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← League Two 2025-26

Swindon

Season 2025-26 · 46 matches played

Last 5WLDLL

Points

75

Points expected by the market

69.14

Gap

+5.86

Yield

+5.7%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.

M1M5M10M15M20M25M30M35M40M45

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds bandMatches playedMPPointsPtsExpectedGapYield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches 2 3 4.30 −1.30 −27.0%
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 20 42 34.65 +7.35 +11.9%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 20 26 26.58 −0.58 +2.1%
Underdog 3.50 or more few matches 4 4 3.60 +0.40 +8.7%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

MOpponentDateResultRes. Odds to winExpectedPointsPtsGap Running total€1 bet
M1 Walsall · Away2 Aug 2025 2 Aug 2025 L 1-2 2.92 1.23 0 −1.23 −1.23 −€1.00
M2 Cambridge · Home9 Aug 2025 9 Aug 2025 W 3-2 2.17 1.57 3 +1.43 +0.19 +€1.17
M3 Oldham · Away16 Aug 2025 16 Aug 2025 W 2-1 2.91 1.25 3 +1.75 +1.94 +€1.91
M4 Barnet · Home19 Aug 2025 19 Aug 2025 L 0-2 2.41 1.43 0 −1.43 +0.51 −€1.00
M5 Shrewsbury · Home23 Aug 2025 23 Aug 2025 W 2-1 1.82 1.81 3 +1.19 +1.71 +€0.82
M6 Crewe · Away30 Aug 2025 30 Aug 2025 W 3-0 3.39 1.09 3 +1.91 +3.62 +€2.39
M7 Barrow · Away6 Sep 2025 6 Sep 2025 W 3-1 2.24 1.53 3 +1.47 +5.09 +€1.24
M8 Harrogate · Home13 Sep 2025 13 Sep 2025 W 3-1 1.57 2.02 3 +0.98 +6.07 +€0.57
M9 Salford · Away20 Sep 2025 20 Sep 2025 L 2-3 2.89 1.23 0 −1.23 +4.85 −€1.00
M10 Bromley · Home27 Sep 2025 27 Sep 2025 W 2-0 2.07 1.61 3 +1.39 +6.24 +€1.07
M11 Newport County · Away4 Oct 2025 4 Oct 2025 W 1-0 1.67 1.92 3 +1.08 +7.32 +€0.67
M12 Accrington · Away18 Oct 2025 18 Oct 2025 L 0-4 1.96 1.69 0 −1.69 +5.63 −€1.00
M13 Notts County · Home21 Oct 2025 21 Oct 2025 D 2-2 2.19 1.54 1 −0.54 +5.09 −€1.00
M14 Colchester · Home25 Oct 2025 25 Oct 2025 D 0-0 2.18 1.54 1 −0.54 +4.55 −€1.00
M15 Tranmere · Home8 Nov 2025 8 Nov 2025 W 2-1 1.91 1.72 3 +1.28 +5.83 +€0.91
M16 Fleetwood Town · Away15 Nov 2025 15 Nov 2025 D 1-1 2.39 1.44 1 −0.44 +5.40 −€1.00
M17 Grimsby · Home22 Nov 2025 22 Nov 2025 D 2-2 2.35 1.46 1 −0.46 +4.94 −€1.00
M18 Chesterfield · Away29 Nov 2025 29 Nov 2025 W 2-1 2.62 1.33 3 +1.67 +6.61 +€1.62
