← League Two 2024-25

Salford

Season 2024-25 · 46 matches played

Last 5DLWWD

Points

Points expected by the market

63.91

Gap

+5.09

Yield

−1.2%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds band	Matches playedMP	PointsPts	Expected	Gap	Yield
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	17	28	29.84	−1.84	−11.9%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	21	30	27.01	+2.99	+7.3%
Underdog 3.50 or more	8	11	7.06	+3.94	−0.9%
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	12	21	21.18	−0.18	−6.2%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	11	14	14.52	−0.52	+5.1%
Underdog 3.50 or more	0	—	—	—	—
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	5	7	8.66	−1.66	−25.6%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	10	16	12.49	+3.51	+9.8%
Underdog 3.50 or more	8	11	7.06	+3.94	−0.9%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

M	Opponent	Date	ResultRes.	Odds to win	Expected	PointsPts	Gap	Running total	€1 bet
M1	Port Vale · Home10 Aug 2024	10 Aug 2024	L 0-2	2.59	1.36	0	−1.36	−1.36	−€1.00
M2	Bradford · Away17 Aug 2024	17 Aug 2024	D 0-0	4.69	0.83	1	+0.17	−1.19	−€1.00
M3	Chesterfield · Away24 Aug 2024	24 Aug 2024	D 1-1	5.63	0.73	1	+0.27	−0.92	−€1.00
M4	Milton Keynes Dons · Home2 Sep 2024	2 Sep 2024	W 1-0	3.39	1.08	3	+1.92	+1.00	+€2.39
M5	Cheltenham · Home14 Sep 2024	14 Sep 2024	W 2-1	1.86	1.77	3	+1.23	+2.23	+€0.86
M6	Walsall · Home21 Sep 2024	21 Sep 2024	L 0-2	2.85	1.27	0	−1.27	+0.96	−€1.00
M7	Tranmere · Away27 Sep 2024	27 Sep 2024	D 0-0	3.41	1.11	1	−0.11	+0.85	−€1.00
M8	Newport County · Away1 Oct 2024	1 Oct 2024	L 1-3	2.16	1.57	0	−1.57	−0.73	−€1.00
M9	AFC Wimbledon · Home5 Oct 2024	5 Oct 2024	W 1-0	3.10	1.19	3	+1.81	+1.08	+€2.10
M10	Grimsby · Home12 Oct 2024	12 Oct 2024	L 1-2	2.29	1.51	0	−1.51	−0.43	−€1.00
M11	Crewe · Away19 Oct 2024	19 Oct 2024	D 1-1	3.19	1.17	1	−0.17	−0.60	−€1.00
M12	Swindon · Home22 Oct 2024	22 Oct 2024	W 2-1	2.40	1.46	3	+1.54	+0.95	+€1.40
M13	Colchester · Away26 Oct 2024	26 Oct 2024	W 2-1	3.02	1.23	3	+1.77	+2.72	+€2.02
M14	Fleetwood Town · Away29 Oct 2024	29 Oct 2024	D 2-2	3.17	1.15	1	−0.15	+2.57	−€1.00
M15	Carlisle · Home9 Nov 2024	9 Nov 2024	L 0-1	2.07	1.63	0	−1.63	+0.94	−€1.00
M16	Doncaster · Away16 Nov 2024	16 Nov 2024	D 1-1	5.03	0.80	1	+0.20	+1.14	−€1.00
M17	Harrogate · Home3 Dec 2024	3 Dec 2024	W 2-0	1.74	1.88	3	+1.12	+2.26	+€0.74
