Points
60Points expected by the market
53.66Gap
+6.34Yield
+12.2%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 9 | +3.65 | +85.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 26 | 32 | −1.44 | −17.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 17 | 19 | +4.13 | +44.6% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 9 | +3.65 | +85.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 19 | 27 | +2.37 | +0.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −0.82 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 5 | −3.81 | −67.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 16 | 19 | +4.94 | +53.6% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Newport County · Home10 Aug 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.12 | +1.12 |
| M2 | Grimsby · Away17 Aug 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.21 | −0.09 |
| M3 | AFC Wimbledon · Home24 Aug 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.38 | −1.47 |
| M4 | Walsall · Away31 Aug 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.84 | −2.31 |
| M5 | Harrogate · Home7 Sep 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.32 | −0.99 |
| M6 | Salford · Away14 Sep 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.98 | −1.97 |
| M7 | Chesterfield · Away21 Sep 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.29 | −1.68 |
| M8 | Fleetwood Town · Home28 Sep 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.25 | −2.93 |
| M9 | Accrington · Home1 Oct 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.48 | −1.45 |
| M10 | Barrow · Away5 Oct 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.95 | −2.40 |
| M11 | Swindon · Home12 Oct 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.26 | −3.65 |
| M12 | Colchester · Away19 Oct 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.14 | −1.52 |
| M13 | Bradford · Home22 Oct 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.09 | −1.61 |
| M14 | Carlisle · Away26 Oct 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.98 | +0.37 |
| M15 | Bromley · Home9 Nov 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.42 | −0.05 |
| M16 | Milton Keynes Dons · Away16 Nov 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.89 | −0.94 |
| M17 | Tranmere · Home22 Nov 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.51 | +0.57 |
| M18 | Port Vale · Home3 Dec 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.15 | +0.42 |
| M19 | Doncaster · Away7 Dec 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.35 | +0.76 |
| M20 | Morecambe · Home14 Dec 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.22 | +1.98 |
| M21 | Gillingham · Away20 Dec 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.20 | +1.78 |
| M22 | Crewe · Home26 Dec 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.73 | +3.51 |
| M23 | Notts County · Home29 Dec 2024 | L 3-5 | 0 | −1.18 | +2.32 |
| M24 | Port Vale · Away1 Jan 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.02 | +2.31 |
| M25 | Harrogate · Away17 Jan 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.38 | +0.92 |
| M26 | Salford · Home25 Jan 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.88 | +2.81 |
| M27 | Accrington · Away28 Jan 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.12 | +2.68 |
| M28 | Chesterfield · Home1 Feb 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.74 | +4.43 |
| M29 | Fleetwood Town · Away8 Feb 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.02 | +3.41 |
| M30 | Barrow · Home15 Feb 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.65 | +5.06 |
| M31 | Newport County · Away22 Feb 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.50 | +6.56 |
| M32 | Walsall · Home25 Feb 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.16 | +6.41 |
| M33 | Grimsby · Home1 Mar 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.42 | +5.99 |
| M34 | Bradford · Away4 Mar 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.79 | +5.20 |
| M35 | Colchester · Home8 Mar 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.16 | +4.04 |
| M36 | AFC Wimbledon · Away11 Mar 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.19 | +6.22 |
| M37 | Swindon · Away15 Mar 2025 | D 3-3 | 1 | +0.01 | +6.23 |
| M38 | Milton Keynes Dons · Home22 Mar 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.46 | +4.77 |
| M39 | Tranmere · Away28 Mar 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.03 | +3.74 |
| M40 | Morecambe · Away1 Apr 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.21 | +2.53 |
| M41 | Doncaster · Home5 Apr 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.82 | +1.72 |
| M42 | Crewe · Away10 Apr 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +2.20 | +3.92 |
| M43 | Gillingham · Home18 Apr 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.38 | +3.53 |
| M44 | Notts County · Away21 Apr 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.32 | +5.85 |
| M45 | Carlisle · Home26 Apr 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.67 | +7.53 |
| M46 | Bromley · Away3 May 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.18 | +6.34 |
| Total | 60 | +6.34 | |||