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← League Two 2024-25

Newport County

Season 2024-25 · 46 matches played

Last 5LDDLL

Points

49

Points expected by the market

40.84

Gap

+8.16

Yield

+2.6%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.

M1M5M10M15M20M25M30M35M40M45

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds bandMatches playedMPPointsPtsExpectedGapYield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 0 — — — —
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 0 — — — —
Even 2.20 – 3.49 12 23 14.72 +8.28 +65.5%
Underdog 3.50 or more 34 26 26.12 −0.12 −19.6%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

MOpponentDateResultRes. Odds to winExpectedPointsPtsGap Running total€1 bet
M1 Cheltenham · Away10 Aug 2024 10 Aug 2024 L 2-3 4.59 0.86 0 −0.86 −0.86 −€1.00
M2 Doncaster · Home17 Aug 2024 17 Aug 2024 W 3-1 4.52 0.85 3 +2.15 +1.28 +€3.52
M3 Accrington · Home24 Aug 2024 24 Aug 2024 W 3-1 2.32 1.48 3 +1.52 +2.80 +€1.32
M4 Morecambe · Away31 Aug 2024 31 Aug 2024 W 1-0 2.90 1.25 3 +1.75 +4.55 +€1.90
M5 Port Vale · Home7 Sep 2024 7 Sep 2024 L 1-4 3.13 1.16 0 −1.16 +3.39 −€1.00
M6 Swindon · Away14 Sep 2024 14 Sep 2024 L 0-4 5.15 0.77 0 −0.77 +2.62 −€1.00
M7 Barrow · Away21 Sep 2024 21 Sep 2024 L 0-2 7.48 0.58 0 −0.58 +2.04 −€1.00
M8 Crewe · Home28 Sep 2024 28 Sep 2024 W 2-1 3.62 1.04 3 +1.96 +4.00 +€2.62
M9 Salford · Home1 Oct 2024 1 Oct 2024 W 3-1 3.20 1.15 3 +1.85 +5.84 +€2.20
M10 Bradford · Away7 Oct 2024 7 Oct 2024 L 1-3 6.22 0.65 0 −0.65 +5.20 −€1.00
M11 Harrogate · Away12 Oct 2024 12 Oct 2024 L 0-1 3.86 0.98 0 −0.98 +4.22 −€1.00
M12 Chesterfield · Home18 Oct 2024 18 Oct 2024 L 0-3 3.43 1.07 0 −1.07 +3.15 −€1.00
M13 Gillingham · Away22 Oct 2024 22 Oct 2024 W 2-0 4.94 0.83 3 +2.17 +5.32 +€3.94
M14 Fleetwood Town · Home26 Oct 2024 26 Oct 2024 D 0-0 3.63 1.03 1 −0.03 +5.30 −€1.00
M15 Tranmere · Away9 Nov 2024 9 Nov 2024 L 1-2 4.69 0.85 0 −0.85 +4.44 −€1.00
M16 Grimsby · Home16 Nov 2024 16 Nov 2024 D 0-0 3.14 1.17 1 −0.17 +4.27 −€1.00
M17 Notts County · Away23 Nov 2024 23 Nov 2024 D 0-0 7.80 0.55 1 +0.45 +4.73 −€1.00
M18 AFC Wimbledon · Away3 Dec 2024 3 Dec 2024 D 2-2 9.03 0.50 1 +0.50 +5.23 −€1.00
M19 Colchester · Away14 Dec 2024 14 Dec 2024 D 0-0 7.47 0.58 1 +0.42 +5.65 −€1.00