M18	Gillingham · Away7 Dec 2024	7 Dec 2024	L 0-1	2.71	1.34	0	−1.34	+0.92	−€1.00
M19	Notts County · Home14 Dec 2024	14 Dec 2024	W 3-0	2.67	1.33	3	+1.67	+2.59	+€1.67
M20	Accrington · Away21 Dec 2024	21 Dec 2024	W 2-0	2.38	1.48	3	+1.52	+4.11	+€1.38
M21	Barrow · Home26 Dec 2024	26 Dec 2024	W 3-0	2.08	1.66	3	+1.34	+5.45	+€1.08
M22	Morecambe · Home29 Dec 2024	29 Dec 2024	W 1-0	1.64	1.95	3	+1.05	+6.50	+€0.64
M23	Harrogate · Away1 Jan 2025	1 Jan 2025	W 2-0	1.80	1.83	3	+1.17	+7.67	+€0.80
M24	Milton Keynes Dons · Away4 Jan 2025	4 Jan 2025	W 1-0	2.87	1.26	3	+1.74	+9.41	+€1.87
M25	Fleetwood Town · Home18 Jan 2025	18 Jan 2025	L 0-2	1.90	1.76	0	−1.76	+7.66	−€1.00
M26	Cheltenham · Away25 Jan 2025	25 Jan 2025	L 1-2	2.15	1.60	0	−1.60	+6.06	−€1.00
M27	Newport County · Home28 Jan 2025	28 Jan 2025	D 1-1	1.51	2.08	1	−1.08	+4.97	−€1.00
M28	Walsall · Away1 Feb 2025	1 Feb 2025	D 2-2	4.59	0.87	1	+0.13	+5.10	−€1.00
M29	Bromley · Home4 Feb 2025	4 Feb 2025	D 3-3	2.11	1.62	1	−0.62	+4.48	−€1.00
M30	Tranmere · Home8 Feb 2025	8 Feb 2025	W 2-0	1.80	1.83	3	+1.17	+5.66	+€0.80
M31	AFC Wimbledon · Away15 Feb 2025	15 Feb 2025	L 0-1	4.61	0.89	0	−0.89	+4.77	−€1.00
M32	Port Vale · Away22 Feb 2025	22 Feb 2025	L 1-2	3.41	1.11	0	−1.11	+3.66	−€1.00
M33	Bradford · Home1 Mar 2025	1 Mar 2025	L 1-2	3.24	1.16	0	−1.16	+2.50	−€1.00
M34	Swindon · Away4 Mar 2025	4 Mar 2025	D 2-2	3.83	1.00	1	0.00	+2.50	−€1.00
M35	Crewe · Home8 Mar 2025	8 Mar 2025	D 1-1	2.31	1.50	1	−0.50	+1.99	−€1.00
M36	Chesterfield · Home11 Mar 2025	11 Mar 2025	L 0-4	2.48	1.42	0	−1.42	+0.57	−€1.00
M37	Grimsby · Away15 Mar 2025	15 Mar 2025	W 1-0	4.18	0.93	3	+2.07	+2.64	+€3.18
M38	Bromley · Away29 Mar 2025	29 Mar 2025	W 3-2	2.71	1.31	3	+1.69	+4.32	+€1.71
M39	Barrow · Away1 Apr 2025	1 Apr 2025	D 1-1	2.71	1.33	1	−0.33	+3.99	−€1.00
M40	Gillingham · Home5 Apr 2025	5 Apr 2025	D 2-2	2.14	1.60	1	−0.60	+3.39	−€1.00
M41	Notts County · Away11 Apr 2025	11 Apr 2025	W 3-1	3.75	1.00	3	+2.00	+5.38	+€2.75
M42	Doncaster · Home15 Apr 2025	15 Apr 2025	D 1-1	2.96	1.22	1	−0.22	+5.16	−€1.00
M43	Accrington · Home18 Apr 2025	18 Apr 2025	L 1-2	1.81	1.81	0	−1.81	+3.35	−€1.00
M44	Morecambe · Away21 Apr 2025	21 Apr 2025	W 3-1	1.92	1.72	3	+1.28	+4.63	+€0.92
M45	Colchester · Home26 Apr 2025	26 Apr 2025	W 4-1	2.13	1.60	3	+1.40	+6.03	+€1.13
M46	Carlisle · Away3 May 2025	3 May 2025	D 2-2	1.64	1.94	1	−0.94	+5.09	−€1.00
Total					63.91	69	+5.09		−€0.56