Points
50Points expected by the market
42.66Gap
+7.34Yield
+29.1%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.71 | +35.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 15 | +2.43 | +5.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 17 | −0.64 | +6.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 13 | 15 | +4.85 | +64.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.71 | +35.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 14 | +3.11 | +23.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 10 | +0.71 | +21.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 6 | +3.75 | +204.3% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.68 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 7 | −1.36 | −11.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 10 | 9 | +1.10 | +22.5% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Marseille · Home17 Aug 2024 | L 1-5 | 0 | −1.20 | −1.20 |
| M2 | Lens · Away25 Aug 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.93 | −2.13 |
| M3 | Saint-Étienne · Home31 Aug 2024 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.10 | −1.02 |
| M4 | Paris Saint-Germain · Away14 Sep 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.45 | −1.48 |
| M5 | Toulouse · Home22 Sep 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.67 | +0.19 |
| M6 | Auxerre · Away27 Sep 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.47 | −1.28 |
| M7 | Le Havre · Home6 Oct 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.16 | −0.12 |
| M8 | Rennes · Home19 Oct 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.37 | −0.49 |
| M9 | Reims · Away26 Oct 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.06 | +1.58 |
| M10 | Nice · Home2 Nov 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.27 | +0.30 |
| M11 | Montpellier · Away10 Nov 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.42 | −1.11 |
| M12 | Monaco · Away22 Nov 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.71 | −1.82 |
| M13 | Strasbourg · Home30 Nov 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.37 | −0.45 |
| M14 | Lille · Away6 Dec 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.76 | −1.22 |
| M15 | Nantes · Home15 Dec 2024 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.43 | +0.22 |
| M16 | Angers · Away5 Jan 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.55 | −1.33 |
| M17 | Lyon · Home11 Jan 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.90 | +0.57 |
| M18 | Rennes · Away18 Jan 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.02 | +2.59 |
| M19 | Le Havre · Away26 Jan 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.45 | +4.03 |
| M20 | Paris Saint-Germain · Home1 Feb 2025 | L 2-5 | 0 | −0.51 | +3.52 |
| M21 | Nantes · Away7 Feb 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.75 | +5.28 |
| M22 | Auxerre · Home14 Feb 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.60 | +4.68 |
| M23 | Strasbourg · Away23 Feb 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.12 | +4.56 |
| M24 | Lyon · Away2 Mar 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.85 | +3.71 |
| M25 | Angers · Home9 Mar 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.04 | +4.75 |
| M26 | Reims · Home16 Mar 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.97 | +3.78 |
| M27 | Toulouse · Away30 Mar 2025 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.97 | +5.75 |
| M28 | Monaco · Home5 Apr 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.09 | +7.84 |
| M29 | Saint-Étienne · Away13 Apr 2025 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.68 | +7.16 |
| M30 | Lens · Home20 Apr 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.45 | +5.71 |
| M31 | Marseille · Away27 Apr 2025 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.55 | +5.16 |
| M32 | Montpellier · Home4 May 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.71 | +5.87 |
| M33 | Lille · Home10 May 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.17 | +8.04 |
| M34 | Nice · Away17 May 2025 | L 0-6 | 0 | −0.70 | +7.34 |
| Total | 50 | +7.34 | |||