M20 Milton Keynes Dons · Home21 Dec 2024 21 Dec 2024 W 6-3 4.84 0.82 3 +2.18 +7.83 +€3.84
M21 Bromley · Away26 Dec 2024 26 Dec 2024 L 2-5 6.62 0.63 0 −0.63 +7.19 −€1.00
M22 Walsall · Away29 Dec 2024 29 Dec 2024 L 0-2 9.79 0.46 0 −0.46 +6.73 −€1.00
M23 AFC Wimbledon · Home2 Jan 2025 2 Jan 2025 L 1-2 4.48 0.88 0 −0.88 +5.85 −€1.00
M24 Port Vale · Away18 Jan 2025 18 Jan 2025 L 2-3 5.92 0.70 0 −0.70 +5.15 −€1.00
M25 Swindon · Home24 Jan 2025 24 Jan 2025 L 1-2 3.68 1.03 0 −1.03 +4.13 −€1.00
M26 Salford · Away28 Jan 2025 28 Jan 2025 D 1-1 5.96 0.69 1 +0.31 +4.43 −€1.00
M27 Barrow · Home1 Feb 2025 1 Feb 2025 W 1-0 3.23 1.17 3 +1.83 +6.26 +€2.23
M28 Morecambe · Home4 Feb 2025 4 Feb 2025 W 2-1 2.57 1.38 3 +1.62 +7.88 +€1.57
M29 Crewe · Away8 Feb 2025 8 Feb 2025 W 3-0 5.90 0.71 3 +2.29 +10.17 +€4.90
M30 Carlisle · Home11 Feb 2025 11 Feb 2025 W 1-0 2.77 1.29 3 +1.71 +11.88 +€1.77
M31 Bradford · Home15 Feb 2025 15 Feb 2025 D 0-0 4.52 0.87 1 +0.13 +12.01 −€1.00
M32 Cheltenham · Home22 Feb 2025 22 Feb 2025 L 0-3 2.97 1.22 0 −1.22 +10.79 −€1.00
M33 Doncaster · Away1 Mar 2025 1 Mar 2025 L 0-3 9.10 0.49 0 −0.49 +10.31 −€1.00
M34 Gillingham · Home4 Mar 2025 4 Mar 2025 W 3-1 3.52 1.08 3 +1.92 +12.23 +€2.52
M35 Chesterfield · Away8 Mar 2025 8 Mar 2025 L 1-2 5.53 0.73 0 −0.73 +11.49 −€1.00
M36 Accrington · Away11 Mar 2025 11 Mar 2025 L 0-5 4.86 0.86 0 −0.86 +10.64 −€1.00
M37 Harrogate · Home15 Mar 2025 15 Mar 2025 W 3-0 2.87 1.28 3 +1.72 +12.36 +€1.87
M38 Grimsby · Away22 Mar 2025 22 Mar 2025 L 0-1 7.11 0.60 0 −0.60 +11.76 −€1.00
M39 Notts County · Home29 Mar 2025 29 Mar 2025 L 0-2 5.30 0.75 0 −0.75 +11.01 −€1.00
M40 Bromley · Home1 Apr 2025 1 Apr 2025 D 1-1 3.36 1.10 1 −0.10 +10.91 −€1.00
M41 Carlisle · Away5 Apr 2025 5 Apr 2025 L 2-3 4.77 0.82 0 −0.82 +10.08 −€1.00
M42 Colchester · Home12 Apr 2025 12 Apr 2025 L 0-2 4.95 0.82 0 −0.82 +9.26 −€1.00
M43 Milton Keynes Dons · Away18 Apr 2025 18 Apr 2025 D 0-0 5.78 0.72 1 +0.28 +9.54 −€1.00
M44 Walsall · Home21 Apr 2025 21 Apr 2025 D 0-0 5.52 0.75 1 +0.25 +9.80 −€1.00
M45 Fleetwood Town · Away26 Apr 2025 26 Apr 2025 L 0-2 5.59 0.72 0 −0.72 +9.07 −€1.00
M46 Tranmere · Home3 May 2025 3 May 2025 L 1-4 4.22 0.91 0 −0.91 +8.16 −€1.00
Total 40.84 49 +8.16 +€1.20