← Liga Profesional 2019-20

Independiente

Season 2019-20 · 23 matches played

Last 5LDLLW

Points

29

Points expected by the market

36.36

Gap

−7.36

Yield

−31.0%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.

M1M5M10M15M20

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds bandMatches playedMPPointsPtsExpectedGapYield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 0 — — — —
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 15 21 26.11 −5.11 −26.9%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 6 7 8.24 −1.24 −18.3%
Underdog 3.50 or more few matches 2 1 2.01 −1.01 −100.0%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

MOpponentDateResultRes. Odds to winExpectedPointsPtsGap Running total€1 bet
M1 Defensa y Justicia · Away28 Jul 2019 28 Jul 2019 W 1-0 2.55 1.43 3 +1.57 +1.57 +€1.55
M2 Estudiantes de La Plata · Away20 Aug 2019 20 Aug 2019 L 0-3 2.53 1.44 0 −1.44 +0.13 −€1.00
M3 Colon Santa Fe · Home25 Aug 2019 25 Aug 2019 W 2-0 1.72 1.91 3 +1.09 +1.21 +€0.72
M4 Patronato · Away31 Aug 2019 31 Aug 2019 L 0-1 2.00 1.71 0 −1.71 −0.49 −€1.00
M5 Lanus · Home15 Sep 2019 15 Sep 2019 D 2-2 1.96 1.73 1 −0.73 −1.22 −€1.00
M6 Atlético Tucumán · Away22 Sep 2019 22 Sep 2019 W 1-0 2.35 1.50 3 +1.50 +0.28 +€1.35
M7 Talleres Cordoba · Home30 Sep 2019 30 Sep 2019 W 3-2 1.76 1.87 3 +1.13 +1.40 +€0.76
M8 Velez Sarsfield · Away6 Oct 2019 6 Oct 2019 L 0-2 3.19 1.20 0 −1.20 +0.20 −€1.00
M9 Argentinos Juniors · Home19 Oct 2019 19 Oct 2019 L 0-1 2.06 1.67 0 −1.67 −1.46 −€1.00
M10 Union de Santa Fe · Away30 Oct 2019 30 Oct 2019 D 2-2 2.82 1.32 1 −0.32 −1.78 −€1.00
M11 San Lorenzo · Home3 Nov 2019 3 Nov 2019 W 2-1 1.86 1.79 3 +1.21 −0.57 +€0.86
M12 Godoy Cruz · Away9 Nov 2019 9 Nov 2019 W 2-1 2.05 1.66 3 +1.34 +0.77 +€1.05
M13 Aldosivi · Away2 Dec 2019 2 Dec 2019 D 0-0 1.76 1.87 1 −0.87 −0.10 −€1.00
M14 Banfield · Home7 Dec 2019 7 Dec 2019 L 0-1 2.19 1.60 0 −1.60 −1.70 −€1.00
M15 Newells Old Boys · Home13 Dec 2019 13 Dec 2019 L 2-3 2.16 1.62 0 −1.62 −3.32 −€1.00
M16 River Plate · Home19 Jan 2020 19 Jan 2020 L 1-2 3.82 1.01 0 −1.01 −4.33 −€1.00
M17 Boca Juniors · Away27 Jan 2020 27 Jan 2020 D 0-0 4.00 1.00 1 0.00 −4.33 −€1.00
M18 Rosario Central · Home1 Feb 2020 1 Feb 2020 W 5-0 1.86 1.80 3 +1.20 −3.14 +€0.86
M19 Racing Club · Away9 Feb 2020 9 Feb 2020 L 0-1 2.71 1.35 0 −1.35 −4.49 −€1.00
M20 Arsenal Sarandi · Home18 Feb 2020 18 Feb 2020 D 1-1 2.14 1.60 1 −0.60 −5.09 −€1.00
M21 Gimnasia de La Plata · Home22 Feb 2020 22 Feb 2020 L 0-1 1.93 1.75 0 −1.75 −6.84 −€1.00
M22 Huracan · Away3 Mar 2020 3 Mar 2020 L 0-1 2.16 1.62 0 −1.62 −8.46 −€1.00
M23 Central Cordoba · Home8 Mar 2020 8 Mar 2020 W 3-0 1.71 1.91 3 +1.09 −7.36 +€0.71
Total 36.36 29 −7.36 −€7.14