Points
88Points expected by the market
82.26Gap
+5.74Yield
+1.0%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 9 | 23 | +2.95 | +8.9% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 29 | 53 | +1.73 | +1.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 12 | +1.06 | −9.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 9 | 23 | +2.95 | +8.9% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 12 | 25 | +2.45 | +13.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 6 | +3.01 | +128.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 17 | 28 | −0.71 | −7.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 6 | −1.95 | −55.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Milton Keynes Dons · Home5 Aug 2023 | L 3-5 | 0 | −1.90 | −1.90 |
| M2 | AFC Wimbledon · Away12 Aug 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.58 | −2.48 |
| M3 | Walsall · Home15 Aug 2023 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.11 | −1.37 |
| M4 | Swindon · Home19 Aug 2023 | D 5-5 | 1 | −0.84 | −2.21 |
| M5 | Barrow · Away26 Aug 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.57 | −2.78 |
| M6 | Tranmere · Away2 Sep 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.32 | −1.46 |
| M7 | Doncaster · Home9 Sep 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.82 | −0.64 |
| M8 | Grimsby · Home16 Sep 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.01 | +0.37 |
| M9 | Stockport · Away23 Sep 2023 | L 0-5 | 0 | −1.35 | −0.98 |
| M10 | Crewe · Home30 Sep 2023 | D 3-3 | 1 | −1.22 | −2.21 |
| M11 | Mansfield · Away3 Oct 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.25 | −2.45 |
| M12 | Crawley Town · Away7 Oct 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.27 | −1.18 |
| M13 | Salford · Home14 Oct 2023 | W 3-2 | 3 | +0.96 | −0.23 |
| M14 | Bradford · Away21 Oct 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.52 | −0.75 |
| M15 | Sutton · Home24 Oct 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.75 | 0.00 |
| M16 | Notts County · Away28 Oct 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.70 | +1.70 |
| M17 | Gillingham · Home11 Nov 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.02 | +2.72 |
| M18 | Accrington · Away18 Nov 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.66 | +1.06 |
| M19 | Morecambe · Home25 Nov 2023 | W 6-0 | 3 | +0.81 | +1.86 |
| M20 | Harrogate · Away28 Nov 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.00 | +0.86 |
| M21 | Colchester · Home16 Dec 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.74 | +1.60 |
| M22 | Newport County · Home23 Dec 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.87 | +2.47 |
| M23 | Swindon · Away26 Dec 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.19 | +3.66 |
| M24 | Walsall · Away29 Dec 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.64 | +2.02 |
| M25 | Barrow · Home1 Jan 2024 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.27 | +3.29 |
| M26 | AFC Wimbledon · Home13 Jan 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.17 | +4.47 |
| M27 | Newport County · Away20 Jan 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.76 | +2.70 |
| M28 | Salford · Away3 Feb 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.56 | +1.14 |
| M29 | Bradford · Home10 Feb 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.70 | −0.56 |
| M30 | Sutton · Away13 Feb 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.33 | +0.78 |
| M31 | Notts County · Home17 Feb 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.30 | +2.08 |
| M32 | Milton Keynes Dons · Away20 Feb 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.15 | +1.92 |
| M33 | Gillingham · Away24 Feb 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.38 | +0.55 |
| M34 | Forest Green · Away27 Feb 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.75 | −0.21 |
| M35 | Accrington · Home2 Mar 2024 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.87 | +0.67 |
| M36 | Morecambe · Away9 Mar 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.17 | +1.84 |
| M37 | Harrogate · Home12 Mar 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.38 | +0.46 |
| M38 | Tranmere · Home16 Mar 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.98 | −1.53 |
| M39 | Grimsby · Away23 Mar 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.35 | −0.18 |
| M40 | Mansfield · Home29 Mar 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.53 | +1.35 |
| M41 | Doncaster · Away2 Apr 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.65 | −0.29 |
| M42 | Colchester · Away6 Apr 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.42 | +1.12 |
| M43 | Crawley Town · Home9 Apr 2024 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.04 | +2.16 |
| M44 | Forest Green · Home13 Apr 2024 | W 6-0 | 3 | +0.70 | +2.86 |
| M45 | Crewe · Away20 Apr 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.40 | +4.27 |
| M46 | Stockport · Home27 Apr 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.48 | +5.74 |
| Total | 88 | +5.74 | |||