← Liga Profesional 2021

Patronato

Season 2021 · 25 matches played

Last 5WLLDD

Points

25

Points expected by the market

29.98

Gap

−4.98

Yield

−49.3%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.

M1M5M10M15M20M25

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds bandMatches playedMPPointsPtsExpectedGapYield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 0 — — — —
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches 1 3 1.64 +1.36 +111.0%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 16 19 21.43 −2.43 −34.0%
Underdog 3.50 or more 8 3 6.92 −3.92 −100.0%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

MOpponentDateResultRes. Odds to winExpectedPointsPtsGap Running total€1 bet
M1 Aldosivi · Away17 Jul 2021 17 Jul 2021 W 2-0 2.94 1.27 3 +1.73 +1.73 +€1.94
M2 Sarmiento Junin · Home25 Jul 2021 25 Jul 2021 W 2-0 2.11 1.64 3 +1.36 +3.09 +€1.11
M3 Independiente · Away28 Jul 2021 28 Jul 2021 L 0-2 4.40 0.93 0 −0.93 +2.16 −€1.00
M4 Newells Old Boys · Home2 Aug 2021 2 Aug 2021 D 0-0 2.52 1.43 1 −0.43 +1.73 −€1.00
M5 Arsenal Sarandi · Away9 Aug 2021 9 Aug 2021 D 2-2 2.54 1.42 1 −0.42 +1.31 −€1.00
M6 Central Cordoba · Home15 Aug 2021 15 Aug 2021 W 1-0 2.34 1.52 3 +1.48 +2.78 +€1.34
M7 Boca Juniors · Away22 Aug 2021 22 Aug 2021 L 0-1 5.34 0.81 0 −0.81 +1.98 −€1.00
M8 Banfield · Home24 Aug 2021 24 Aug 2021 D 1-1 3.17 1.21 1 −0.21 +1.76 −€1.00
M9 San Lorenzo · Away30 Aug 2021 30 Aug 2021 L 0-3 2.59 1.40 0 −1.40 +0.36 −€1.00
M10 Talleres Cordoba · Home5 Sep 2021 5 Sep 2021 D 0-0 3.40 1.13 1 −0.13 +0.23 −€1.00
M11 Argentinos Juniors · Away15 Sep 2021 15 Sep 2021 D 1-1 4.21 0.98 1 +0.02 +0.24 −€1.00
M12 Estudiantes de La Plata · Home19 Sep 2021 19 Sep 2021 L 1-2 3.94 1.01 0 −1.01 −0.77 −€1.00
M13 Union de Santa Fe · Away26 Sep 2021 26 Sep 2021 L 0-2 3.25 1.18 0 −1.18 −1.95 −€1.00
M14 Platense · Away2 Oct 2021 2 Oct 2021 D 0-0 2.97 1.27 1 −0.27 −2.22 −€1.00
M15 Racing Club · Home9 Oct 2021 9 Oct 2021 L 1-2 2.23 1.58 0 −1.58 −3.80 −€1.00
M16 Rosario Central · Away15 Oct 2021 15 Oct 2021 L 2-3 2.99 1.23 0 −1.23 −5.02 −€1.00
M17 Defensa y Justicia · Home19 Oct 2021 19 Oct 2021 D 3-3 3.12 1.20 1 −0.20 −5.23 −€1.00
M18 Atlético Tucumán · Away25 Oct 2021 25 Oct 2021 D 2-2 3.51 1.08 1 −0.08 −5.31 −€1.00
M19 Colon Santa Fe · Home1 Nov 2021 1 Nov 2021 W 2-0 2.66 1.37 3 +1.63 −3.68 +€1.66
M20 River Plate · Away7 Nov 2021 7 Nov 2021 L 0-5 8.59 0.51 0 −0.51 −4.19 −€1.00
M21 Lanus · Home18 Nov 2021 18 Nov 2021 W 3-2 2.62 1.35 3 +1.65 −2.55 +€1.62
M22 Huracan · Away23 Nov 2021 23 Nov 2021 L 0-1 4.25 0.94 0 −0.94 −3.49 −€1.00
M23 Godoy Cruz · Home27 Nov 2021 27 Nov 2021 L 0-3 2.32 1.50 0 −1.50 −4.98 −€1.00
M24 Velez Sarsfield · Away4 Dec 2021 4 Dec 2021 D 0-0 6.93 0.65 1 +0.35 −4.63 −€1.00
M25 Gimnasia de La Plata · Home11 Dec 2021 11 Dec 2021 D 0-0 2.66 1.35 1 −0.35 −4.98 −€1.00
Total 29.98 25 −4.98 −€12.33