Points
52Points expected by the market
67.15Gap
−15.15Yield
−34.3%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 22 | 37 | −1.04 | −4.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 18 | 14 | −9.52 | −49.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 1 | −4.59 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 16 | 27 | −0.90 | −6.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 3 | −6.60 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 10 | −0.14 | +1.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 11 | −2.92 | −17.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 1 | −4.59 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Bradford · Home10 Aug 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.59 | −1.59 |
| M2 | Colchester · Away17 Aug 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.51 | −3.10 |
| M3 | Carlisle · Home24 Aug 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.18 | −1.92 |
| M4 | Salford · Away2 Sep 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.66 | −3.58 |
| M5 | Walsall · Home7 Sep 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.41 | −2.18 |
| M6 | AFC Wimbledon · Away14 Sep 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.21 | −3.39 |
| M7 | Doncaster · Home21 Sep 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.44 | −3.84 |
| M8 | Bromley · Away28 Sep 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.59 | −4.43 |
| M9 | Harrogate · Away1 Oct 2024 | W 5-1 | 3 | +1.24 | −3.19 |
| M10 | Tranmere · Home5 Oct 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.88 | −4.07 |
| M11 | Port Vale · Home12 Oct 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.59 | −5.66 |
| M12 | Morecambe · Away19 Oct 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.37 | −4.29 |
| M13 | Accrington · Home22 Oct 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.97 | −3.32 |
| M14 | Grimsby · Away26 Oct 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.44 | −1.88 |
| M15 | Swindon · Home9 Nov 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.36 | −0.52 |
| M16 | Cheltenham · Home16 Nov 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.14 | +0.62 |
| M17 | Chesterfield · Home3 Dec 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.44 | +2.06 |
| M18 | Gillingham · Home14 Dec 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.89 | +0.17 |
| M19 | Newport County · Away21 Dec 2024 | L 3-6 | 0 | −1.94 | −1.76 |
| M20 | Notts County · Home26 Dec 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.50 | −3.26 |
| M21 | Crewe · Home29 Dec 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.59 | −3.85 |
| M22 | Chesterfield · Away1 Jan 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.75 | −2.10 |
| M23 | Salford · Home4 Jan 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.45 | −3.55 |
| M24 | Walsall · Away18 Jan 2025 | L 2-4 | 0 | −0.98 | −4.53 |
| M25 | Fleetwood Town · Away21 Jan 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.20 | −5.73 |
| M26 | AFC Wimbledon · Home25 Jan 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.25 | −5.98 |
| M27 | Harrogate · Home28 Jan 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.15 | −4.83 |
| M28 | Doncaster · Away1 Feb 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.84 | −5.67 |
| M29 | Bromley · Home8 Feb 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.56 | −7.23 |
| M30 | Barrow · Away11 Feb 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.12 | −8.36 |
| M31 | Tranmere · Away15 Feb 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.49 | −8.84 |
| M32 | Bradford · Away22 Feb 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.93 | −9.77 |
| M33 | Colchester · Home1 Mar 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.31 | −11.08 |
| M34 | Accrington · Away4 Mar 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.33 | −12.41 |
| M35 | Morecambe · Home8 Mar 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.21 | −11.20 |
| M36 | Port Vale · Away15 Mar 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.07 | −12.26 |
| M37 | Cheltenham · Away22 Mar 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.72 | −10.54 |
| M38 | Carlisle · Away25 Mar 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.27 | −10.81 |
| M39 | Fleetwood Town · Home29 Mar 2025 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.60 | −12.41 |
| M40 | Notts County · Away2 Apr 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.86 | −13.27 |
| M41 | Barrow · Home5 Apr 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.47 | −14.74 |
| M42 | Gillingham · Away12 Apr 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.18 | −15.92 |
| M43 | Newport County · Home18 Apr 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.06 | −16.97 |
| M44 | Crewe · Away21 Apr 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.91 | −15.06 |
| M45 | Grimsby · Home26 Apr 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.16 | −15.22 |
| M46 | Swindon · Away3 May 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.07 | −15.15 |
| Total | 52 | −15.15 | |||