Points
34Points expected by the market
30.56Gap
+3.44Yield
+42.6%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 16 | +2.87 | +37.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 24 | 18 | +0.57 | +44.6% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 10 | −0.56 | +1.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 1 | −6.18 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 6 | +3.43 | +183.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 15 | 17 | +6.75 | +131.4% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Paris Saint-Germain · Home16 Aug 2024 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.59 | −0.59 |
| M2 | Saint-Étienne · Away24 Aug 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.99 | +1.40 |
| M3 | Auxerre · Home1 Sep 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.69 | +3.09 |
| M4 | Toulouse · Away15 Sep 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.95 | +2.14 |
| M5 | Monaco · Away22 Sep 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.58 | +1.56 |
| M6 | Lille · Home28 Sep 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.95 | +0.61 |
| M7 | Brest · Away6 Oct 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.90 | −0.28 |
| M8 | Lyon · Home20 Oct 2024 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.85 | −1.13 |
| M9 | Rennes · Away25 Oct 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.64 | −1.77 |
| M10 | Montpellier · Home3 Nov 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.44 | −0.33 |
| M11 | Reims · Home10 Nov 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.14 | −1.47 |
| M12 | Nantes · Away24 Nov 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.08 | +0.61 |
| M13 | Angers · Home1 Dec 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.52 | −0.91 |
| M14 | Nice · Away7 Dec 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.72 | −1.63 |
| M15 | Strasbourg · Home15 Dec 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.15 | −2.78 |
| M16 | Marseille · Away5 Jan 2025 | L 1-5 | 0 | −0.45 | −3.23 |
| M17 | Lens · Home12 Jan 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.70 | −3.93 |
| M18 | Reims · Away19 Jan 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.22 | −3.71 |
| M19 | Brest · Home26 Jan 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.15 | −4.86 |
| M20 | Angers · Away2 Feb 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.11 | −4.74 |
| M21 | Lille · Away8 Feb 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.62 | −2.12 |
| M22 | Nice · Home16 Feb 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.76 | −2.87 |
| M23 | Toulouse · Home23 Feb 2025 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.04 | −3.92 |
| M24 | Lens · Away1 Mar 2025 | W 4-3 | 3 | +2.45 | −1.47 |
| M25 | Saint-Étienne · Home9 Mar 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.50 | −1.97 |
| M26 | Lyon · Away16 Mar 2025 | L 2-4 | 0 | −0.44 | −2.41 |
| M27 | Nantes · Home30 Mar 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.77 | −0.64 |
| M28 | Montpellier · Away6 Apr 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.70 | +1.07 |
| M29 | Rennes · Home13 Apr 2025 | L 1-5 | 0 | −1.06 | +0.01 |
| M30 | Paris Saint-Germain · Away19 Apr 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.33 | −0.32 |
| M31 | Monaco · Home26 Apr 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.44 | +0.13 |
| M32 | Auxerre · Away4 May 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.73 | +1.85 |
| M33 | Marseille · Home10 May 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.68 | +1.17 |
| M34 | Strasbourg · Away17 May 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +2.27 | +3.44 |
| Total | 34 | +3.44 | |||