← Liga Profesional 2026

Independiente

Season 2026 · 30 matches played

Last 5DWLDD

Points

43

Points expected by the market

44.36

Gap

−1.36

Yield

−5.6%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.

M1M5M10M15M20M25M30

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds bandMatches playedMPPointsPtsExpectedGapYield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 0 — — — —
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 10 15 18.05 −3.05 −30.4%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 17 22 23.25 −1.25 −20.4%
Underdog 3.50 or more few matches 3 6 3.06 +2.94 +160.7%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

MOpponentDateResultRes. Odds to winExpectedPointsPtsGap Running total€1 bet
M1 Estudiantes de La Plata · Home23 Jan 2026 23 Jan 2026 D 1-1 2.44 1.48 1 −0.48 −0.48 −€1.00
M2 Newells Old Boys · Away28 Jan 2026 28 Jan 2026 D 1-1 2.33 1.53 1 −0.53 −1.01 −€1.00
M3 Velez Sarsfield · Home31 Jan 2026 31 Jan 2026 D 1-1 2.13 1.63 1 −0.63 −1.64 −€1.00
M4 Platense · Away8 Feb 2026 8 Feb 2026 W 1-0 2.93 1.30 3 +1.70 +0.06 +€1.93
M5 Lanus · Home13 Feb 2026 13 Feb 2026 W 2-0 2.08 1.66 3 +1.34 +1.40 +€1.08
M6 Independiente Rivadavia · Away21 Feb 2026 21 Feb 2026 L 2-3 3.03 1.25 0 −1.25 +0.15 −€1.00
M7 Gimnasia Mendoza · Away25 Feb 2026 25 Feb 2026 D 1-1 2.20 1.60 1 −0.60 −0.45 −€1.00
M8 Central Cordoba · Home28 Feb 2026 28 Feb 2026 W 2-0 1.60 2.02 3 +0.98 +0.53 +€0.60
M9 Union de Santa Fe · Home10 Mar 2026 10 Mar 2026 D 4-4 2.01 1.68 1 −0.68 −0.15 −€1.00
M10 Instituto · Away17 Mar 2026 17 Mar 2026 L 1-2 2.75 1.33 0 −1.33 −1.47 −€1.00
M11 Talleres Cordoba · Home21 Mar 2026 21 Mar 2026 L 1-2 1.91 1.75 0 −1.75 −3.22 −€1.00
M12 Racing Club · Home4 Apr 2026 4 Apr 2026 W 1-0 2.38 1.48 3 +1.52 −1.71 +€1.38
M13 Boca Juniors · Away11 Apr 2026 11 Apr 2026 D 1-1 3.28 1.17 1 −0.17 −1.88 −€1.00
M14 Defensa y Justicia · Home18 Apr 2026 18 Apr 2026 W 3-1 1.75 1.88 3 +1.12 −0.76 +€0.75
M15 Deportivo Riestra · Away24 Apr 2026 24 Apr 2026 L 0-2 2.20 1.59 0 −1.59 −2.35 −€1.00
M16 San Lorenzo · Away2 May 2026 2 May 2026 W 2-1 2.68 1.39 3 +1.61 −0.74 +€1.68
M17 Rosario Central · Away10 May 2026 10 May 2026 L 1-3 3.94 1.01 0 −1.01 −1.74 −€1.00
M18 Estudiantes de La Plata · Away26 Jul 2026 26 Jul 2026 W 2-0 3.75 1.05 3 +1.95 +0.20 +€2.75
M19 Newells Old Boys · Home31 Jul 2026 31 Jul 2026 W 1-0 1.53 2.06 3 +0.94 +1.14 +€0.53
M20 Velez Sarsfield · Away3 Aug 2026 3 Aug 2026 L 0-1 2.97 1.24 0 −1.24 −0.10 −€1.00
M21 Platense · Home9 Aug 2026 9 Aug 2026 L 0-1 1.80 1.84 0 −1.84 −1.94 −€1.00
M22 Lanus · Away17 Aug 2026 17 Aug 2026 W 3-1 4.07 0.99 3 +2.01 +0.06 +€3.07
M23 Independiente Rivadavia · Home22 Aug 2026 22 Aug 2026 D 0-0 2.37 1.49 1 −0.49 −0.43 −€1.00
M24 Gimnasia Mendoza · Home30 Aug 2026 30 Aug 2026 L 0-3 1.77 1.85 0 −1.85 −2.29 −€1.00
M25 Central Cordoba · Away6 Sep 2026 6 Sep 2026 W 1-0 2.37 1.49 3 +1.51 −0.77 +€1.37
M26 San Lorenzo · Home13 Sep 2026 13 Sep 2026 D 1-1 2.05 1.67 1 −0.67 −1.45 −€1.00
M27 Union de Santa Fe · Away19 Sep 2026 19 Sep 2026 W 2-1 3.18 1.18 3 +1.82 +0.37 +€2.18
M28 Instituto · Home2 Oct 2026 2 Oct 2026 L 1-4 2.60 1.39 0 −1.39 −1.02 −€1.00
M29 Talleres Cordoba · Away12 Oct 2026 12 Oct 2026 D 0-0 3.34 1.14 1 −0.14 −1.16 −€1.00
M30 Racing Club · Away18 Oct 2026 18 Oct 2026 D 1-1 3.14 1.20 1 −0.20 −1.36 −€1.00
Total 44.36 43 −1.36 −€1.68