Points
35Points expected by the market
40.54Gap
−5.54Yield
−19.4%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 17 | +2.79 | +18.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 9 | −9.12 | −56.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 9 | +0.79 | −0.3% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 17 | +2.79 | +18.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 2 | −8.22 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 7 | −0.90 | −4.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 9 | +0.79 | −0.3% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Newells Old Boys · Home24 Jan 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.17 | +1.17 |
| M2 | Velez Sarsfield · Away27 Jan 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.09 | +0.08 |
| M3 | Platense · Home1 Feb 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.77 | −1.69 |
| M4 | Lanus · Away9 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.02 | −1.67 |
| M5 | Gimnasia Mendoza · Home14 Feb 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.07 | −0.60 |
| M6 | Rosario Central · Away21 Feb 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.12 | +1.52 |
| M7 | Central Cordoba · Away24 Feb 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.54 | −0.02 |
| M8 | San Lorenzo · Home1 Mar 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.64 | −0.66 |
| M9 | Instituto · Home12 Mar 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.40 | +0.74 |
| M10 | Belgrano · Away15 Mar 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.15 | +0.59 |
| M11 | Independiente · Away21 Mar 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.05 | +2.64 |
| M12 | Boca Juniors · Home3 Apr 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.46 | +1.18 |
| M13 | Defensa y Justicia · Away13 Apr 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.63 | +2.81 |
| M14 | Deportivo Riestra · Home20 Apr 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.03 | +3.83 |
| M15 | Estudiantes de La Plata · Away25 Apr 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.08 | +3.76 |
| M16 | Union de Santa Fe · Away2 May 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.03 | +3.73 |
| M17 | Belgrano · Home9 May 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.49 | +2.24 |
| M18 | Newells Old Boys · Away25 Jul 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.58 | +1.66 |
| M19 | Velez Sarsfield · Home30 Jul 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.54 | +0.12 |
| M20 | Platense · Away3 Aug 2026 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.75 | +1.86 |
| M21 | Lanus · Home12 Aug 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.53 | +0.34 |
| M22 | Gimnasia Mendoza · Away18 Aug 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.42 | −1.08 |
| M23 | Rosario Central · Home25 Aug 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.26 | −1.34 |
| M24 | Central Cordoba · Home30 Aug 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.85 | −2.19 |
| M25 | San Lorenzo · Away5 Sep 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.17 | −3.36 |
| M26 | Union de Santa Fe · Home13 Sep 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.38 | −1.98 |
| M27 | Instituto · Away20 Sep 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.02 | −2.99 |
| M28 | Belgrano · Home4 Oct 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.39 | −4.38 |
| M29 | Independiente · Home12 Oct 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.56 | −4.94 |
| M30 | Boca Juniors · Away17 Oct 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.60 | −5.54 |
| Total | 35 | −5.54 | |||