Points
42Points expected by the market
35.83Gap
+6.17Yield
+21.1%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 7 | +1.55 | +18.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | 18 | −0.85 | +3.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 16 | 17 | +5.46 | +37.7% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 7 | +1.55 | +18.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 14 | +3.97 | +57.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 6 | +1.23 | −4.7% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 4 | −4.82 | −57.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 10 | 11 | +4.23 | +63.1% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Nice · Home18 Aug 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.74 | +1.74 |
| M2 | Nantes · Away25 Aug 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.27 | +0.48 |
| M3 | Le Havre · Away1 Sep 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.40 | −0.92 |
| M4 | Monaco · Home14 Sep 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.91 | −1.83 |
| M5 | Montpellier · Away22 Sep 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.11 | −2.94 |
| M6 | Brest · Home27 Sep 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.76 | −1.18 |
| M7 | Saint-Étienne · Away5 Oct 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.50 | −2.68 |
| M8 | Reims · Home20 Oct 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.84 | −0.84 |
| M9 | Lyon · Away27 Oct 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.36 | −0.48 |
| M10 | Rennes · Home3 Nov 2024 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.89 | +1.41 |
| M11 | Marseille · Away8 Nov 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +2.37 | +3.78 |
| M12 | Angers · Home24 Nov 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.12 | +4.90 |
| M13 | Toulouse · Away1 Dec 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.79 | +4.11 |
| M14 | Paris Saint-Germain · Home6 Dec 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.54 | +4.65 |
| M15 | Lens · Home14 Dec 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.11 | +4.76 |
| M16 | Strasbourg · Away5 Jan 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.93 | +3.83 |
| M17 | Lille · Home10 Jan 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.15 | +3.98 |
| M18 | Angers · Away19 Jan 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.17 | +2.81 |
| M19 | Saint-Étienne · Home24 Jan 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.73 | +2.08 |
| M20 | Monaco · Away1 Feb 2025 | L 2-4 | 0 | −0.58 | +1.50 |
| M21 | Toulouse · Home9 Feb 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.27 | +1.23 |
| M22 | Brest · Away14 Feb 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.11 | +1.12 |
| M23 | Marseille · Home22 Feb 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +2.28 | +3.40 |
| M24 | Strasbourg · Home2 Mar 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.23 | +2.17 |
| M25 | Reims · Away9 Mar 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.74 | +3.90 |
| M26 | Nice · Away14 Mar 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.25 | +4.16 |
| M27 | Montpellier · Home30 Mar 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.17 | +5.32 |
| M28 | Rennes · Away6 Apr 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.04 | +7.37 |
| M29 | Lyon · Home13 Apr 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.94 | +6.43 |
| M30 | Lille · Away20 Apr 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.51 | +5.92 |
| M31 | Lens · Away27 Apr 2025 | W 4-0 | 3 | +2.27 | +8.19 |
| M32 | Le Havre · Home4 May 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.45 | +6.73 |
| M33 | Nantes · Home10 May 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.31 | +6.42 |
| M34 | Paris Saint-Germain · Away17 May 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.25 | +6.17 |
| Total | 42 | +6.17 | |||