← Liga MX 2026-27

Toluca

Season 2026-27 · 13 matches played

Last 5LDLDD

Points

22

Points expected by the market

25.78

Gap

−3.78

Yield

−16.1%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.

M1M2M4M6M8M10M12

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds bandMatches playedMPPointsPtsExpectedGapYield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 7 14 16.14 −2.14 −20.4%
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches 3 4 5.72 −1.72 −37.0%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches 3 4 3.93 +0.07 +15.0%
Underdog 3.50 or more 0 — — — —

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

MOpponentDateResultRes. Odds to winExpectedPointsPtsGap Running total€1 bet
M1 Guadalajara Chivas · Away19 Jul 2026 19 Jul 2026 W 2-0 3.45 1.05 3 +1.95 +1.95 +€2.45
M2 UNAM Pumas · Home22 Jul 2026 22 Jul 2026 L 1-2 1.53 2.01 0 −2.01 −0.07 −€1.00
M3 Necaxa · Home3 Aug 2026 3 Aug 2026 W 3-1 1.44 2.11 3 +0.89 +0.82 +€0.44
M4 Atlante · Away16 Aug 2026 16 Aug 2026 D 0-0 1.57 1.99 1 −0.99 −0.16 −€1.00
M5 Queretaro · Away22 Aug 2026 22 Aug 2026 W 2-1 1.89 1.72 3 +1.28 +1.12 +€0.89
M6 Juarez · Home31 Aug 2026 31 Aug 2026 W 4-0 1.33 2.27 3 +0.73 +1.85 +€0.33
M7 Atlas · Home13 Sep 2026 13 Sep 2026 W 5-2 1.34 2.25 3 +0.75 +2.60 +€0.34
M8 Puebla · Away16 Sep 2026 16 Sep 2026 W 1-0 1.46 2.10 3 +0.90 +3.50 +€0.46
M9 Santos Laguna · Home21 Sep 2026 21 Sep 2026 L 2-3 1.19 2.47 0 −2.47 +1.03 −€1.00
M10 Cruz Azul · Away26 Sep 2026 26 Sep 2026 D 3-3 2.60 1.37 1 −0.37 +0.67 −€1.00
M11 Tigres UANL · Away10 Oct 2026 10 Oct 2026 L 2-3 2.21 1.51 0 −1.51 −0.84 −€1.00
M12 Atlético San Luis · Home18 Oct 2026 18 Oct 2026 D 1-1 1.26 2.34 1 −1.34 −2.19 −€1.00
M13 Club Tijuana · Home22 Oct 2026 22 Oct 2026 D 2-2 1.11 2.60 1 −1.60 −3.78 −€1.00
Total 25.78 22 −3.78 −€2.09