← Liga Profesional 2023

Velez Sarsfield

Season 2023 · 27 matches played

Last 5WDDDL

Points

27

Points expected by the market

38.04

Gap

−11.04

Yield

−48.3%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.

M1M5M10M15M20M25

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds bandMatches playedMPPointsPtsExpectedGapYield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 0 — — — —
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 8 14 14.82 −0.82 −35.9%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 13 6 17.38 −11.38 −100.0%
Underdog 3.50 or more 6 7 5.85 +1.15 +47.0%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

MOpponentDateResultRes. Odds to winExpectedPointsPtsGap Running total€1 bet
M1 Gimnasia de La Plata · Home30 Jan 2023 30 Jan 2023 W 3-1 1.54 2.09 3 +0.91 +0.91 +€0.54
M2 Newells Old Boys · Away3 Feb 2023 3 Feb 2023 L 0-1 2.85 1.31 0 −1.31 −0.40 −€1.00
M3 Independiente · Home12 Feb 2023 12 Feb 2023 D 0-0 2.26 1.57 1 −0.57 −0.97 −€1.00
M4 Atlético Tucumán · Away21 Feb 2023 21 Feb 2023 D 1-1 3.30 1.19 1 −0.19 −1.15 −€1.00
M5 Boca Juniors · Home26 Feb 2023 26 Feb 2023 L 1-2 2.48 1.47 0 −1.47 −2.62 −€1.00
M6 Talleres Cordoba · Away6 Mar 2023 6 Mar 2023 W 2-1 4.52 0.92 3 +2.08 −0.54 +€3.52
M7 Platense · Home14 Mar 2023 14 Mar 2023 D 1-1 1.67 1.97 1 −0.97 −1.51 −€1.00
M8 Central Cordoba · Home22 Mar 2023 22 Mar 2023 W 4-0 1.80 1.86 3 +1.14 −0.36 +€0.80
M9 Defensa y Justicia · Away31 Mar 2023 31 Mar 2023 D 0-0 2.89 1.29 1 −0.29 −0.66 −€1.00
M10 Banfield · Home8 Apr 2023 8 Apr 2023 D 3-3 2.10 1.67 1 −0.67 −1.32 −€1.00
M11 Instituto · Away12 Apr 2023 12 Apr 2023 L 0-1 2.74 1.36 0 −1.36 −2.68 −€1.00
M12 Barracas Central · Home16 Apr 2023 16 Apr 2023 D 0-0 1.55 2.07 1 −1.07 −3.75 −€1.00
M13 Colon Santa Fe · Away22 Apr 2023 22 Apr 2023 L 1-2 3.78 1.05 0 −1.05 −4.80 −€1.00
M14 San Lorenzo · Home29 Apr 2023 29 Apr 2023 D 0-0 2.82 1.34 1 −0.34 −5.14 −€1.00
M15 Estudiantes de La Plata · Away8 May 2023 8 May 2023 L 0-2 4.57 0.92 0 −0.92 −6.06 −€1.00
M16 Rosario Central · Home16 May 2023 16 May 2023 D 0-0 2.18 1.61 1 −0.61 −6.68 −€1.00
M17 River Plate · Home30 May 2023 30 May 2023 D 2-2 4.62 0.88 1 +0.12 −6.56 −€1.00
M18 Belgrano · Away3 Jun 2023 3 Jun 2023 L 0-2 3.24 1.20 0 −1.20 −7.76 −€1.00
M19 Argentinos Juniors · Home13 Jun 2023 13 Jun 2023 L 0-1 2.84 1.33 0 −1.33 −9.10 −€1.00
M20 Racing Club · Away17 Jun 2023 17 Jun 2023 L 1-2 3.62 1.10 0 −1.10 −10.20 −€1.00
M21 Tigre · Away22 Jun 2023 22 Jun 2023 L 1-2 3.18 1.22 0 −1.22 −11.42 −€1.00
M22 Arsenal Sarandi · Home1 Jul 2023 1 Jul 2023 W 1-0 1.79 1.88 3 +1.12 −10.29 +€0.79
M23 Lanus · Away5 Jul 2023 5 Jul 2023 W 1-0 4.30 0.97 3 +2.03 −8.26 +€3.30
M24 Godoy Cruz · Home9 Jul 2023 9 Jul 2023 D 1-1 2.27 1.56 1 −0.56 −8.82 −€1.00
M25 Sarmiento Junin · Away14 Jul 2023 14 Jul 2023 D 1-1 2.88 1.33 1 −0.33 −9.15 −€1.00
M26 Union de Santa Fe · Home24 Jul 2023 24 Jul 2023 D 0-0 2.08 1.68 1 −0.68 −9.83 −€1.00
M27 Huracan · Away30 Jul 2023 30 Jul 2023 L 0-1 3.26 1.21 0 −1.21 −11.04 −€1.00
Total 38.04 27 −11.04 −€13.05