Points
36Points expected by the market
30.12Gap
+5.88Yield
+19.6%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 4 | +0.42 | −2.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 14 | +6.11 | +87.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 26 | 18 | −0.65 | +5.7% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 4 | +0.42 | −2.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 10 | +4.55 | +97.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 11 | 3 | −5.83 | −60.8% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 4 | +1.56 | +66.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 15 | 15 | +5.18 | +54.5% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Lens · Home18 Aug 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.69 | −0.69 |
| M2 | Lille · Away24 Aug 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.49 | −1.17 |
| M3 | Nice · Home1 Sep 2024 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.95 | −2.13 |
| M4 | Strasbourg · Away15 Sep 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.24 | −1.89 |
| M5 | Nantes · Home22 Sep 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.20 | −2.09 |
| M6 | Reims · Home29 Sep 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.08 | −3.17 |
| M7 | Marseille · Away4 Oct 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.58 | −2.60 |
| M8 | Toulouse · Away20 Oct 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.38 | −2.22 |
| M9 | Saint-Étienne · Home26 Oct 2024 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.44 | −0.78 |
| M10 | Monaco · Away1 Nov 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.60 | +1.82 |
| M11 | Paris Saint-Germain · Home9 Nov 2024 | L 2-4 | 0 | −0.41 | +1.41 |
| M12 | Auxerre · Away24 Nov 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.86 | +0.54 |
| M13 | Le Havre · Away1 Dec 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.83 | +2.37 |
| M14 | Lyon · Home7 Dec 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.79 | +1.59 |
| M15 | Rennes · Away15 Dec 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.74 | +0.85 |
| M16 | Brest · Home5 Jan 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.85 | +2.70 |
| M17 | Montpellier · Away12 Jan 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.93 | +4.63 |
| M18 | Auxerre · Home19 Jan 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.46 | +6.09 |
| M19 | Lens · Away26 Jan 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.64 | +5.45 |
| M20 | Le Havre · Home2 Feb 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.84 | +4.61 |
| M21 | Marseille · Home9 Feb 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.75 | +3.87 |
| M22 | Reims · Away16 Feb 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.06 | +5.93 |
| M23 | Saint-Étienne · Away22 Feb 2025 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.27 | +5.66 |
| M24 | Toulouse · Home2 Mar 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.02 | +4.64 |
| M25 | Brest · Away9 Mar 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.78 | +3.85 |
| M26 | Monaco · Home15 Mar 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.56 | +3.29 |
| M27 | Rennes · Home30 Mar 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.05 | +2.25 |
| M28 | Paris Saint-Germain · Away5 Apr 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.26 | +1.99 |
| M29 | Montpellier · Home13 Apr 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.26 | +3.25 |
| M30 | Nice · Away20 Apr 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.54 | +2.71 |
| M31 | Lille · Home27 Apr 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.62 | +2.09 |
| M32 | Nantes · Away4 May 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.03 | +4.12 |
| M33 | Strasbourg · Home10 May 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.08 | +6.20 |
| M34 | Lyon · Away17 May 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.32 | +5.88 |
| Total | 36 | +5.88 | |||