Points
43Points expected by the market
39.91Gap
+3.09Yield
+20.4%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 8 | −3.83 | −44.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 16 | +0.17 | −6.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 15 | 19 | +6.74 | +72.3% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 5 | −5.14 | −68.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 7 | −2.15 | −51.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 4 | +0.06 | −3.7% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.31 | +103.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 9 | +2.32 | +56.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 11 | 15 | +6.68 | +100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Nantes · Away13 Aug 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.52 | +1.52 |
| M2 | Paris Saint-Germain · Home19 Aug 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.14 | +1.66 |
| M3 | Strasbourg · Away27 Aug 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.11 | +0.55 |
| M4 | Clermont · Home3 Sep 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.57 | −0.01 |
| M5 | Marseille · Away17 Sep 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.38 | +0.37 |
| M6 | Lens · Away24 Sep 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.61 | −0.24 |
| M7 | Metz · Home1 Oct 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.21 | +0.97 |
| M8 | Brest · Away8 Oct 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.19 | +1.16 |
| M9 | Reims · Home22 Oct 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.35 | +0.81 |
| M10 | Montpellier · Away29 Oct 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.93 | −0.12 |
| M11 | Le Havre · Home5 Nov 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.71 | −1.83 |
| M12 | Lille · Away12 Nov 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.30 | −1.53 |
| M13 | Nice · Away26 Nov 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.65 | −2.18 |
| M14 | Lorient · Home3 Dec 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.72 | −2.90 |
| M15 | Lyon · Away10 Dec 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.89 | −3.79 |
| M16 | Rennes · Home17 Dec 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.16 | −3.95 |
| M17 | Monaco · Home20 Dec 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.97 | −4.92 |
| M18 | Metz · Away14 Jan 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.58 | −3.34 |
| M19 | Lens · Home28 Jan 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.08 | −4.42 |
| M20 | Reims · Away4 Feb 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +2.10 | −2.33 |
| M21 | Nantes · Home11 Feb 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.65 | −3.97 |
| M22 | Monaco · Away18 Feb 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.27 | −1.71 |
| M23 | Lille · Home25 Feb 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.98 | +0.27 |
| M24 | Nice · Home3 Mar 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.85 | +2.12 |
| M25 | Le Havre · Away10 Mar 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.40 | +0.72 |
| M26 | Lyon · Home15 Mar 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.33 | −0.61 |
| M27 | Clermont · Away31 Mar 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.31 | +0.71 |
| M28 | Strasbourg · Home7 Apr 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.61 | +0.10 |
| M29 | Rennes · Away13 Apr 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.08 | +2.18 |
| M30 | Marseille · Home21 Apr 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.36 | +1.81 |
| M31 | Lorient · Away28 Apr 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.72 | +3.53 |
| M32 | Montpellier · Home3 May 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.67 | +1.86 |
| M33 | Paris Saint-Germain · Away12 May 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +2.45 | +4.32 |
| M34 | Brest · Home19 May 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.23 | +3.09 |
| Total | 43 | +3.09 | |||