Points
67Points expected by the market
63.39Gap
+3.61Yield
+2.5%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 1 | −1.10 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 13 | 23 | +0.62 | +3.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 23 | 34 | +3.16 | +14.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 9 | +0.94 | −17.6% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 1 | −1.10 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 20 | +2.49 | +12.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 19 | +3.85 | +42.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 1 | +0.36 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 3 | −1.88 | −29.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 15 | −0.70 | −11.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 8 | +0.58 | −7.3% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Salford · Away2 Aug 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +2.01 | +2.01 |
| M2 | Accrington · Home9 Aug 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.21 | +3.22 |
| M3 | Crawley Town · Home16 Aug 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.18 | +4.40 |
| M4 | Fleetwood Town · Away19 Aug 2025 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.67 | +6.07 |
| M5 | Gillingham · Away23 Aug 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.31 | +4.76 |
| M6 | Swindon · Home30 Aug 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.65 | +3.12 |
| M7 | Colchester · Away6 Sep 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.35 | +2.77 |
| M8 | Barnet · Home13 Sep 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.40 | +1.36 |
| M9 | Barrow · Away20 Sep 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.51 | −0.15 |
| M10 | Notts County · Home27 Sep 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.51 | +1.36 |
| M11 | Harrogate · Away6 Oct 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.42 | +2.79 |
| M12 | Bromley · Home11 Oct 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.53 | +1.25 |
| M13 | Milton Keynes Dons · Away18 Oct 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.98 | +0.27 |
| M14 | Grimsby · Home25 Oct 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.66 | +1.93 |
| M15 | Shrewsbury · Home8 Nov 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.37 | +3.30 |
| M16 | Oldham · Away15 Nov 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.24 | +3.06 |
| M17 | Chesterfield · Home22 Nov 2025 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.48 | +2.58 |
| M18 | Cambridge · Away29 Nov 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.18 | +1.40 |
| M19 | Newport County · Home10 Dec 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.02 | +0.38 |
| M20 | Tranmere · Away13 Dec 2025 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.67 | +2.06 |
| M21 | Bristol Rovers · Home19 Dec 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.73 | +1.32 |
| M22 | Walsall · Away26 Dec 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.08 | +0.24 |
| M23 | Newport County · Away29 Dec 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.60 | −1.36 |
| M24 | Cheltenham · Home1 Jan 2026 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.22 | −0.15 |
| M25 | Harrogate · Home10 Jan 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.10 | −1.24 |
| M26 | Barrow · Home17 Jan 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.21 | −0.03 |
| M27 | Notts County · Away24 Jan 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.05 | −1.09 |
| M28 | Bromley · Away27 Jan 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.13 | −0.96 |
| M29 | Colchester · Home31 Jan 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.64 | +0.68 |
| M30 | Barnet · Away3 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.21 | +0.89 |
| M31 | Crawley Town · Away7 Feb 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.80 | +2.69 |
| M32 | Gillingham · Home14 Feb 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.57 | +4.26 |
| M33 | Fleetwood Town · Home17 Feb 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.57 | +2.70 |
| M34 | Swindon · Away21 Feb 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.97 | +4.66 |
| M35 | Tranmere · Home28 Feb 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.27 | +5.93 |
| M36 | Bristol Rovers · Away7 Mar 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.23 | +4.69 |
| M37 | Walsall · Home14 Mar 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.53 | +3.17 |
| M38 | Cheltenham · Away17 Mar 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.46 | +2.71 |
| M39 | Shrewsbury · Away21 Mar 2026 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.53 | +4.24 |
| M40 | Oldham · Home28 Mar 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.67 | +5.91 |
| M41 | Accrington · Away3 Apr 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.70 | +4.21 |
| M42 | Salford · Home6 Apr 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.82 | +6.03 |
| M43 | Grimsby · Away11 Apr 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.96 | +5.07 |
| M44 | Milton Keynes Dons · Home18 Apr 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.07 | +3.99 |
| M45 | Chesterfield · Away25 Apr 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.74 | +3.26 |
| M46 | Cambridge · Home2 May 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.36 | +3.61 |
| Total | 67 | +3.61 | |||