← Ligue 1 2019-20

Monaco

Season 2019-20 · 28 matches played

Last 5WWDDL

Points

Points expected by the market

45.53

Gap

−5.53

Yield

−28.6%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds band	Matches playedMP	PointsPts	Expected	Gap	Yield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches	3	9	6.63	+2.37	+42.0%
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	13	18	23.61	−5.61	−32.2%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	10	12	14.18	−2.18	−31.0%
Underdog 3.50 or more few matches	2	1	1.11	−0.11	−100.0%
Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches	3	9	6.63	+2.37	+42.0%
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	8	14	15.10	−1.10	−13.6%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches	2	3	2.69	+0.31	+10.5%
Underdog 3.50 or more few matches	1	0	0.82	−0.82	−100.0%
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	5	4	8.51	−4.51	−61.8%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	8	9	11.49	−2.49	−41.4%
Underdog 3.50 or more few matches	1	1	0.29	+0.71	−100.0%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

M	Opponent	Date	ResultRes.	Odds to win	Expected	PointsPts	Gap	Running total	€1 bet
M1	Lyon · Home9 Aug 2019	9 Aug 2019	L 0-3	3.33	1.13	0	−1.13	−1.13	−€1.00
M2	Metz · Away17 Aug 2019	17 Aug 2019	L 0-3	2.47	1.46	0	−1.46	−2.59	−€1.00
M3	Nimes · Home25 Aug 2019	25 Aug 2019	D 2-2	1.64	1.99	1	−0.99	−3.58	−€1.00
M4	Strasbourg · Away1 Sep 2019	1 Sep 2019	D 2-2	2.94	1.27	1	−0.27	−3.85	−€1.00
M5	Marseille · Home15 Sep 2019	15 Sep 2019	L 3-4	2.06	1.65	0	−1.65	−5.50	−€1.00
M6	Reims · Away21 Sep 2019	21 Sep 2019	D 0-0	2.90	1.28	1	−0.28	−5.78	−€1.00
M7	Nice · Home24 Sep 2019	24 Sep 2019	W 3-1	1.86	1.80	3	+1.20	−4.58	+€0.86
M8	Brest · Home28 Sep 2019	28 Sep 2019	W 4-1	1.41	2.22	3	+0.78	−3.80	+€0.41
M9	Montpellier · Away5 Oct 2019	5 Oct 2019	L 1-3	2.31	1.52	0	−1.52	−5.32	−€1.00
M10	Rennes · Home20 Oct 2019	20 Oct 2019	W 3-2	1.71	1.92	3	+1.08	−4.24	+€0.71
M11	Nantes · Away25 Oct 2019	25 Oct 2019	W 1-0	2.42	1.47	3	+1.53	−2.71	+€1.42
M12	Saint-Étienne · Away3 Nov 2019	3 Nov 2019	L 0-1	2.35	1.50	0	−1.50	−4.20	−€1.00
M13	Dijon · Home9 Nov 2019	9 Nov 2019	W 1-0	1.42	2.21	3	+0.79	−3.41	+€0.42
M14	Bordeaux · Away24 Nov 2019	24 Nov 2019	L 1-2	2.13	1.61	0	−1.61	−5.02	−€1.00
M15	Toulouse · Away4 Dec 2019	4 Dec 2019	W 2-1	1.91	1.75	3	+1.25	−3.77	+€0.91
M16	Amiens · Home7 Dec 2019	7 Dec 2019	W 3-0	1.43	2.20	3	+0.80	−2.96	+€0.43
M17	Angers · Away14 Dec 2019	14 Dec 2019	D 0-0	2.40	1.47	1	−0.47	−3.43	−€1.00
M18	Lille · Home21 Dec 2019	21 Dec 2019	W 5-1	2.21	1.56	3	+1.44	−1.99	+€1.21
M19	Paris Saint-Germain · Away12 Jan 2020	12 Jan 2020	D 3-3	15.51	0.29	1	+0.71	−1.28	−€1.00
M20	Paris Saint-Germain · Home15 Jan 2020	15 Jan 2020	L 1-4	4.58	0.82	0	−0.82	−2.11	−€1.00
M21	Strasbourg · Home25 Jan 2020	25 Jan 2020	L 1-3	1.59	2.03	0	−2.03	−4.13	−€1.00
M22	Nimes · Away1 Feb 2020	1 Feb 2020	L 1-3	1.80	1.82	0	−1.82	−5.95	−€1.00
M23	Angers · Home4 Feb 2020	4 Feb 2020	W 1-0	1.63	1.98	3	+1.02	−4.93	+€0.63
M24	Amiens · Away8 Feb 2020	8 Feb 2020	W 2-1	2.27	1.53	3	+1.47	−3.47	+€1.27
M25	Montpellier · Home14 Feb 2020	14 Feb 2020	W 1-0	1.71	1.91	3	+1.09	−2.38	+€0.71
M26	Dijon · Away22 Feb 2020	22 Feb 2020	D 1-1	1.94	1.72	1	−0.72	−3.10	−€1.00
M27	Reims · Home29 Feb 2020	29 Feb 2020	D 1-1	1.84	1.82	1	−0.82	−3.92	−€1.00
M28	Nice · Away7 Mar 2020	7 Mar 2020	L 1-2	2.11	1.61	0	−1.61	−5.53	−€1.00
Total					45.53	40	−5.53		−€8.02