← Liga Profesional 2023

Independiente

Season 2023 · 27 matches played

Last 5DLWLL

Points

28

Points expected by the market

35.03

Gap

−7.03

Yield

−38.6%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.

M1M5M10M15M20M25

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds bandMatches playedMPPointsPtsExpectedGapYield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 0 — — — —
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 5 4 8.34 −4.34 −57.8%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 14 17 18.77 −1.77 −22.6%
Underdog 3.50 or more 8 7 7.92 −0.92 −54.5%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

MOpponentDateResultRes. Odds to winExpectedPointsPtsGap Running total€1 bet
M1 Talleres Cordoba · Away28 Jan 2023 28 Jan 2023 W 1-0 3.64 1.09 3 +1.91 +1.91 +€2.64
M2 Platense · Home5 Feb 2023 5 Feb 2023 L 1-2 2.04 1.69 0 −1.69 +0.21 −€1.00
M3 Velez Sarsfield · Away12 Feb 2023 12 Feb 2023 D 0-0 3.50 1.12 1 −0.12 +0.09 −€1.00
M4 Defensa y Justicia · Home20 Feb 2023 20 Feb 2023 L 0-2 2.09 1.65 0 −1.65 −1.56 −€1.00
M5 Banfield · Away27 Feb 2023 27 Feb 2023 D 0-0 3.60 1.10 1 −0.10 −1.67 −€1.00
M6 Instituto · Home5 Mar 2023 5 Mar 2023 D 2-2 2.36 1.51 1 −0.51 −2.18 −€1.00
M7 Barracas Central · Away10 Mar 2023 10 Mar 2023 D 1-1 2.31 1.51 1 −0.51 −2.69 −€1.00
M8 Colon Santa Fe · Home18 Mar 2023 18 Mar 2023 D 2-2 2.12 1.63 1 −0.63 −3.32 −€1.00
M9 San Lorenzo · Away1 Apr 2023 1 Apr 2023 D 0-0 3.82 1.07 1 −0.07 −3.39 −€1.00
M10 Estudiantes de La Plata · Home9 Apr 2023 9 Apr 2023 L 1-2 3.33 1.17 0 −1.17 −4.56 −€1.00
M11 Rosario Central · Away13 Apr 2023 13 Apr 2023 L 0-1 3.94 1.03 0 −1.03 −5.58 −€1.00
M12 Racing Club · Home16 Apr 2023 16 Apr 2023 D 1-1 3.28 1.17 1 −0.17 −5.75 −€1.00
M13 River Plate · Away24 Apr 2023 24 Apr 2023 L 0-2 9.29 0.49 0 −0.49 −6.24 −€1.00
M14 Belgrano · Home30 Apr 2023 30 Apr 2023 W 2-0 2.49 1.46 3 +1.54 −4.70 +€1.49
M15 Argentinos Juniors · Away7 May 2023 7 May 2023 D 2-2 4.41 0.92 1 +0.08 −4.62 −€1.00
M16 Tigre · Home13 May 2023 13 May 2023 W 2-1 2.67 1.36 3 +1.64 −2.98 +€1.67
M17 Arsenal Sarandi · Away19 May 2023 19 May 2023 L 1-2 2.01 1.70 0 −1.70 −4.69 −€1.00
M18 Lanus · Home28 May 2023 28 May 2023 D 1-1 2.75 1.36 1 −0.36 −5.04 −€1.00
M19 Godoy Cruz · Away4 Jun 2023 4 Jun 2023 L 1-2 3.59 1.09 0 −1.09 −6.14 −€1.00
M20 Sarmiento Junin · Home10 Jun 2023 10 Jun 2023 W 2-0 2.11 1.65 3 +1.35 −4.79 +€1.11
M21 Union de Santa Fe · Away24 Jun 2023 24 Jun 2023 L 0-3 3.35 1.16 0 −1.16 −5.95 −€1.00
M22 Huracan · Home2 Jul 2023 2 Jul 2023 W 1-0 2.49 1.47 3 +1.53 −4.43 +€1.49
M23 Gimnasia de La Plata · Away7 Jul 2023 7 Jul 2023 D 1-1 2.92 1.31 1 −0.31 −4.74 −€1.00
M24 Newells Old Boys · Home12 Jul 2023 12 Jul 2023 L 0-2 2.36 1.53 0 −1.53 −6.26 −€1.00
M25 Central Cordoba · Away17 Jul 2023 17 Jul 2023 W 1-0 3.19 1.21 3 +1.79 −4.47 +€2.19
M26 Atlético Tucumán · Away23 Jul 2023 23 Jul 2023 L 0-1 3.17 1.23 0 −1.23 −5.69 −€1.00
M27 Boca Juniors · Home29 Jul 2023 29 Jul 2023 L 0-2 2.88 1.33 0 −1.33 −7.03 −€1.00
Total 35.03 28 −7.03 −€10.41