ESEN
← League Two 2025-26

Cheltenham

Season 2025-26 · 46 matches played

Last 5WWLLL

Points

52

Points expected by the market

47.21

Gap

+4.79

Yield

+7.1%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.

M1M5M10M15M20M25M30M35M40M45

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds bandMatches playedMPPointsPtsExpectedGapYield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 0 — — — —
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches 1 1 1.68 −0.68 −100.0%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 17 27 21.48 +5.52 +32.3%
Underdog 3.50 or more 28 24 24.05 −0.05 −4.4%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

MOpponentDateResultRes. Odds to winExpectedPointsPtsGap Running total€1 bet
M1 Cambridge · Away2 Aug 2025 2 Aug 2025 L 0-1 3.81 1.01 0 −1.01 −1.01 −€1.00
M2 Chesterfield · Home9 Aug 2025 9 Aug 2025 L 0-2 3.70 1.02 0 −1.02 −2.02 −€1.00
M3 Milton Keynes Dons · Away16 Aug 2025 16 Aug 2025 L 0-5 5.60 0.74 0 −0.74 −2.76 −€1.00
M4 Bromley · Home19 Aug 2025 19 Aug 2025 L 1-2 3.05 1.20 0 −1.20 −3.96 −€1.00
M5 Barnet · Home23 Aug 2025 23 Aug 2025 L 0-1 4.11 0.94 0 −0.94 −4.90 −€1.00
M6 Salford · Away29 Aug 2025 29 Aug 2025 D 1-1 4.72 0.83 1 +0.17 −4.72 −€1.00
M7 Accrington · Home6 Sep 2025 6 Sep 2025 W 1-0 2.39 1.45 3 +1.55 −3.17 +€1.39
M8 Crawley Town · Away13 Sep 2025 13 Sep 2025 L 0-2 3.63 1.04 0 −1.04 −4.21 −€1.00
M9 Oldham · Home20 Sep 2025 20 Sep 2025 L 0-3 3.20 1.15 0 −1.15 −5.36 −€1.00
M10 Grimsby · Away27 Sep 2025 27 Sep 2025 L 1-7 6.01 0.68 0 −0.68 −6.05 −€1.00
M11 Fleetwood Town · Home4 Oct 2025 4 Oct 2025 W 2-0 3.24 1.14 3 +1.86 −4.19 +€2.24
M12 Gillingham · Away11 Oct 2025 11 Oct 2025 D 1-1 5.58 0.75 1 +0.25 −3.94 −€1.00
M13 Newport County · Away18 Oct 2025 18 Oct 2025 W 2-0 3.28 1.13 3 +1.87 −2.07 +€2.28
M14 Walsall · Home25 Oct 2025 25 Oct 2025 W 1-0 3.94 0.98 3 +2.02 −0.05 +€2.94
M15 Notts County · Home10 Nov 2025 10 Nov 2025 L 1-2 3.42 1.09 0 −1.09 −1.13 −€1.00
M16 Tranmere · Away15 Nov 2025 15 Nov 2025 L 2-3 4.34 0.90 0 −0.90 −2.03 −€1.00
M17 Bristol Rovers · Home22 Nov 2025 22 Nov 2025 W 1-0 3.13 1.17 3 +1.83 −0.20 +€2.13
M18 Colchester · Away29 Nov 2025 29 Nov 2025 L 0-2 6.27 0.68 0 −0.68 −0.87 −€1.00
