Points
60Points expected by the market
65.30Gap
−5.30Yield
−12.3%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 14 | 16 | −9.06 | −60.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 25 | 38 | +4.34 | +8.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 6 | −0.58 | +9.7% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 12 | 15 | −6.72 | −54.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 18 | +2.53 | −6.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 1 | −2.34 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 20 | +1.81 | +20.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 6 | −0.58 | +9.7% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Grimsby · Home10 Aug 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.28 | +1.28 |
| M2 | Notts County · Away18 Aug 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.25 | +1.03 |
| M3 | Gillingham · Home24 Aug 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.54 | +0.49 |
| M4 | AFC Wimbledon · Away31 Aug 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.08 | −0.58 |
| M5 | Carlisle · Away14 Sep 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.68 | +1.10 |
| M6 | Morecambe · Home23 Sep 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.05 | +0.05 |
| M7 | Cheltenham · Away28 Sep 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.52 | +1.57 |
| M8 | Walsall · Away1 Oct 2024 | W 6-2 | 3 | +1.95 | +3.52 |
| M9 | Bromley · Home5 Oct 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.83 | +2.69 |
| M10 | Port Vale · Away19 Oct 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.08 | +1.61 |
| M11 | Crewe · Home22 Oct 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.77 | −0.16 |
| M12 | Newport County · Away26 Oct 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.72 | −0.88 |
| M13 | Salford · Home29 Oct 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.58 | −1.46 |
| M14 | Bradford · Home9 Nov 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.61 | +0.15 |
| M15 | Colchester · Home30 Nov 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.64 | −0.49 |
| M16 | Doncaster · Home4 Dec 2024 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.26 | −1.75 |
| M17 | Swindon · Away7 Dec 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.53 | −3.29 |
| M18 | Accrington · Home16 Dec 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.78 | −4.06 |
| M19 | Barrow · Away21 Dec 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.18 | −5.25 |
| M20 | Chesterfield · Home26 Dec 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.55 | −3.69 |
| M21 | Harrogate · Home29 Dec 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.98 | −4.68 |
| M22 | Doncaster · Away1 Jan 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.85 | −5.53 |
| M23 | Salford · Away18 Jan 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.03 | −3.49 |
| M24 | Milton Keynes Dons · Home21 Jan 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.48 | −2.01 |
| M25 | Carlisle · Home25 Jan 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.93 | −3.94 |
| M26 | Walsall · Home28 Jan 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.80 | −2.13 |
| M27 | Morecambe · Away1 Feb 2025 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.62 | −3.75 |
| M28 | Cheltenham · Home8 Feb 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.31 | −2.44 |
| M29 | Tranmere · Away11 Feb 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.52 | −2.96 |
| M30 | Bromley · Away15 Feb 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.27 | −4.24 |
| M31 | AFC Wimbledon · Home18 Feb 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.29 | −4.53 |
| M32 | Grimsby · Away22 Feb 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.30 | −5.83 |
| M33 | Gillingham · Away25 Feb 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.70 | −4.13 |
| M34 | Notts County · Home1 Mar 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.32 | −4.45 |
| M35 | Crewe · Away4 Mar 2025 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.78 | −2.68 |
| M36 | Port Vale · Home8 Mar 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.55 | −3.23 |
| M37 | Colchester · Away15 Mar 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.04 | −4.26 |
| M38 | Tranmere · Home22 Mar 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.57 | −4.83 |
| M39 | Milton Keynes Dons · Away29 Mar 2025 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.88 | −2.95 |
| M40 | Accrington · Away1 Apr 2025 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.63 | −1.32 |
| M41 | Swindon · Home5 Apr 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.69 | −3.01 |
| M42 | Chesterfield · Away12 Apr 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.06 | −4.07 |
| M43 | Barrow · Home18 Apr 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.38 | −4.45 |
| M44 | Harrogate · Away21 Apr 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.24 | −5.69 |
| M45 | Newport County · Home26 Apr 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.94 | −4.75 |
| M46 | Bradford · Away3 May 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.55 | −5.30 |
| Total | 60 | −5.30 | |||