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← League Two 2025-26

Notts County

Season 2025-26 · 46 matches played

Last 5WLLWD

Points

80

Points expected by the market

70.21

Gap

+9.79

Yield

+15.2%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.

M1M5M10M15M20M25M30M35M40M45

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds bandMatches playedMPPointsPtsExpectedGapYield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches 1 1 2.20 −1.20 −100.0%
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 20 44 35.02 +8.98 +32.2%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 23 34 31.11 +2.89 +15.4%
Underdog 3.50 or more few matches 2 1 1.89 −0.89 −100.0%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

MOpponentDateResultRes. Odds to winExpectedPointsPtsGap Running total€1 bet
M1 Newport County · Away2 Aug 2025 2 Aug 2025 D 1-1 1.76 1.84 1 −0.84 −0.84 −€1.00
M2 Salford · Home9 Aug 2025 9 Aug 2025 L 1-2 2.05 1.62 0 −1.62 −2.47 −€1.00
M3 Barrow · Away16 Aug 2025 16 Aug 2025 L 1-2 2.55 1.39 0 −1.39 −3.85 −€1.00
M4 Shrewsbury · Home20 Aug 2025 20 Aug 2025 W 4-1 2.03 1.65 3 +1.35 −2.51 +€1.03
M5 Bromley · Home23 Aug 2025 23 Aug 2025 D 2-2 2.22 1.54 1 −0.54 −3.05 −€1.00
M6 Tranmere · Away30 Aug 2025 30 Aug 2025 W 2-1 3.12 1.18 3 +1.82 −1.23 +€2.12
M7 Fleetwood Town · Home6 Sep 2025 6 Sep 2025 W 1-0 2.08 1.62 3 +1.38 +0.16 +€1.08
M8 Gillingham · Away13 Sep 2025 13 Sep 2025 L 0-1 3.05 1.21 0 −1.21 −1.05 −€1.00
M9 Crawley Town · Home20 Sep 2025 20 Sep 2025 W 4-0 2.00 1.66 3 +1.34 +0.30 +€1.00
M10 Crewe · Away27 Sep 2025 27 Sep 2025 L 1-2 2.94 1.23 0 −1.23 −0.93 −€1.00
M11 Oldham · Home4 Oct 2025 4 Oct 2025 W 3-1 2.23 1.53 3 +1.47 +0.53 +€1.23
M12 Barnet · Away18 Oct 2025 18 Oct 2025 W 1-0 3.43 1.08 3 +1.92 +2.46 +€2.43
M13 Swindon · Away21 Oct 2025 21 Oct 2025 D 2-2 3.00 1.20 1 −0.20 +2.26 −€1.00
M14 Cambridge · Home25 Oct 2025 25 Oct 2025 W 2-0 2.25 1.54 3 +1.46 +3.72 +€1.25
M15 Cheltenham · Away10 Nov 2025 10 Nov 2025 W 2-1 2.03 1.65 3 +1.35 +5.08 +€1.03
M16 Harrogate · Home15 Nov 2025 15 Nov 2025 D 1-1 1.40 2.20 1 −1.20 +3.88 −€1.00
M17 Colchester · Home22 Nov 2025 22 Nov 2025 L 1-3 2.28 1.51 0 −1.51 +2.38 −€1.00
M18 Bristol Rovers · Away29 Nov 2025 29 Nov 2025 W 1-0 2.44 1.43 3 +1.57 +3.95 +€1.44
