Points
53Points expected by the market
49.18Gap
+3.82Yield
+16.9%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.66 | +32.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 13 | 25 | +1.71 | +4.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 18 | +1.74 | +37.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 7 | −0.29 | +4.7% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.66 | +32.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 13 | −3.35 | −36.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 9 | +0.78 | +31.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −0.79 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 12 | +5.06 | +97.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 9 | +0.96 | +43.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 7 | +0.50 | +19.7% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Strasbourg · Away13 Aug 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.32 | −1.32 |
| M2 | Montpellier · Home19 Aug 2023 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.76 | −3.08 |
| M3 | Nice · Away27 Aug 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.05 | −3.13 |
| M4 | Paris Saint-Germain · Home3 Sep 2023 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.79 | −3.92 |
| M5 | Le Havre · Home17 Sep 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.93 | −4.84 |
| M6 | Brest · Away23 Sep 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.36 | −6.20 |
| M7 | Reims · Away1 Oct 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.00 | −7.20 |
| M8 | Lorient · Home8 Oct 2023 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.88 | −8.09 |
| M9 | Clermont · Home22 Oct 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.78 | −9.87 |
| M10 | Metz · Home5 Nov 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.99 | −10.86 |
| M11 | Rennes · Away12 Nov 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.03 | −8.83 |
| M12 | Lille · Home26 Nov 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.25 | −10.08 |
| M13 | Lens · Away2 Dec 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.84 | −10.92 |
| M14 | Marseille · Away6 Dec 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.97 | −11.90 |
| M15 | Toulouse · Home10 Dec 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.13 | −10.77 |
| M16 | Monaco · Away15 Dec 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.11 | −8.66 |
| M17 | Nantes · Home20 Dec 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.19 | −7.48 |
| M18 | Le Havre · Away14 Jan 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.49 | −8.96 |
| M19 | Rennes · Home26 Jan 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.42 | −10.39 |
| M20 | Marseille · Home4 Feb 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.70 | −8.69 |
| M21 | Montpellier · Away11 Feb 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.60 | −7.09 |
| M22 | Nice · Home16 Feb 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.65 | −5.43 |
| M23 | Metz · Away23 Feb 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.26 | −4.18 |
| M24 | Lens · Home3 Mar 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.40 | −5.58 |
| M25 | Lorient · Away9 Mar 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.38 | −4.19 |
| M26 | Toulouse · Away15 Mar 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.62 | −2.57 |
| M27 | Reims · Home30 Mar 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.66 | −3.23 |
| M28 | Nantes · Away7 Apr 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.40 | −1.82 |
| M29 | Brest · Home14 Apr 2024 | W 4-3 | 3 | +1.34 | −0.49 |
| M30 | Paris Saint-Germain · Away21 Apr 2024 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.77 | −1.26 |
| M31 | Monaco · Home28 Apr 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.51 | +0.25 |
| M32 | Lille · Away6 May 2024 | W 4-3 | 3 | +1.90 | +2.15 |
| M33 | Clermont · Away12 May 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.02 | +3.16 |
| M34 | Strasbourg · Home19 May 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.66 | +3.82 |
| Total | 53 | +3.82 | |||