Points
66Points expected by the market
59.91Gap
+6.09Yield
+3.6%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.84 | +44.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 15 | −1.71 | −21.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 25 | 33 | +0.97 | −17.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 10 | 15 | +5.98 | +75.7% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.84 | +44.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 11 | −2.36 | −25.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 17 | −0.53 | −26.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.96 | +264.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 4 | +0.66 | −3.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 16 | +1.50 | −7.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 12 | +4.03 | +54.8% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Harrogate · Away10 Aug 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.73 | +1.73 |
| M2 | AFC Wimbledon · Home17 Aug 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.65 | +3.39 |
| M3 | Bradford · Away24 Aug 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.89 | +2.50 |
| M4 | Crewe · Home31 Aug 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.65 | +0.84 |
| M5 | Colchester · Away7 Sep 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.09 | +0.76 |
| M6 | Notts County · Home14 Sep 2024 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.28 | −0.53 |
| M7 | Grimsby · Away21 Sep 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.14 | −1.67 |
| M8 | Milton Keynes Dons · Home28 Sep 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.15 | −1.82 |
| M9 | Chesterfield · Home1 Oct 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.14 | −1.96 |
| M10 | Fleetwood Town · Away5 Oct 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.08 | −1.88 |
| M11 | Tranmere · Home19 Oct 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.59 | −3.47 |
| M12 | Doncaster · Away22 Oct 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.19 | −1.28 |
| M13 | Barrow · Home26 Oct 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.51 | −1.79 |
| M14 | Cheltenham · Away9 Nov 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.30 | −2.09 |
| M15 | Carlisle · Home16 Nov 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.71 | −2.80 |
| M16 | Walsall · Away26 Nov 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.20 | −2.60 |
| M17 | Gillingham · Home4 Dec 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.44 | −1.16 |
| M18 | Accrington · Away7 Dec 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.69 | +0.53 |
| M19 | Port Vale · Home14 Dec 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.37 | +0.16 |
| M20 | Morecambe · Away21 Dec 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.29 | +1.45 |
| M21 | Newport County · Home26 Dec 2024 | W 5-2 | 3 | +0.84 | +2.29 |
| M22 | Swindon · Home29 Dec 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.75 | +1.54 |
| M23 | Gillingham · Away2 Jan 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.58 | +3.12 |
| M24 | Crewe · Away5 Jan 2025 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.21 | +1.91 |
| M25 | Colchester · Home18 Jan 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.50 | +0.41 |
| M26 | Notts County · Away25 Jan 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.10 | +0.51 |
| M27 | Chesterfield · Away28 Jan 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.05 | −0.54 |
| M28 | Grimsby · Home1 Feb 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.61 | −2.15 |
| M29 | Salford · Away4 Feb 2025 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.09 | −2.25 |
| M30 | Milton Keynes Dons · Away8 Feb 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.83 | −0.42 |
| M31 | Fleetwood Town · Home15 Feb 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.56 | +1.15 |
| M32 | Harrogate · Home22 Feb 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.35 | +2.50 |
| M33 | Bradford · Home25 Feb 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.24 | +1.26 |
| M34 | AFC Wimbledon · Away1 Mar 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.17 | +3.44 |
| M35 | Doncaster · Home4 Mar 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.96 | +5.39 |
| M36 | Tranmere · Away8 Mar 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.13 | +4.27 |
| M37 | Walsall · Home13 Mar 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.09 | +4.18 |
| M38 | Carlisle · Away22 Mar 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.21 | +2.97 |
| M39 | Salford · Home29 Mar 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.41 | +1.57 |
| M40 | Newport County · Away1 Apr 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.63 | +0.93 |
| M41 | Accrington · Home5 Apr 2025 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.50 | +2.44 |
| M42 | Port Vale · Away12 Apr 2025 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.83 | +1.60 |
| M43 | Morecambe · Home18 Apr 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.17 | +2.78 |
| M44 | Swindon · Away21 Apr 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.05 | +4.82 |
| M45 | Barrow · Away26 Apr 2025 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.16 | +4.66 |
| M46 | Cheltenham · Home3 May 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.43 | +6.09 |
| Total | 66 | +6.09 | |||