M19 Milton Keynes Dons · Home9 Dec 2025 9 Dec 2025 W 3-2 2.80 1.29 3 +1.71 +5.66 +€1.80
M20 Grimsby · Away13 Dec 2025 13 Dec 2025 W 2-0 3.30 1.11 3 +1.89 +7.55 +€2.30
M21 Walsall · Home20 Dec 2025 20 Dec 2025 D 0-0 2.42 1.44 1 −0.44 +7.11 −€1.00
M22 Chesterfield · Away26 Dec 2025 26 Dec 2025 L 0-2 2.53 1.38 0 −1.38 +5.74 −€1.00
M23 Milton Keynes Dons · Away29 Dec 2025 29 Dec 2025 D 1-1 4.00 0.96 1 +0.04 +5.77 −€1.00
M24 Accrington · Home1 Jan 2026 1 Jan 2026 L 0-1 1.77 1.84 0 −1.84 +3.94 −€1.00
M25 Crawley Town · Away17 Jan 2026 17 Jan 2026 W 2-1 2.32 1.48 3 +1.52 +5.46 +€1.32
M26 Crewe · Home24 Jan 2026 24 Jan 2026 W 1-0 1.99 1.67 3 +1.33 +6.78 +€0.99
M27 Swindon · Home27 Jan 2026 27 Jan 2026 W 2-1 2.13 1.59 3 +1.41 +8.19 +€1.13
M28 Fleetwood Town · Away31 Jan 2026 31 Jan 2026 W 2-1 2.13 1.59 3 +1.41 +9.61 +€1.13
M29 Gillingham · Home3 Feb 2026 3 Feb 2026 W 1-0 2.00 1.67 3 +1.33 +10.93 +€1.00
M30 Barrow · Home7 Feb 2026 7 Feb 2026 W 2-1 1.59 2.00 3 +1.00 +11.93 +€0.59
M31 Bromley · Away14 Feb 2026 14 Feb 2026 D 1-1 3.07 1.20 1 −0.20 +11.73 −€1.00
M32 Shrewsbury · Away17 Feb 2026 17 Feb 2026 L 0-1 2.26 1.52 0 −1.52 +10.21 −€1.00
M33 Tranmere · Home21 Feb 2026 21 Feb 2026 W 5-0 1.67 1.92 3 +1.08 +11.29 +€0.67
M34 Grimsby · Home28 Feb 2026 28 Feb 2026 L 0-1 2.05 1.63 0 −1.63 +9.65 −€1.00
M35 Walsall · Away7 Mar 2026 7 Mar 2026 W 2-1 2.40 1.46 3 +1.54 +11.19 +€1.40
M36 Chesterfield · Home14 Mar 2026 14 Mar 2026 L 2-3 2.19 1.55 0 −1.55 +9.64 −€1.00
M37 Accrington · Away17 Mar 2026 17 Mar 2026 W 4-0 1.89 1.75 3 +1.25 +10.89 +€0.89
M38 Cheltenham · Home21 Mar 2026 21 Mar 2026 W 5-2 1.52 2.07 3 +0.93 +11.82 +€0.52
M39 Oldham · Away24 Mar 2026 24 Mar 2026 L 0-3 2.57 1.38 0 −1.38 +10.45 −€1.00
M40 Harrogate · Away28 Mar 2026 28 Mar 2026 W 2-0 1.86 1.76 3 +1.24 +11.69 +€0.86
M41 Salford · Away3 Apr 2026 3 Apr 2026 L 1-2 3.06 1.19 0 −1.19 +10.50 −€1.00
M42 Newport County · Home6 Apr 2026 6 Apr 2026 W 3-1 1.53 2.06 3 +0.94 +11.44 +€0.53
M43 Cambridge · Away11 Apr 2026 11 Apr 2026 L 0-4 4.35 0.93 0 −0.93 +10.52 −€1.00
M44 Barnet · Home18 Apr 2026 18 Apr 2026 L 1-2 2.61 1.35 0 −1.35 +9.17 −€1.00
M45 Colchester · Away25 Apr 2026 25 Apr 2026 W 1-0 2.25 1.50 3 +1.50 +10.67 +€1.25
M46 Bristol Rovers · Home2 May 2026 2 May 2026 D 1-1 1.68 1.88 1 −0.88 +9.79 −€1.00
Total 70.21 80 +9.79 +€6.99