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← League Two 2024-25

Notts County

Season 2024-25 · 46 matches played

Last 5LDLWL

Points

72

Points expected by the market

72.94

Gap

−0.94

Yield

−12.1%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.

M1M5M10M15M20M25M30M35M40M45

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds bandMatches playedMPPointsPtsExpectedGapYield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches 3 4 6.51 −2.51 −51.3%
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 19 37 34.78 +2.22 −0.2%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 22 30 29.65 +0.35 −9.1%
Underdog 3.50 or more few matches 2 1 2.01 −1.01 −100.0%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

MOpponentDateResultRes. Odds to winExpectedPointsPtsGap Running total€1 bet
M1 Tranmere · Away10 Aug 2024 10 Aug 2024 D 0-0 2.79 1.26 1 −0.26 −0.26 −€1.00
M2 Fleetwood Town · Home18 Aug 2024 18 Aug 2024 D 2-2 2.29 1.49 1 −0.49 −0.75 −€1.00
M3 Grimsby · Home22 Aug 2024 22 Aug 2024 W 4-1 1.92 1.72 3 +1.28 +0.52 +€0.92
M4 Swindon · Away31 Aug 2024 31 Aug 2024 W 2-1 2.39 1.43 3 +1.57 +2.09 +€1.39
M5 Accrington · Home7 Sep 2024 7 Sep 2024 W 2-0 1.80 1.80 3 +1.20 +3.29 +€0.80
M6 Bromley · Away14 Sep 2024 14 Sep 2024 W 4-2 2.37 1.45 3 +1.55 +4.84 +€1.37
M7 Gillingham · Home21 Sep 2024 21 Sep 2024 L 0-1 1.92 1.72 0 −1.72 +3.12 −€1.00
M8 Morecambe · Away28 Sep 2024 28 Sep 2024 D 1-1 1.79 1.81 1 −0.81 +2.32 −€1.00
M9 Carlisle · Away1 Oct 2024 1 Oct 2024 W 2-0 2.51 1.39 3 +1.61 +3.93 +€1.51
M10 Port Vale · Home5 Oct 2024 5 Oct 2024 L 0-1 2.52 1.38 0 −1.38 +2.55 −€1.00
M11 Chesterfield · Away12 Oct 2024 12 Oct 2024 D 2-2 3.11 1.16 1 −0.16 +2.39 −€1.00
M12 AFC Wimbledon · Home19 Oct 2024 19 Oct 2024 W 1-0 2.31 1.49 3 +1.51 +3.90 +€1.31
M13 Barrow · Away22 Oct 2024 22 Oct 2024 D 1-1 2.89 1.25 1 −0.25 +3.65 −€1.00
M14 Harrogate · Home26 Oct 2024 26 Oct 2024 W 1-0 1.50 2.09 3 +0.91 +4.56 +€0.50
M15 Doncaster · Away9 Nov 2024 9 Nov 2024 D 1-1 3.67 1.03 1 −0.03 +4.54 −€1.00
M16 Crewe · Away16 Nov 2024 16 Nov 2024 L 0-2 2.80 1.28 0 −1.28 +3.26 −€1.00
M17 Newport County · Home23 Nov 2024 23 Nov 2024 D 0-0 1.35 2.27 1 −1.27 +1.99 −€1.00
M18 Walsall · Away3 Dec 2024 3 Dec 2024 L 2-3 3.92 0.98 0 −0.98 +1.01 −€1.00
