← Liga Profesional 2026

Velez Sarsfield

Season 2026 · 30 matches played

Last 5DWDLW

Points

52

Points expected by the market

42.74

Gap

+9.26

Yield

+12.4%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.

M1M5M10M15M20M25M30

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds bandMatches playedMPPointsPtsExpectedGapYield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches 1 3 2.28 +0.72 +35.0%
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 10 14 17.08 −3.08 −39.8%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 13 28 17.74 +10.26 +73.2%
Underdog 3.50 or more 6 7 5.64 +1.36 −35.8%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

MOpponentDateResultRes. Odds to winExpectedPointsPtsGap Running total€1 bet
M1 Instituto · Away23 Jan 2026 23 Jan 2026 W 1-0 2.91 1.30 3 +1.70 +1.70 +€1.91
M2 Talleres Cordoba · Home27 Jan 2026 27 Jan 2026 W 2-1 2.26 1.57 3 +1.43 +3.13 +€1.26
M3 Independiente · Away31 Jan 2026 31 Jan 2026 D 1-1 3.79 1.05 1 −0.05 +3.08 −€1.00
M4 Boca Juniors · Home9 Feb 2026 9 Feb 2026 W 2-1 3.21 1.21 3 +1.79 +4.87 +€2.21
M5 Defensa y Justicia · Away14 Feb 2026 14 Feb 2026 D 1-1 2.29 1.54 1 −0.54 +4.33 −€1.00
M6 River Plate · Home22 Feb 2026 22 Feb 2026 W 1-0 2.83 1.31 3 +1.69 +6.02 +€1.83
M7 Deportivo Riestra · Home25 Feb 2026 25 Feb 2026 D 0-0 1.92 1.78 1 −0.78 +5.24 −€1.00
M8 Estudiantes de La Plata · Away2 Mar 2026 2 Mar 2026 W 1-0 3.85 1.06 3 +1.94 +7.18 +€2.85
M9 Tigre · Away10 Mar 2026 10 Mar 2026 D 1-1 3.57 1.11 1 −0.11 +7.07 −€1.00
M10 Platense · Away14 Mar 2026 14 Mar 2026 W 2-0 2.81 1.33 3 +1.67 +8.74 +€1.81
M11 Lanus · Home21 Mar 2026 21 Mar 2026 L 0-1 2.21 1.57 0 −1.57 +7.17 −€1.00
M12 Gimnasia Mendoza · Away3 Apr 2026 3 Apr 2026 L 2-3 2.10 1.64 0 −1.64 +5.52 −€1.00
M13 Central Cordoba · Home14 Apr 2026 14 Apr 2026 W 1-0 1.35 2.28 3 +0.72 +6.24 +€0.35
M14 San Lorenzo · Away20 Apr 2026 20 Apr 2026 D 0-0 2.56 1.42 1 −0.42 +5.82 −€1.00
M15 Union de Santa Fe · Home27 Apr 2026 27 Apr 2026 D 2-2 2.16 1.59 1 −0.59 +5.24 −€1.00
M16 Newells Old Boys · Home4 May 2026 4 May 2026 D 1-1 1.82 1.80 1 −0.80 +4.43 −€1.00
M17 Gimnasia de La Plata · Home11 May 2026 11 May 2026 L 0-1 1.97 1.71 0 −1.71 +2.72 −€1.00
M18 Instituto · Home24 Jul 2026 24 Jul 2026 W 1-0 2.08 1.65 3 +1.35 +4.08 +€1.08
M19 Talleres Cordoba · Away30 Jul 2026 30 Jul 2026 W 3-1 3.40 1.14 3 +1.86 +5.94 +€2.40
M20 Independiente · Home3 Aug 2026 3 Aug 2026 W 1-0 2.43 1.45 3 +1.55 +7.49 +€1.43
M21 Boca Juniors · Away8 Aug 2026 8 Aug 2026 D 1-1 6.03 0.73 1 +0.27 +7.76 −€1.00
M22 Defensa y Justicia · Home17 Aug 2026 17 Aug 2026 D 1-1 1.98 1.69 1 −0.69 +7.07 −€1.00
M23 River Plate · Away23 Aug 2026 23 Aug 2026 D 2-2 5.97 0.74 1 +0.26 +7.33 −€1.00
M24 Deportivo Riestra · Away29 Aug 2026 29 Aug 2026 D 1-1 3.16 1.22 1 −0.22 +7.11 −€1.00
M25 Estudiantes de La Plata · Home6 Sep 2026 6 Sep 2026 W 1-0 2.66 1.39 3 +1.61 +8.73 +€1.66
M26 Newells Old Boys · Away11 Sep 2026 11 Sep 2026 D 1-1 2.82 1.31 1 −0.31 +8.42 −€1.00
M27 Tigre · Home21 Sep 2026 21 Sep 2026 W 3-2 2.17 1.60 3 +1.40 +9.82 +€1.17
M28 Platense · Home5 Oct 2026 5 Oct 2026 D 2-2 1.89 1.78 1 −0.78 +9.05 −€1.00
M29 Lanus · Away12 Oct 2026 12 Oct 2026 L 0-2 4.24 0.95 0 −0.95 +8.10 −€1.00
M30 Gimnasia Mendoza · Home18 Oct 2026 18 Oct 2026 W 1-0 1.77 1.84 3 +1.16 +9.26 +€0.77
Total 42.74 52 +9.26 +€3.73