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← League Two 2025-26

Accrington

Season 2025-26 · 46 matches played

Last 5LLDDL

Points

53

Points expected by the market

52.92

Gap

+0.08

Yield

−7.6%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.

M1M5M10M15M20M25M30M35M40M45

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds bandMatches playedMPPointsPtsExpectedGapYield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 0 — — — —
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 5 12 8.61 +3.39 +57.6%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 19 24 24.00 0.00 −12.0%
Underdog 3.50 or more 22 17 20.30 −3.30 −18.6%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

MOpponentDateResultRes. Odds to winExpectedPointsPtsGap Running total€1 bet
M1 Gillingham · Home2 Aug 2025 2 Aug 2025 D 1-1 2.65 1.35 1 −0.35 −0.35 −€1.00
M2 Crewe · Away9 Aug 2025 9 Aug 2025 L 0-2 4.10 0.95 0 −0.95 −1.30 −€1.00
M3 Salford · Away16 Aug 2025 16 Aug 2025 L 1-2 3.87 0.98 0 −0.98 −2.28 −€1.00
M4 Grimsby · Home23 Aug 2025 23 Aug 2025 D 1-1 3.20 1.15 1 −0.15 −2.44 −€1.00
M5 Shrewsbury · Away30 Aug 2025 30 Aug 2025 D 0-0 3.20 1.16 1 −0.16 −2.60 −€1.00
M6 Cheltenham · Away6 Sep 2025 6 Sep 2025 L 0-1 2.82 1.27 0 −1.27 −3.87 −€1.00
M7 Colchester · Home13 Sep 2025 13 Sep 2025 W 1-0 2.86 1.27 3 +1.73 −2.14 +€1.86
M8 Milton Keynes Dons · Away20 Sep 2025 20 Sep 2025 W 2-1 6.33 0.65 3 +2.35 +0.21 +€5.33
M9 Walsall · Home27 Sep 2025 27 Sep 2025 L 1-3 3.10 1.20 0 −1.20 −0.99 −€1.00
M10 Barnet · Away4 Oct 2025 4 Oct 2025 L 0-2 4.95 0.80 0 −0.80 −1.79 −€1.00
M11 Newport County · Home11 Oct 2025 11 Oct 2025 L 0-1 1.83 1.79 0 −1.79 −3.59 −€1.00
M12 Swindon · Home18 Oct 2025 18 Oct 2025 W 4-0 3.58 1.05 3 +1.95 −1.63 +€2.58
M13 Fleetwood Town · Away25 Oct 2025 25 Oct 2025 L 1-2 3.39 1.10 0 −1.10 −2.73 −€1.00
M14 Tranmere · Home28 Oct 2025 28 Oct 2025 D 1-1 2.54 1.38 1 −0.38 −3.10 −€1.00
M15 Chesterfield · Away8 Nov 2025 8 Nov 2025 D 3-3 4.65 0.86 1 +0.14 −2.96 −€1.00
M16 Bristol Rovers · Home15 Nov 2025 15 Nov 2025 W 3-1 2.32 1.50 3 +1.50 −1.46 +€1.32
M17 Crawley Town · Away22 Nov 2025 22 Nov 2025 D 1-1 3.21 1.14 1 −0.14 −1.60 −€1.00
M18 Oldham · Home29 Nov 2025 29 Nov 2025 W 1-0 2.72 1.33 3 +1.67 +0.08 +€1.72
