Points
39Points expected by the market
38.35Gap
+0.65Yield
−18.4%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 6 | +0.83 | +41.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | 22 | +1.94 | +6.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 16 | 11 | −2.11 | −53.3% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 6 | +0.83 | +41.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 14 | +0.50 | +4.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 4 | +0.26 | −8.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 8 | +1.43 | +11.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 12 | 7 | −2.38 | −68.4% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Lyon · Home13 Aug 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.58 | +1.58 |
| M2 | Monaco · Away20 Aug 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.92 | +0.66 |
| M3 | Toulouse · Home27 Aug 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.38 | +2.05 |
| M4 | Nice · Away3 Sep 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.91 | +1.14 |
| M5 | Montpellier · Home17 Sep 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.26 | +0.88 |
| M6 | Metz · Away24 Sep 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.56 | +2.43 |
| M7 | Lens · Home29 Sep 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.02 | +1.42 |
| M8 | Nantes · Home6 Oct 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.52 | −0.10 |
| M9 | Paris Saint-Germain · Away21 Oct 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.34 | −0.44 |
| M10 | Rennes · Away29 Oct 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.38 | −0.06 |
| M11 | Clermont · Home5 Nov 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.52 | −0.58 |
| M12 | Marseille · Home25 Nov 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.03 | −0.55 |
| M13 | Reims · Away1 Dec 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.83 | −1.39 |
| M14 | Brest · Away7 Dec 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.10 | −1.28 |
| M15 | Le Havre · Home10 Dec 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.47 | +0.19 |
| M16 | Lorient · Away17 Dec 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.77 | +1.95 |
| M17 | Lille · Home20 Dec 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.94 | +3.90 |
| M18 | Marseille · Away12 Jan 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.25 | +4.14 |
| M19 | Clermont · Away28 Jan 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.50 | +3.65 |
| M20 | Paris Saint-Germain · Home2 Feb 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.69 | +2.95 |
| M21 | Lens · Away10 Feb 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.80 | +2.15 |
| M22 | Lorient · Home18 Feb 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.93 | +0.22 |
| M23 | Brest · Home24 Feb 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.37 | −1.15 |
| M24 | Montpellier · Away3 Mar 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.05 | −1.19 |
| M25 | Monaco · Home10 Mar 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.09 | −2.29 |
| M26 | Nantes · Away16 Mar 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.95 | −0.34 |
| M27 | Rennes · Home31 Mar 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.80 | +1.47 |
| M28 | Toulouse · Away7 Apr 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.11 | +1.36 |
| M29 | Reims · Home13 Apr 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.56 | +2.91 |
| M30 | Lille · Away21 Apr 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.72 | +2.19 |
| M31 | Nice · Home28 Apr 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.14 | +1.05 |
| M32 | Le Havre · Away4 May 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.28 | −0.23 |
| M33 | Metz · Home12 May 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.38 | +1.15 |
| M34 | Lyon · Away19 May 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.49 | +0.65 |
| Total | 39 | +0.65 | |||