M19 Salford · Away14 Dec 2024 14 Dec 2024 L 0-3 2.55 1.38 0 −1.38 −0.38 −€1.00
M20 Bradford · Home21 Dec 2024 21 Dec 2024 W 3-0 2.24 1.53 3 +1.47 +1.10 +€1.24
M21 Milton Keynes Dons · Away26 Dec 2024 26 Dec 2024 W 2-0 2.86 1.24 3 +1.76 +2.86 +€1.86
M22 Cheltenham · Away29 Dec 2024 29 Dec 2024 W 5-3 2.20 1.55 3 +1.45 +4.31 +€1.20
M23 Walsall · Home1 Jan 2025 1 Jan 2025 L 1-2 2.48 1.40 0 −1.40 +2.91 −€1.00
M24 Swindon · Home4 Jan 2025 4 Jan 2025 W 2-0 1.69 1.90 3 +1.10 +4.01 +€0.69
M25 Accrington · Away18 Jan 2025 18 Jan 2025 W 3-0 2.15 1.57 3 +1.43 +5.44 +€1.15
M26 Bromley · Home25 Jan 2025 25 Jan 2025 D 1-1 1.75 1.85 1 −0.85 +4.58 −€1.00
M27 Carlisle · Home28 Jan 2025 28 Jan 2025 W 1-0 1.52 2.06 3 +0.94 +5.53 +€0.52
M28 Gillingham · Away1 Feb 2025 1 Feb 2025 W 2-1 1.96 1.70 3 +1.30 +6.82 +€0.96
M29 Morecambe · Home8 Feb 2025 8 Feb 2025 W 2-0 1.46 2.13 3 +0.87 +7.69 +€0.46
M30 Port Vale · Away13 Feb 2025 13 Feb 2025 L 0-1 2.72 1.32 0 −1.32 +6.37 −€1.00
M31 Colchester · Home18 Feb 2025 18 Feb 2025 D 1-1 2.17 1.58 1 −0.58 +5.78 −€1.00
M32 Tranmere · Home22 Feb 2025 22 Feb 2025 W 2-1 1.52 2.06 3 +0.94 +6.72 +€0.52
M33 Fleetwood Town · Away1 Mar 2025 1 Mar 2025 D 2-2 2.50 1.40 1 −0.40 +6.32 −€1.00
M34 Barrow · Home4 Mar 2025 4 Mar 2025 L 1-2 1.66 1.93 0 −1.93 +4.39 −€1.00
M35 AFC Wimbledon · Away8 Mar 2025 8 Mar 2025 L 0-2 2.92 1.25 0 −1.25 +3.13 −€1.00
M36 Grimsby · Away11 Mar 2025 11 Mar 2025 W 2-0 3.11 1.19 3 +1.81 +4.94 +€2.11
M37 Chesterfield · Home15 Mar 2025 15 Mar 2025 L 1-2 1.97 1.68 0 −1.68 +3.26 −€1.00
M38 Crewe · Home22 Mar 2025 22 Mar 2025 D 0-0 1.94 1.71 1 −0.71 +2.55 −€1.00
M39 Newport County · Away29 Mar 2025 29 Mar 2025 W 2-0 1.56 2.02 3 +0.98 +3.53 +€0.56
M40 Milton Keynes Dons · Home2 Apr 2025 2 Apr 2025 W 3-0 1.68 1.91 3 +1.09 +4.63 +€0.68
M41 Colchester · Away5 Apr 2025 5 Apr 2025 L 0-1 2.49 1.42 0 −1.42 +3.21 −€1.00
M42 Salford · Home11 Apr 2025 11 Apr 2025 L 1-3 1.89 1.74 0 −1.74 +1.47 −€1.00
M43 Bradford · Away17 Apr 2025 17 Apr 2025 D 1-1 3.47 1.10 1 −0.10 +1.37 −€1.00
M44 Cheltenham · Home21 Apr 2025 21 Apr 2025 L 1-2 1.47 2.11 0 −2.11 −0.74 −€1.00
M45 Harrogate · Away26 Apr 2025 26 Apr 2025 W 3-1 1.67 1.92 3 +1.08 +0.34 +€0.67
M46 Doncaster · Home3 May 2025 3 May 2025 L 1-2 2.74 1.28 0 −1.28 −0.94 −€1.00
Total 72.94 72 −0.94 −€5.58