Points
62Points expected by the market
61.49Gap
+0.51Yield
−3.8%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 22 | +2.83 | +16.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 26 | 37 | +2.70 | +20.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 3 | −5.02 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 19 | +3.09 | +21.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 18 | −0.99 | +6.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 3 | −0.26 | −3.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 19 | +3.69 | +37.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 3 | −5.02 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Harrogate · Home2 Aug 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.81 | −1.81 |
| M2 | Fleetwood Town · Away9 Aug 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.26 | −3.07 |
| M3 | Chesterfield · Away16 Aug 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.90 | −3.97 |
| M4 | Oldham · Home19 Aug 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.62 | −4.59 |
| M5 | Cambridge · Home23 Aug 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.54 | −3.05 |
| M6 | Grimsby · Away30 Aug 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.90 | −1.15 |
| M7 | Newport County · Away6 Sep 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.29 | +0.14 |
| M8 | Barrow · Home13 Sep 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.19 | +1.33 |
| M9 | Colchester · Away20 Sep 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.48 | +0.86 |
| M10 | Salford · Home27 Sep 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.58 | +2.43 |
| M11 | Walsall · Away4 Oct 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.12 | +1.31 |
| M12 | Milton Keynes Dons · Home11 Oct 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.37 | −0.06 |
| M13 | Tranmere · Home18 Oct 2025 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.66 | −1.72 |
| M14 | Crawley Town · Away25 Oct 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.26 | −2.98 |
| M15 | Gillingham · Home8 Nov 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.38 | −4.36 |
| M16 | Accrington · Away15 Nov 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.21 | −5.57 |
| M17 | Cheltenham · Away22 Nov 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.56 | −7.13 |
| M18 | Notts County · Home29 Nov 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.28 | −8.41 |
| M19 | Barnet · Away9 Dec 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.79 | −9.19 |
| M20 | Swindon · Home13 Dec 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.24 | −10.43 |
| M21 | Crewe · Away19 Dec 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | 0.00 | −10.43 |
| M22 | Bromley · Home26 Dec 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.28 | −11.71 |
| M23 | Barnet · Home29 Dec 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.13 | −12.84 |
| M24 | Shrewsbury · Away1 Jan 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.67 | −11.17 |
| M25 | Colchester · Home17 Jan 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.32 | −12.50 |
| M26 | Salford · Away24 Jan 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.83 | −13.32 |
| M27 | Milton Keynes Dons · Away27 Jan 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.74 | −14.06 |
| M28 | Newport County · Home31 Jan 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.14 | −12.92 |
| M29 | Walsall · Home3 Feb 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.59 | −11.33 |
| M30 | Chesterfield · Home7 Feb 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.47 | −12.80 |
| M31 | Cambridge · Away14 Feb 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.85 | −13.65 |
| M32 | Oldham · Away17 Feb 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.12 | −14.77 |
| M33 | Grimsby · Home21 Feb 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.80 | −12.97 |
| M34 | Swindon · Away28 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.01 | −12.98 |
| M35 | Crewe · Home7 Mar 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.51 | −11.46 |
| M36 | Barrow · Away10 Mar 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.61 | −9.86 |
| M37 | Bromley · Away14 Mar 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.03 | −10.89 |
| M38 | Shrewsbury · Home17 Mar 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.33 | −9.56 |
| M39 | Gillingham · Away21 Mar 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.75 | −7.81 |
| M40 | Accrington · Home28 Mar 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.14 | −6.67 |
| M41 | Fleetwood Town · Home3 Apr 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.47 | −5.20 |
| M42 | Harrogate · Away6 Apr 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.68 | −3.51 |
| M43 | Crawley Town · Home11 Apr 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.28 | −2.23 |
| M44 | Tranmere · Away18 Apr 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.54 | −0.69 |
| M45 | Cheltenham · Home25 Apr 2026 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.10 | +0.40 |
| M46 | Notts County · Away2 May 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.11 | +0.51 |
| Total | 62 | +0.51 | |||