← Liga MX 2025-26

Toluca

Season 2025-26 · 42 matches played

Last 5LLWLL

Points

77

Points expected by the market

77.41

Gap

−0.41

Yield

−9.8%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.

M1M5M10M15M20M25M30M35M40

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds bandMatches playedMPPointsPtsExpectedGapYield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 9 23 20.87 +2.13 −0.6%
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 24 44 44.93 −0.93 −13.1%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 8 10 10.54 −0.54 +1.0%
Underdog 3.50 or more few matches 1 0 1.06 −1.06 −100.0%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

MOpponentDateResultRes. Odds to winExpectedPointsPtsGap Running total€1 bet
M1 Necaxa · Home13 Jul 2025 13 Jul 2025 W 3-1 1.51 2.05 3 +0.95 +0.95 +€0.51
M2 Santos Laguna · Away17 Jul 2025 17 Jul 2025 W 4-2 1.95 1.68 3 +1.32 +2.27 +€0.95
M3 Tigres UANL · Home27 Jul 2025 27 Jul 2025 L 3-4 1.79 1.81 0 −1.81 +0.46 −€1.00
M4 Juarez · Away12 Aug 2025 12 Aug 2025 W 2-0 1.93 1.70 3 +1.30 +1.76 +€0.93
M5 UNAM Pumas · Home17 Aug 2025 17 Aug 2025 D 1-1 1.70 1.88 1 −0.88 +0.88 −€1.00
M6 Cruz Azul · Away24 Aug 2025 24 Aug 2025 L 0-1 3.10 1.15 0 −1.15 −0.26 −€1.00
M7 Atlético San Luis · Away30 Aug 2025 30 Aug 2025 W 3-1 1.55 2.00 3 +1.00 +0.73 +€0.55
M8 Puebla · Home14 Sep 2025 14 Sep 2025 W 3-1 1.32 2.28 3 +0.72 +1.45 +€0.32
M9 Guadalajara Chivas · Away21 Sep 2025 21 Sep 2025 W 3-0 2.27 1.49 3 +1.51 +2.96 +€1.27
M10 Monterrey · Home25 Sep 2025 25 Sep 2025 W 6-2 1.51 2.04 3 +0.96 +3.93 +€0.51
M11 Mazatlan FC · Home28 Sep 2025 28 Sep 2025 W 3-1 1.21 2.44 3 +0.56 +4.49 +€0.21
M12 Club Leon · Away5 Oct 2025 5 Oct 2025 W 4-2 1.54 2.01 3 +0.99 +5.48 +€0.54
M13 Queretaro · Home19 Oct 2025 19 Oct 2025 W 4-0 1.19 2.47 3 +0.53 +6.01 +€0.19
M14 Club Tijuana · Away23 Oct 2025 23 Oct 2025 D 0-0 2.08 1.58 1 −0.58 +5.43 −€1.00
M15 Pachuca · Home27 Oct 2025 27 Oct 2025 D 2-2 1.50 2.05 1 −1.05 +4.38 −€1.00
M16 Atlas · Away1 Nov 2025 1 Nov 2025 D 0-0 1.57 1.98 1 −0.98 +3.40 −€1.00
M17 Club America · Home9 Nov 2025 9 Nov 2025 W 2-0 2.39 1.42 3 +1.58 +4.98 +€1.39
M18 Juarez · Away27 Nov 2025 27 Nov 2025 W 2-1 2.00 1.66 3 +1.34 +6.32 +€1.00
M19 Juarez · Home30 Nov 2025 30 Nov 2025 D 0-0 1.30 2.31 1 −1.31 +5.01 −€1.00
M20 Monterrey · Away4 Dec 2025 4 Dec 2025 L 0-1 2.46 1.39 0 −1.39 +3.62 −€1.00
M21 Monterrey · Home7 Dec 2025 7 Dec 2025 W 3-2 1.39 2.18 3 +0.82 +4.44 +€0.39
M22 Tigres UANL · Away12 Dec 2025 12 Dec 2025 L 0-1 3.56 1.06 0 −1.06 +3.37 −€1.00
M23 Tigres UANL · Home15 Dec 2025 15 Dec 2025 W 2-1 1.55 2.02 3 +0.98 +4.35 +€0.55
M24 Monterrey · Away11 Jan 2026 11 Jan 2026 W 1-0 3.42 1.08 3 +1.92 +6.28 +€2.42
M25 Santos Laguna · Home15 Jan 2026 15 Jan 2026 W 3-1 1.17 2.50 3 +0.50 +6.78 +€0.17
M26 Tigres UANL · Away18 Jan 2026 18 Jan 2026 D 0-0 3.23 1.13 1 −0.13 +6.65 −€1.00
M27 Puebla · Away31 Jan 2026 31 Jan 2026 D 0-0 1.43 2.15 1 −1.15 +5.49 −€1.00
M28 Cruz Azul · Home7 Feb 2026 7 Feb 2026 D 1-1 1.84 1.77 1 −0.77 +4.72 −€1.00
M29 Club Tijuana · Home14 Feb 2026 14 Feb 2026 W 1-0 1.21 2.44 3 +0.56 +5.28 +€0.21
M30 Necaxa · Away22 Feb 2026 22 Feb 2026 W 3-0 1.60 1.98 3 +1.02 +6.31 +€0.60
M31 Guadalajara Chivas · Home28 Feb 2026 28 Feb 2026 W 2-0 2.04 1.63 3 +1.37 +7.67 +€1.04
M32 UNAM Pumas · Away4 Mar 2026 4 Mar 2026 W 3-2 1.88 1.73 3 +1.27 +8.94 +€0.88
M33 Juarez · Home8 Mar 2026 8 Mar 2026 W 3-1 1.46 2.11 3 +0.89 +9.83 +€0.46
M34 Atlas · Home15 Mar 2026 15 Mar 2026 D 1-1 1.52 2.05 1 −1.05 +8.78 −€1.00
M35 Pachuca · Away22 Mar 2026 22 Mar 2026 D 1-1 1.87 1.73 1 −0.73 +8.05 −€1.00
M36 Queretaro · Away5 Apr 2026 5 Apr 2026 L 0-1 1.51 2.04 0 −2.04 +6.01 −€1.00
M37 Atlético San Luis · Home13 Apr 2026 13 Apr 2026 D 1-1 1.52 2.03 1 −1.03 +4.98 −€1.00
M38 Club America · Away19 Apr 2026 19 Apr 2026 L 1-2 2.38 1.44 0 −1.44 +3.54 −€1.00
M39 Mazatlan FC · Away23 Apr 2026 23 Apr 2026 L 3-4 1.56 1.99 0 −1.99 +1.55 −€1.00
M40 Club Leon · Home26 Apr 2026 26 Apr 2026 W 4-1 1.79 1.77 3 +1.23 +2.78 +€0.79
M41 Pachuca · Home4 May 2026 4 May 2026 L 0-1 1.84 1.75 0 −1.75 +1.03 −€1.00
M42 Pachuca · Away11 May 2026 11 May 2026 L 0-2 2.34 1.44 0 −1.44 −0.41 −€1.00
Total 77.41 77 −0.41 −€4.12