← Ligue 1 2019-20

Lyon

Season 2019-20 · 28 matches played

Last 5LDWWL

Points

Points expected by the market

49.35

Gap

−9.35

Yield

−28.9%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds band	Matches playedMP	PointsPts	Expected	Gap	Yield
Heavy favourite under 1.50	5	11	11.30	−0.30	−17.4%
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	17	25	31.54	−6.54	−24.9%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches	4	4	4.97	−0.97	−25.0%
Underdog 3.50 or more few matches	2	0	1.53	−1.53	−100.0%
Heavy favourite under 1.50	5	11	11.30	−0.30	−17.4%
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	7	8	13.83	−5.83	−53.9%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	0	—	—	—	—
Underdog 3.50 or more few matches	1	0	1.00	−1.00	−100.0%
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	10	17	17.71	−0.71	−4.6%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches	4	4	4.97	−0.97	−25.0%
Underdog 3.50 or more few matches	1	0	0.53	−0.53	−100.0%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

M	Opponent	Date	ResultRes.	Odds to win	Expected	PointsPts	Gap	Running total	€1 bet
M1	Monaco · Away9 Aug 2019	9 Aug 2019	W 3-0	2.15	1.60	3	+1.40	+1.40	+€1.15
M2	Angers · Home16 Aug 2019	16 Aug 2019	W 6-0	1.48	2.14	3	+0.86	+2.26	+€0.48
M3	Montpellier · Away27 Aug 2019	27 Aug 2019	L 0-1	1.92	1.75	0	−1.75	+0.51	−€1.00
M4	Bordeaux · Home31 Aug 2019	31 Aug 2019	D 1-1	1.54	2.09	1	−1.09	−0.58	−€1.00
M5	Amiens · Away13 Sep 2019	13 Sep 2019	D 2-2	1.92	1.76	1	−0.76	−1.34	−€1.00
M6	Paris Saint-Germain · Home22 Sep 2019	22 Sep 2019	L 0-1	3.75	1.00	0	−1.00	−2.35	−€1.00
M7	Brest · Away25 Sep 2019	25 Sep 2019	D 2-2	1.76	1.87	1	−0.87	−3.21	−€1.00
M8	Nantes · Home28 Sep 2019	28 Sep 2019	L 0-1	1.54	2.09	0	−2.09	−5.30	−€1.00
M9	Saint-Étienne · Away6 Oct 2019	6 Oct 2019	L 0-1	1.97	1.73	0	−1.73	−7.03	−€1.00
M10	Dijon · Home19 Oct 2019	19 Oct 2019	D 0-0	1.37	2.27	1	−1.27	−8.30	−€1.00
M11	Metz · Home26 Oct 2019	26 Oct 2019	W 2-0	1.43	2.20	3	+0.80	−7.51	+€0.43
M12	Toulouse · Away2 Nov 2019	2 Nov 2019	W 3-2	1.72	1.90	3	+1.10	−6.41	+€0.72
M13	Marseille · Away10 Nov 2019	10 Nov 2019	L 1-2	2.99	1.24	0	−1.24	−7.65	−€1.00
M14	Nice · Home23 Nov 2019	23 Nov 2019	W 2-1	1.56	2.05	3	+0.95	−6.71	+€0.56
M15	Strasbourg · Away30 Nov 2019	30 Nov 2019	W 2-1	3.00	1.24	3	+1.76	−4.95	+€2.00
M16	Lille · Home3 Dec 2019	3 Dec 2019	L 0-1	2.02	1.70	0	−1.70	−6.65	−€1.00
M17	Nimes · Away6 Dec 2019	6 Dec 2019	W 4-0	1.68	1.94	3	+1.06	−5.59	+€0.68
M18	Rennes · Home15 Dec 2019	15 Dec 2019	L 0-1	1.66	1.96	0	−1.96	−7.55	−€1.00
M19	Reims · Away21 Dec 2019	21 Dec 2019	D 1-1	2.69	1.38	1	−0.38	−7.93	−€1.00
M20	Bordeaux · Away11 Jan 2020	11 Jan 2020	W 2-1	2.12	1.63	3	+1.37	−6.56	+€1.12
M21	Toulouse · Home26 Jan 2020	26 Jan 2020	W 3-0	1.22	2.47	3	+0.53	−6.03	+€0.22
M22	Nice · Away2 Feb 2020	2 Feb 2020	L 1-2	1.94	1.73	0	−1.73	−7.76	−€1.00
M23	Amiens · Home5 Feb 2020	5 Feb 2020	D 0-0	1.42	2.21	1	−1.21	−8.97	−€1.00
M24	Paris Saint-Germain · Away9 Feb 2020	9 Feb 2020	L 2-4	7.97	0.53	0	−0.53	−9.50	−€1.00
M25	Strasbourg · Home16 Feb 2020	16 Feb 2020	D 1-1	1.66	1.97	1	−0.97	−10.48	−€1.00
M26	Metz · Away21 Feb 2020	21 Feb 2020	W 2-0	1.87	1.79	3	+1.21	−9.27	+€0.87
M27	Saint-Étienne · Home1 Mar 2020	1 Mar 2020	W 2-0	1.67	1.97	3	+1.03	−8.24	+€0.67
M28	Lille · Away8 Mar 2020	8 Mar 2020	L 0-1	3.47	1.11	0	−1.11	−9.35	−€1.00
Total					49.35	40	−9.35		−€8.10