Points
52Points expected by the market
54.06Gap
−2.06Yield
+9.4%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 3 | 6 | −0.63 | −3.7% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 17 | 27 | −4.81 | −19.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 12 | +1.31 | −1.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 7 | +2.07 | +112.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 3 | 6 | −0.63 | −3.7% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 14 | −6.34 | −34.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 3 | +0.14 | +32.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −0.98 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 13 | +1.53 | +8.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 9 | +1.17 | −12.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 7 | +3.06 | +154.4% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Angers · Away18 Aug 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.93 | +0.93 |
| M2 | Brest · Home25 Aug 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.20 | +2.13 |
| M3 | Monaco · Away1 Sep 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.04 | +2.09 |
| M4 | Lyon · Home15 Sep 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.83 | +1.25 |
| M5 | Rennes · Away21 Sep 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.24 | +1.01 |
| M6 | Nice · Home28 Sep 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.77 | +0.24 |
| M7 | Strasbourg · Away6 Oct 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.38 | −0.14 |
| M8 | Saint-Étienne · Away19 Oct 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.93 | +0.79 |
| M9 | Lille · Home26 Oct 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.64 | −0.86 |
| M10 | Paris Saint-Germain · Away2 Nov 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.59 | −1.45 |
| M11 | Nantes · Home9 Nov 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.00 | −0.44 |
| M12 | Marseille · Home23 Nov 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.53 | −1.97 |
| M13 | Reims · Away29 Nov 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.48 | −0.49 |
| M14 | Montpellier · Home8 Dec 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.75 | +0.26 |
| M15 | Auxerre · Away14 Dec 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.85 | −0.59 |
| M16 | Toulouse · Home5 Jan 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.70 | −2.29 |
| M17 | Le Havre · Away12 Jan 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.94 | −1.35 |
| M18 | Paris Saint-Germain · Home18 Jan 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.98 | −2.34 |
| M19 | Angers · Home26 Jan 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.86 | −1.48 |
| M20 | Montpellier · Away31 Jan 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.19 | −0.28 |
| M21 | Nice · Away8 Feb 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.25 | −1.54 |
| M22 | Strasbourg · Home16 Feb 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.80 | −3.33 |
| M23 | Nantes · Away23 Feb 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.61 | −4.95 |
| M24 | Le Havre · Home1 Mar 2025 | L 3-4 | 0 | −2.25 | −7.19 |
| M25 | Marseille · Away8 Mar 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.34 | −4.86 |
| M26 | Rennes · Home15 Mar 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.31 | −3.55 |
| M27 | Lille · Away30 Mar 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.01 | −4.56 |
| M28 | Saint-Étienne · Home6 Apr 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.99 | −3.57 |
| M29 | Reims · Home11 Apr 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −2.04 | −5.61 |
| M30 | Brest · Away20 Apr 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.74 | −3.87 |
| M31 | Auxerre · Home27 Apr 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −2.05 | −5.92 |
| M32 | Lyon · Away4 May 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.37 | −3.55 |
| M33 | Toulouse · Away10 May 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.18 | −3.73 |
| M34 | Monaco · Home17 May 2025 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.67 | −2.06 |
| Total | 52 | −2.06 | |||