← Liga MX 2019-20

Guadalajara Chivas

Season 2019-20 · 28 matches played

Last 5LWWWD

Points

Points expected by the market

38.30

Gap

+2.70

Yield

−6.4%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds band	Matches playedMP	PointsPts	Expected	Gap	Yield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches	1	3	2.41	+0.59	+23.0%
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	6	10	10.37	−0.37	−5.7%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	16	26	21.06	+4.94	+20.8%
Underdog 3.50 or more	5	2	4.46	−2.46	−100.0%
Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches	1	3	2.41	+0.59	+23.0%
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	6	10	10.37	−0.37	−5.7%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	7	11	9.75	+1.25	+13.6%
Underdog 3.50 or more	0	—	—	—	—
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	0	—	—	—	—
Even 2.20 – 3.49	9	15	11.31	+3.69	+26.4%
Underdog 3.50 or more	5	2	4.46	−2.46	−100.0%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

M	Opponent	Date	ResultRes.	Odds to win	Expected	PointsPts	Gap	Running total	€1 bet
M1	Santos Laguna · Away22 Jul 2019	22 Jul 2019	L 0-3	3.26	1.15	0	−1.15	−1.15	−€1.00
M2	Tigres UANL · Home29 Jul 2019	29 Jul 2019	W 2-0	3.33	1.13	3	+1.87	+0.72	+€2.33
M3	Puebla · Away3 Aug 2019	3 Aug 2019	D 1-1	2.49	1.41	1	−0.41	+0.31	−€1.00
M4	Atlético San Luis · Home11 Aug 2019	11 Aug 2019	W 3-0	2.01	1.67	3	+1.33	+1.63	+€1.01
M5	Club Leon · Away18 Aug 2019	18 Aug 2019	L 3-4	4.79	0.82	0	−0.82	+0.81	−€1.00
M6	Necaxa · Home25 Aug 2019	25 Aug 2019	L 1-2	1.98	1.68	0	−1.68	−0.87	−€1.00
M7	Cruz Azul · Away1 Sep 2019	1 Sep 2019	D 1-1	4.03	0.98	1	+0.02	−0.85	−€1.00
M8	Atlas · Home15 Sep 2019	15 Sep 2019	W 1-0	1.98	1.68	3	+1.32	+0.46	+€0.98
M9	Monarcas · Away21 Sep 2019	21 Sep 2019	L 0-1	3.18	1.16	0	−1.16	−0.70	−€1.00
M10	Pachuca · Home25 Sep 2019	25 Sep 2019	L 2-4	2.32	1.48	0	−1.48	−2.17	−€1.00
M11	Club America · Away29 Sep 2019	29 Sep 2019	L 1-4	3.78	1.02	0	−1.02	−3.20	−€1.00
M12	UNAM Pumas · Home6 Oct 2019	6 Oct 2019	D 1-1	2.38	1.46	1	−0.46	−3.65	−€1.00
M13	Monterrey · Away21 Oct 2019	21 Oct 2019	D 1-1	5.84	0.71	1	+0.29	−3.36	−€1.00
M14	Juarez · Away28 Oct 2019	28 Oct 2019	W 2-1	2.74	1.32	3	+1.68	−1.68	+€1.74
M15	Club Tijuana · Home31 Oct 2019	31 Oct 2019	L 0-1	2.11	1.60	0	−1.60	−3.28	−€1.00
M16	Toluca · Away3 Nov 2019	3 Nov 2019	W 3-1	2.98	1.22	3	+1.78	−1.50	+€1.98
M17	Queretaro · Home10 Nov 2019	10 Nov 2019	W 3-2	2.29	1.50	3	+1.50	0.00	+€1.29
M18	Veracruz · Home24 Nov 2019	24 Nov 2019	W 3-1	1.23	2.41	3	+0.59	+0.59	+€0.23
M19	Juarez · Home12 Jan 2020	12 Jan 2020	W 2-0	1.67	1.93	3	+1.07	+1.67	+€0.67
M20	Pachuca · Away19 Jan 2020	19 Jan 2020	D 0-0	3.09	1.17	1	−0.17	+1.50	−€1.00
M21	Toluca · Home26 Jan 2020	26 Jan 2020	D 2-2	1.82	1.80	1	−0.80	+0.70	−€1.00
M22	Atlético San Luis · Away1 Feb 2020	1 Feb 2020	D 2-2	2.91	1.26	1	−0.26	+0.44	−€1.00
M23	Tigres UANL · Away9 Feb 2020	9 Feb 2020	L 0-3	4.27	0.93	0	−0.93	−0.49	−€1.00
M24	Cruz Azul · Home16 Feb 2020	16 Feb 2020	L 1-2	2.56	1.38	0	−1.38	−1.87	−€1.00
M25	Club Tijuana · Away22 Feb 2020	22 Feb 2020	W 1-0	3.32	1.13	3	+1.87	0.00	+€2.32
M26	Club Leon · Home1 Mar 2020	1 Mar 2020	W 2-0	2.33	1.48	3	+1.52	+1.53	+€1.33
M27	Atlas · Away8 Mar 2020	8 Mar 2020	W 2-1	2.34	1.50	3	+1.50	+3.02	+€1.34
M28	Monterrey · Home15 Mar 2020	15 Mar 2020	D 1-1	2.74	1.32	1	−0.32	+2.70	−€1.00
Total					38.30	41	+2.70		−€1.78