doncaster · Away10 Feb 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.28 | +0.42 |
| M32 | Morecambe · Home13 Feb 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.68 | −1.25 |
| M33 | Stockport · Home17 Feb 2024 | W 4-0 | 3 | +2.07 | +0.82 |
| M34 | Forest Green · Away24 Feb 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.31 | −0.49 |
| M35 | Swindon · Away27 Feb 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.27 | −1.76 |
| M36 | Sutton · Home2 Mar 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.35 | −0.41 |
| M37 | Gillingham · Away9 Mar 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.01 | −0.42 |
| M38 | Mansfield · Home12 Mar 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.98 | +1.56 |
| M39 | Wrexham · Away16 Mar 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.21 | +3.77 |
| M40 | Crawley Town · Home23 Mar 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.64 | +2.14 |
| M41 | Bradford · Away29 Mar 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.15 | +0.98 |
| M42 | Colchester · Home1 Apr 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.34 | +0.65 |
| M43 | Walsall · Home6 Apr 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.24 | −0.59 |
| M44 | Newport County · Away13 Apr 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.52 | +0.92 |
| M45 | AFC Wimbledon · Home20 Apr 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.72 | +2.65 |
| M46 | Accrington · Away27 Apr 2024 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.32 | +1.32 |
| Total | 57 | +1.32 | |||