← Liga Profesional 2025

Velez Sarsfield

Season 2025 · 33 matches played

Last 5WLLDL

Points

40

Points expected by the market

46.98

Gap

−6.98

Yield

−12.9%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.

M1M5M10M15M20M25M30

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds bandMatches playedMPPointsPtsExpectedGapYield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 0 — — — —
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 10 13 17.89 −4.89 −20.7%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 17 25 23.13 +1.87 +22.5%
Underdog 3.50 or more 6 2 5.97 −3.97 −100.0%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

MOpponentDateResultRes. Odds to winExpectedPointsPtsGap Running total€1 bet
M1 Tigre · Away23 Jan 2025 23 Jan 2025 L 0-3 2.25 1.58 0 −1.58 −1.58 −€1.00
M2 Platense · Home29 Jan 2025 29 Jan 2025 L 0-1 1.87 1.83 0 −1.83 −3.41 −€1.00
M3 Instituto · Away3 Feb 2025 3 Feb 2025 L 0-2 2.90 1.29 0 −1.29 −4.69 −€1.00
M4 San Lorenzo · Home8 Feb 2025 8 Feb 2025 D 0-0 2.35 1.55 1 −0.55 −5.25 −€1.00
M5 Independiente · Away12 Feb 2025 12 Feb 2025 L 0-3 4.72 0.90 0 −0.90 −6.15 −€1.00
M6 Godoy Cruz · Home18 Feb 2025 18 Feb 2025 L 0-2 1.61 2.02 0 −2.02 −8.17 −€1.00
M7 Lanus · Away22 Feb 2025 22 Feb 2025 D 0-0 3.63 1.09 1 −0.09 −8.26 −€1.00
M8 Huracan · Home2 Mar 2025 2 Mar 2025 L 0-2 2.48 1.48 0 −1.48 −9.74 −€1.00
M9 San Martín de San Juan · Home7 Mar 2025 7 Mar 2025 W 1-0 1.90 1.80 3 +1.20 −8.54 +€0.90
M10 Atlético Tucumán · Away18 Mar 2025 18 Mar 2025 W 2-1 3.36 1.17 3 +1.83 −6.71 +€2.36
M11 Deportivo Riestra · Home29 Mar 2025 29 Mar 2025 L 0-1 1.92 1.78 0 −1.78 −8.49 −€1.00
M12 Rosario Central · Away5 Apr 2025 5 Apr 2025 L 1-2 3.84 1.06 0 −1.06 −9.56 −€1.00
M13 Sarmiento Junin · Home15 Apr 2025 15 Apr 2025 L 0-1 1.66 1.97 0 −1.97 −11.53 −€1.00
M14 Talleres Cordoba · Away18 Apr 2025 18 Apr 2025 W 1-0 3.32 1.16 3 +1.84 −9.68 +€2.32
M15 Gimnasia de La Plata · Home29 Apr 2025 29 Apr 2025 W 1-0 2.10 1.66 3 +1.34 −8.35 +€1.10
M16 River Plate · Away5 May 2025 5 May 2025 L 1-4 6.43 0.68 0 −0.68 −9.03 −€1.00
M17 Tigre · Home15 Jul 2025 15 Jul 2025 W 2-1 2.03 1.70 3 +1.30 −7.73 +€1.03
M18 Platense · Away19 Jul 2025 19 Jul 2025 D 0-0 3.12 1.24 1 −0.24 −7.97 −€1.00
M19 Instituto · Home26 Jul 2025 26 Jul 2025 D 0-0 2.00 1.70 1 −0.70 −8.67 −€1.00
M20 San Lorenzo · Away7 Aug 2025 7 Aug 2025 L 0-1 3.59 1.15 0 −1.15 −9.82 −€1.00
M21 Independiente · Home17 Aug 2025 17 Aug 2025 W 2-1 3.00 1.27 3 +1.73 −8.09 +€2.00
M22 Godoy Cruz · Away25 Aug 2025 25 Aug 2025 W 2-0 3.13 1.23 3 +1.77 −6.32 +€2.13
M23 Lanus · Home31 Aug 2025 31 Aug 2025 W 3-0 2.24 1.58 3 +1.42 −4.90 +€1.24
M24 Huracan · Away12 Sep 2025 12 Sep 2025 D 0-0 3.89 1.07 1 −0.07 −4.97 −€1.00
M25 San Martín de San Juan · Away19 Sep 2025 19 Sep 2025 W 2-1 3.48 1.15 3 +1.85 −3.12 +€2.48
M26 Atlético Tucumán · Home30 Sep 2025 30 Sep 2025 W 3-1 1.90 1.78 3 +1.22 −1.90 +€0.90
M27 Deportivo Riestra · Away6 Oct 2025 6 Oct 2025 D 2-2 2.79 1.36 1 −0.36 −2.26 −€1.00
M28 Rosario Central · Home12 Oct 2025 12 Oct 2025 L 1-2 2.51 1.44 0 −1.44 −3.70 −€1.00
M29 Sarmiento Junin · Away19 Oct 2025 19 Oct 2025 W 2-0 2.29 1.55 3 +1.45 −2.25 +€1.29
M30 Talleres Cordoba · Home1 Nov 2025 1 Nov 2025 L 0-1 2.09 1.65 0 −1.65 −3.91 −€1.00
M31 Gimnasia de La Plata · Away10 Nov 2025 10 Nov 2025 L 0-2 2.22 1.57 0 −1.57 −5.48 −€1.00
M32 River Plate · Home16 Nov 2025 16 Nov 2025 D 0-0 3.23 1.18 1 −0.18 −5.66 −€1.00
M33 Argentinos Juniors · Home22 Nov 2025 22 Nov 2025 L 0-2 2.82 1.32 0 −1.32 −6.98 −€1.00
Total 46.98 40 −6.98 −€4.25