← Liga MX 2019-20

Toluca

Season 2019-20 · 28 matches played

Last 5LLWDL

Points

27

Points expected by the market

35.85

Gap

−8.85

Yield

−41.1%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.

M1M5M10M15M20M25

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds bandMatches playedMPPointsPtsExpectedGapYield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 0 — — — —
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 7 6 11.96 −5.96 −70.1%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 12 14 16.08 −2.08 −9.7%
Underdog 3.50 or more 9 7 7.81 −0.81 −60.3%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

MOpponentDateResultRes. Odds to winExpectedPointsPtsGap Running total€1 bet
M1 Queretaro · Home21 Jul 2019 21 Jul 2019 L 0-2 1.62 1.96 0 −1.96 −1.96 −€1.00
M2 Cruz Azul · Away28 Jul 2019 28 Jul 2019 D 1-1 5.10 0.79 1 +0.21 −1.75 −€1.00
M3 Juarez · Away5 Aug 2019 5 Aug 2019 L 0-2 2.36 1.47 0 −1.47 −3.22 −€1.00
M4 Club America · Home11 Aug 2019 11 Aug 2019 L 0-1 3.03 1.20 0 −1.20 −4.42 −€1.00
M5 Monterrey · Away18 Aug 2019 18 Aug 2019 L 0-2 6.24 0.66 0 −0.66 −5.08 −€1.00
M6 Club Tijuana · Home25 Aug 2019 25 Aug 2019 W 2-0 2.09 1.61 3 +1.39 −3.69 +€1.09
M7 Necaxa · Away29 Aug 2019 29 Aug 2019 D 1-1 3.24 1.14 1 −0.14 −3.83 −€1.00
M8 UNAM Pumas · Away1 Sep 2019 1 Sep 2019 L 1-2 3.77 1.01 0 −1.01 −4.84 −€1.00
M9 Monarcas · Home15 Sep 2019 15 Sep 2019 L 0-2 2.22 1.54 0 −1.54 −6.38 −€1.00
M10 Atlas · Away21 Sep 2019 21 Sep 2019 W 1-0 3.04 1.21 3 +1.79 −4.59 +€2.04
M11 Atlético San Luis · Home27 Sep 2019 27 Sep 2019 W 3-1 2.35 1.48 3 +1.52 −3.07 +€1.35
M12 Veracruz · Away30 Sep 2019 30 Sep 2019 D 1-1 1.96 1.70 1 −0.70 −3.77 −€1.00
M13 Puebla · Home6 Oct 2019 6 Oct 2019 D 1-1 1.80 1.81 1 −0.81 −4.58 −€1.00
M14 Pachuca · Home27 Oct 2019 27 Oct 2019 W 2-0 2.61 1.34 3 +1.66 −2.92 +€1.61
M15 Tigres UANL · Away31 Oct 2019 31 Oct 2019 L 0-1 6.08 0.69 0 −0.69 −3.61 −€1.00
M16 Guadalajara Chivas · Home3 Nov 2019 3 Nov 2019 L 1-3 2.30 1.50 0 −1.50 −5.10 −€1.00
M17 Club Leon · Away10 Nov 2019 10 Nov 2019 L 0-4 5.48 0.73 0 −0.73 −5.83 −€1.00
M18 Santos Laguna · Home24 Nov 2019 24 Nov 2019 D 2-2 2.11 1.58 1 −0.58 −6.41 −€1.00
M19 Monarcas · Away11 Jan 2020 11 Jan 2020 W 1-0 3.57 1.06 3 +1.94 −4.47 +€2.57
M20 Necaxa · Home19 Jan 2020 19 Jan 2020 L 2-3 2.12 1.59 0 −1.59 −6.05 −€1.00
M21 Guadalajara Chivas · Away26 Jan 2020 26 Jan 2020 D 2-2 4.20 0.93 1 +0.07 −5.99 −€1.00
M22 Cruz Azul · Home2 Feb 2020 2 Feb 2020 D 3-3 2.98 1.22 1 −0.22 −6.21 −€1.00
M23 Club Tijuana · Away8 Feb 2020 8 Feb 2020 D 1-1 4.36 0.90 1 +0.10 −6.11 −€1.00
M24 UNAM Pumas · Home15 Feb 2020 15 Feb 2020 L 2-3 2.45 1.41 0 −1.41 −7.52 −€1.00
M25 Puebla · Away22 Feb 2020 22 Feb 2020 L 0-2 2.67 1.32 0 −1.32 −8.84 −€1.00
M26 Monterrey · Home29 Feb 2020 29 Feb 2020 W 2-0 2.83 1.26 3 +1.74 −7.10 +€1.83
M27 Queretaro · Away7 Mar 2020 7 Mar 2020 D 1-1 3.58 1.05 1 −0.05 −7.14 −€1.00
M28 Atlas · Home15 Mar 2020 15 Mar 2020 L 2-3 1.96 1.71 0 −1.71 −8.85 −€1.00
Total 35.85 27 −8.85 −€11.51