M19 Cheltenham · Home9 Dec 2025 9 Dec 2025 L 0-1 1.42 2.17 0 −2.17 +4.43 −€1.00
M20 Bristol Rovers · Away13 Dec 2025 13 Dec 2025 W 3-0 2.31 1.48 3 +1.52 +5.95 +€1.31
M21 Crawley Town · Home20 Dec 2025 20 Dec 2025 W 1-0 1.68 1.90 3 +1.10 +7.05 +€0.68
M22 Milton Keynes Dons · Away26 Dec 2025 26 Dec 2025 L 0-1 3.94 0.99 0 −0.99 +6.07 −€1.00
M23 Cheltenham · Away29 Dec 2025 29 Dec 2025 W 2-0 2.02 1.65 3 +1.35 +7.42 +€1.02
M24 Gillingham · Home1 Jan 2026 1 Jan 2026 W 2-0 2.08 1.62 3 +1.38 +8.79 +€1.08
M25 Salford · Home17 Jan 2026 17 Jan 2026 L 2-3 2.46 1.41 0 −1.41 +7.38 −€1.00
M26 Bromley · Away24 Jan 2026 24 Jan 2026 L 1-2 3.47 1.08 0 −1.08 +6.31 −€1.00
M27 Notts County · Away27 Jan 2026 27 Jan 2026 L 1-2 3.31 1.13 0 −1.13 +5.18 −€1.00
M28 Barrow · Home31 Jan 2026 31 Jan 2026 W 3-1 1.73 1.87 3 +1.13 +6.32 +€0.73
M29 Harrogate · Away3 Feb 2026 3 Feb 2026 W 1-0 1.68 1.90 3 +1.10 +7.41 +€0.68
M30 Oldham · Home7 Feb 2026 7 Feb 2026 W 3-0 2.35 1.47 3 +1.53 +8.95 +€1.35
M31 Newport County · Home11 Feb 2026 11 Feb 2026 W 2-0 1.46 2.12 3 +0.88 +9.82 +€0.46
M32 Shrewsbury · Away14 Feb 2026 14 Feb 2026 L 1-3 2.33 1.48 0 −1.48 +8.34 −€1.00
M33 Barnet · Away17 Feb 2026 17 Feb 2026 W 2-1 4.35 0.89 3 +2.11 +10.45 +€3.35
M34 Crewe · Home21 Feb 2026 21 Feb 2026 L 1-2 1.94 1.70 0 −1.70 +8.75 −€1.00
M35 Bristol Rovers · Home28 Feb 2026 28 Feb 2026 D 1-1 1.90 1.73 1 −0.73 +8.02 −€1.00
M36 Crawley Town · Away7 Mar 2026 7 Mar 2026 D 2-2 2.08 1.60 1 −0.60 +7.42 −€1.00
M37 Milton Keynes Dons · Home14 Mar 2026 14 Mar 2026 L 1-2 2.97 1.21 0 −1.21 +6.21 −€1.00
M38 Gillingham · Away17 Mar 2026 17 Mar 2026 W 2-0 2.40 1.44 3 +1.56 +7.77 +€1.40
M39 Tranmere · Away21 Mar 2026 21 Mar 2026 W 1-0 1.97 1.68 3 +1.32 +9.09 +€0.97
M40 Fleetwood Town · Home28 Mar 2026 28 Mar 2026 D 1-1 2.03 1.64 1 −0.64 +8.45 −€1.00
M41 Cambridge · Away2 Apr 2026 2 Apr 2026 D 1-1 4.93 0.83 1 +0.17 +8.62 −€1.00
M42 Walsall · Home6 Apr 2026 6 Apr 2026 W 2-1 2.20 1.55 3 +1.45 +10.07 +€1.20
M43 Colchester · Away10 Apr 2026 10 Apr 2026 L 0-3 2.88 1.23 0 −1.23 +8.84 −€1.00
M44 Accrington · Home18 Apr 2026 18 Apr 2026 D 2-2 1.64 1.95 1 −0.95 +7.89 −€1.00
M45 Grimsby · Away25 Apr 2026 25 Apr 2026 L 0-4 4.24 0.90 0 −0.90 +6.99 −€1.00
M46 Chesterfield · Home2 May 2026 2 May 2026 L 1-2 3.18 1.13 0 −1.13 +5.86 −€1.00
Total 69.14 75 +5.86 +€2.60