← Ligue 1 2019-20

Toulouse

Season 2019-20 · 28 matches played

Last 5LLLLL

Points

13

Points expected by the market

28.50

Gap

−15.50

Yield

−72.9%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.

M1M5M10M15M20M25

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds bandMatches playedMPPointsPtsExpectedGapYield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 0 — — — —
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches 1 3 1.72 +1.28 +99.0%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 9 6 11.98 −5.98 −37.8%
Underdog 3.50 or more 18 4 14.81 −10.81 −100.0%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

MOpponentDateResultRes. Odds to winExpectedPointsPtsGap Running total€1 bet
M1 Brest · Away10 Aug 2019 10 Aug 2019 D 1-1 3.69 1.06 1 −0.06 −0.06 −€1.00
M2 Dijon · Home17 Aug 2019 17 Aug 2019 W 1-0 1.99 1.72 3 +1.28 +1.23 +€0.99
M3 Paris Saint-Germain · Away25 Aug 2019 25 Aug 2019 L 0-4 23.77 0.21 0 −0.21 +1.02 −€1.00
M4 Amiens · Home31 Aug 2019 31 Aug 2019 W 2-0 2.31 1.54 3 +1.46 +2.47 +€1.31
M5 Saint-Étienne · Away15 Sep 2019 15 Sep 2019 D 2-2 5.37 0.76 1 +0.24 +2.71 −€1.00
M6 Nimes · Away21 Sep 2019 21 Sep 2019 L 0-1 3.52 1.09 0 −1.09 +1.62 −€1.00
M7 Angers · Home25 Sep 2019 25 Sep 2019 L 0-2 2.69 1.36 0 −1.36 +0.26 −€1.00
M8 Metz · Away28 Sep 2019 28 Sep 2019 D 2-2 3.68 1.07 1 −0.07 +0.19 −€1.00
M9 Bordeaux · Home5 Oct 2019 5 Oct 2019 L 1-3 2.49 1.45 0 −1.45 −1.26 −€1.00
M10 Lille · Home19 Oct 2019 19 Oct 2019 W 2-1 3.29 1.16 3 +1.84 +0.57 +€2.29
M11 Rennes · Away27 Oct 2019 27 Oct 2019 L 2-3 4.32 0.93 0 −0.93 −0.35 −€1.00
M12 Lyon · Home2 Nov 2019 2 Nov 2019 L 2-3 4.67 0.85 0 −0.85 −1.21 −€1.00
M13 Montpellier · Away10 Nov 2019 10 Nov 2019 L 0-3 4.66 0.88 0 −0.88 −2.09 −€1.00
M14 Marseille · Home24 Nov 2019 24 Nov 2019 L 0-2 3.40 1.11 0 −1.11 −3.20 −€1.00
M15 Nantes · Away1 Dec 2019 1 Dec 2019 L 1-2 5.13 0.82 0 −0.82 −4.02 −€1.00
M16 Monaco · Home4 Dec 2019 4 Dec 2019 L 1-2 3.86 0.99 0 −0.99 −5.02 −€1.00
M17 Strasbourg · Away7 Dec 2019 7 Dec 2019 L 2-4 4.86 0.84 0 −0.84 −5.86 −€1.00
M18 Reims · Home14 Dec 2019 14 Dec 2019 L 0-1 3.32 1.15 0 −1.15 −7.01 −€1.00
M19 Nice · Away21 Dec 2019 21 Dec 2019 L 0-3 4.30 0.92 0 −0.92 −7.93 −€1.00
M20 Brest · Home11 Jan 2020 11 Jan 2020 L 2-5 2.29 1.53 0 −1.53 −9.46 −€1.00
M21 Lyon · Away26 Jan 2020 26 Jan 2020 L 0-3 11.93 0.38 0 −0.38 −9.84 −€1.00
M22 Amiens · Away1 Feb 2020 1 Feb 2020 D 0-0 3.87 1.03 1 −0.03 −9.87 −€1.00
M23 Strasbourg · Home5 Feb 2020 5 Feb 2020 L 0-1 3.38 1.14 0 −1.14 −11.01 −€1.00
M24 Marseille · Away8 Feb 2020 8 Feb 2020 L 0-1 8.47 0.54 0 −0.54 −11.55 −€1.00
M25 Nice · Home15 Feb 2020 15 Feb 2020 L 0-2 2.29 1.52 0 −1.52 −13.07 −€1.00
M26 Lille · Away22 Feb 2020 22 Feb 2020 L 0-3 10.16 0.46 0 −0.46 −13.53 −€1.00
M27 Rennes · Home29 Feb 2020 29 Feb 2020 L 0-2 3.65 1.06 0 −1.06 −14.60 −€1.00
M28 Dijon · Away7 Mar 2020 7 Mar 2020 L 1-2 4.41 0.91 0 −0.91 −15.50 −€1.00
Total 28.50 13 −15.50 −€20.41