Points
73Points expected by the market
73.25Gap
−0.25Yield
−8.2%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 4 | −0.47 | −27.5% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 21 | 38 | +0.37 | −2.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 22 | 30 | −0.19 | −7.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 1 | +0.04 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 4 | −0.47 | −27.5% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 15 | 28 | +0.30 | −2.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 12 | +3.18 | +59.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 10 | +0.08 | −1.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 16 | 18 | −3.37 | −33.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 1 | +0.04 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Colchester · Home10 Aug 2024 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.35 | +1.35 |
| M2 | Bromley · Away17 Aug 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.38 | −0.03 |
| M3 | Cheltenham · Away24 Aug 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.67 | +1.63 |
| M4 | Fleetwood Town · Home31 Aug 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.35 | +2.99 |
| M5 | Milton Keynes Dons · Home14 Sep 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.49 | +4.48 |
| M6 | Bradford · Away21 Sep 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.24 | +4.24 |
| M7 | Salford · Away5 Oct 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.52 | +2.71 |
| M8 | Carlisle · Home12 Oct 2024 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.19 | +3.91 |
| M9 | Notts County · Away19 Oct 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.24 | +2.67 |
| M10 | Morecambe · Home22 Oct 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.84 | +3.51 |
| M11 | Port Vale · Away26 Oct 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.15 | +2.37 |
| M12 | Grimsby · Home9 Nov 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −2.10 | +0.26 |
| M13 | Barrow · Away16 Nov 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.69 | +1.95 |
| M14 | Accrington · Home19 Nov 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.91 | +1.04 |
| M15 | Walsall · Home23 Nov 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.51 | −0.47 |
| M16 | Tranmere · Away26 Nov 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.40 | +0.93 |
| M17 | Newport County · Home3 Dec 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.31 | −0.38 |
| M18 | Harrogate · Away7 Dec 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.30 | +0.92 |
| M19 | Doncaster · Home14 Dec 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.58 | +2.51 |
| M20 | Chesterfield · Away21 Dec 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.21 | +1.29 |
| M21 | Swindon · Home26 Dec 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.94 | +0.36 |
| M22 | Gillingham · Home30 Dec 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.21 | +1.57 |
| M23 | Newport County · Away2 Jan 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.13 | +2.70 |
| M24 | Tranmere · Home18 Jan 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.98 | +3.68 |
| M25 | Milton Keynes Dons · Away25 Jan 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.46 | +3.23 |
| M26 | Crewe · Away28 Jan 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.30 | +2.92 |
| M27 | Bradford · Home1 Feb 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.50 | +4.43 |
| M28 | Accrington · Away8 Feb 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.59 | +3.83 |
| M29 | Crewe · Home11 Feb 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.16 | +4.99 |
| M30 | Salford · Home15 Feb 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.16 | +6.15 |
| M31 | Fleetwood Town · Away18 Feb 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.39 | +5.77 |
| M32 | Colchester · Away22 Feb 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.26 | +5.51 |
| M33 | Bromley · Home1 Mar 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.91 | +3.60 |
| M34 | Morecambe · Away4 Mar 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.59 | +2.02 |
| M35 | Notts County · Home8 Mar 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.55 | +3.57 |
| M36 | Cheltenham · Home11 Mar 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.92 | +1.65 |
| M37 | Carlisle · Away15 Mar 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.52 | +3.17 |
| M38 | Barrow · Home22 Mar 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.71 | +2.45 |
| M39 | Walsall · Away29 Mar 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.21 | +2.25 |
| M40 | Swindon · Away1 Apr 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.58 | +0.67 |
| M41 | Harrogate · Home5 Apr 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.00 | +1.66 |
| M42 | Doncaster · Away12 Apr 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.04 | +1.70 |
| M43 | Chesterfield · Home18 Apr 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.62 | +1.08 |
| M44 | Gillingham · Away21 Apr 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.57 | −0.50 |
| M45 | Port Vale · Home26 Apr 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.44 | −1.94 |
| M46 | Grimsby · Away3 May 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.69 | −0.25 |
| Total | 73 | −0.25 | |||