M19 Swindon · Away9 Dec 2025 9 Dec 2025 W 1-0 6.76 0.62 3 +2.38 +1.51 +€5.76
M20 Harrogate · Home13 Dec 2025 13 Dec 2025 D 1-1 1.98 1.68 1 −0.68 +0.82 −€1.00
M21 Barrow · Away19 Dec 2025 19 Dec 2025 W 2-1 3.70 1.04 3 +1.96 +2.78 +€2.70
M22 Shrewsbury · Home26 Dec 2025 26 Dec 2025 W 3-1 2.72 1.31 3 +1.69 +4.48 +€1.72
M23 Swindon · Home29 Dec 2025 29 Dec 2025 L 0-2 3.46 1.08 0 −1.08 +3.40 −€1.00
M24 Crewe · Away1 Jan 2026 1 Jan 2026 L 1-4 4.00 0.96 0 −0.96 +2.44 −€1.00
M25 Crawley Town · Home4 Jan 2026 4 Jan 2026 W 3-0 2.70 1.32 3 +1.68 +4.12 +€1.70
M26 Oldham · Away17 Jan 2026 17 Jan 2026 L 1-2 4.75 0.87 0 −0.87 +3.26 −€1.00
M27 Grimsby · Home24 Jan 2026 24 Jan 2026 L 0-2 3.66 1.04 0 −1.04 +2.22 −€1.00
M28 Accrington · Away31 Jan 2026 31 Jan 2026 L 1-3 3.92 0.99 0 −0.99 +1.23 −€1.00
M29 Milton Keynes Dons · Home7 Feb 2026 7 Feb 2026 L 2-3 4.59 0.86 0 −0.86 +0.36 −€1.00
M30 Barnet · Away14 Feb 2026 14 Feb 2026 D 0-0 7.37 0.58 1 +0.42 +0.79 −€1.00
M31 Bromley · Away17 Feb 2026 17 Feb 2026 D 1-1 5.78 0.72 1 +0.28 +1.06 −€1.00
M32 Salford · Home21 Feb 2026 21 Feb 2026 W 3-2 4.12 0.93 3 +2.07 +3.13 +€3.12
M33 Harrogate · Away27 Feb 2026 27 Feb 2026 D 1-1 2.79 1.29 1 −0.29 +2.85 −€1.00
M34 Barrow · Home6 Mar 2026 6 Mar 2026 D 2-2 2.20 1.55 1 −0.55 +2.30 −€1.00
M35 Fleetwood Town · Away10 Mar 2026 10 Mar 2026 D 2-2 4.08 0.95 1 +0.05 +2.34 −€1.00
M36 Shrewsbury · Away14 Mar 2026 14 Mar 2026 W 2-0 3.69 1.04 3 +1.96 +4.30 +€2.69
M37 Crewe · Home17 Mar 2026 17 Mar 2026 D 1-1 2.91 1.25 1 −0.25 +4.05 −€1.00
M38 Notts County · Away21 Mar 2026 21 Mar 2026 L 2-5 5.94 0.70 0 −0.70 +3.35 −€1.00
M39 Chesterfield · Away3 Apr 2026 3 Apr 2026 L 0-1 5.62 0.73 0 −0.73 +2.62 −€1.00
M40 Cambridge · Home6 Apr 2026 6 Apr 2026 D 1-1 5.74 0.75 1 +0.25 +2.88 −€1.00
M41 Walsall · Away11 Apr 2026 11 Apr 2026 W 4-0 4.57 0.88 3 +2.12 +5.00 +€3.57
M42 Gillingham · Home14 Apr 2026 14 Apr 2026 W 2-1 2.66 1.34 3 +1.66 +6.66 +€1.66
M43 Newport County · Home18 Apr 2026 18 Apr 2026 W 1-0 2.37 1.47 3 +1.53 +8.19 +€1.37
M44 Tranmere · Home21 Apr 2026 21 Apr 2026 L 1-3 2.54 1.39 0 −1.39 +6.80 −€1.00
M45 Bristol Rovers · Away25 Apr 2026 25 Apr 2026 L 0-4 4.61 0.85 0 −0.85 +5.95 −€1.00
M46 Colchester · Home2 May 2026 2 May 2026 L 1-4 3.08 1.17 0 −1.17 +4.79 −€1.00
Total 47.21 52 +4.79 +€3.27