M19 Harrogate · Away9 Dec 2025 9 Dec 2025 W 2-0 2.12 1.59 3 +1.41 +1.48 +€1.12
M20 Bromley · Home13 Dec 2025 13 Dec 2025 L 0-1 2.83 1.29 0 −1.29 +0.20 −€1.00
M21 Cambridge · Away19 Dec 2025 19 Dec 2025 L 0-2 4.56 0.88 0 −0.88 −0.68 −€1.00
M22 Barrow · Home26 Dec 2025 26 Dec 2025 W 2-1 2.13 1.60 3 +1.40 +0.72 +€1.13
M23 Harrogate · Home29 Dec 2025 29 Dec 2025 W 1-0 1.70 1.90 3 +1.10 +1.83 +€0.70
M24 Notts County · Away1 Jan 2026 1 Jan 2026 W 1-0 4.35 0.90 3 +2.10 +3.92 +€3.35
M25 Milton Keynes Dons · Home17 Jan 2026 17 Jan 2026 L 0-2 3.17 1.16 0 −1.16 +2.76 −€1.00
M26 Walsall · Away24 Jan 2026 24 Jan 2026 D 0-0 4.14 0.95 1 +0.05 +2.80 −€1.00
M27 Newport County · Away27 Jan 2026 27 Jan 2026 W 4-1 2.30 1.57 3 +1.43 +4.24 +€1.30
M28 Cheltenham · Home31 Jan 2026 31 Jan 2026 W 3-1 1.93 1.73 3 +1.27 +5.51 +€0.93
M29 Salford · Home5 Feb 2026 5 Feb 2026 W 1-0 3.23 1.13 3 +1.87 +7.38 +€2.23
M30 Grimsby · Away11 Feb 2026 11 Feb 2026 L 0-1 4.03 0.96 0 −0.96 +6.43 −€1.00
M31 Tranmere · Away17 Feb 2026 17 Feb 2026 W 1-0 3.29 1.14 3 +1.86 +8.29 +€2.29
M32 Shrewsbury · Home21 Feb 2026 21 Feb 2026 L 0-2 2.38 1.47 0 −1.47 +6.82 −€1.00
M33 Barnet · Home24 Feb 2026 24 Feb 2026 L 0-1 3.89 0.99 0 −0.99 +5.83 −€1.00
M34 Bromley · Away28 Feb 2026 28 Feb 2026 L 1-2 4.58 0.87 0 −0.87 +4.96 −€1.00
M35 Cambridge · Home7 Mar 2026 7 Mar 2026 D 1-1 4.59 0.88 1 +0.12 +5.08 −€1.00
M36 Barrow · Away14 Mar 2026 14 Mar 2026 D 0-0 3.59 1.06 1 −0.06 +5.02 −€1.00
M37 Notts County · Home17 Mar 2026 17 Mar 2026 L 0-4 4.07 0.97 0 −0.97 +4.05 −€1.00
M38 Chesterfield · Home21 Mar 2026 21 Mar 2026 L 0-1 3.89 0.98 0 −0.98 +3.08 −€1.00
M39 Bristol Rovers · Away28 Mar 2026 28 Mar 2026 L 0-2 4.49 0.88 0 −0.88 +2.19 −€1.00
M40 Crewe · Home3 Apr 2026 3 Apr 2026 W 2-0 3.64 1.03 3 +1.97 +4.16 +€2.64
M41 Gillingham · Away6 Apr 2026 6 Apr 2026 L 0-2 3.52 1.07 0 −1.07 +3.08 −€1.00
M42 Fleetwood Town · Home11 Apr 2026 11 Apr 2026 L 1-2 3.14 1.18 0 −1.18 +1.91 −€1.00
M43 Colchester · Away14 Apr 2026 14 Apr 2026 L 1-2 5.29 0.77 0 −0.77 +1.13 −€1.00
M44 Swindon · Away18 Apr 2026 18 Apr 2026 D 2-2 4.99 0.81 1 +0.19 +1.33 −€1.00
M45 Crawley Town · Home25 Apr 2026 25 Apr 2026 D 3-3 2.89 1.24 1 −0.24 +1.09 −€1.00
M46 Oldham · Away2 May 2026 2 May 2026 L 0-3 3.66 1.01 0 −1.01 +0.08 −€1.00
Total 52.92 53 +0.08 −€3.50