Points
60Points expected by the market
57.63Gap
+2.37Yield
−2.4%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 7 | 18 | +2.09 | +20.4% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 13 | 22 | −2.36 | −13.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 15 | +2.27 | +9.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 5 | +0.38 | −26.2% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 6 | 15 | +1.25 | +16.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 17 | +3.77 | +33.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 5 | +0.49 | −21.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −0.90 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.84 | +47.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 5 | −6.13 | −68.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 10 | +1.78 | +24.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 5 | +1.28 | −7.8% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Reims · Away17 Aug 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.58 | +1.58 |
| M2 | Angers · Home24 Aug 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.68 | +2.26 |
| M3 | Paris Saint-Germain · Home1 Sep 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.90 | +1.36 |
| M4 | Saint-Étienne · Away13 Sep 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.93 | −0.57 |
| M5 | Strasbourg · Home21 Sep 2024 | D 3-3 | 1 | −1.05 | −1.63 |
| M6 | Le Havre · Away28 Sep 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.22 | −0.40 |
| M7 | Toulouse · Home5 Oct 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.14 | +0.73 |
| M8 | Monaco · Away18 Oct 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.07 | +0.66 |
| M9 | Lens · Away26 Oct 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.93 | +2.60 |
| M10 | Lyon · Home1 Nov 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.54 | +2.05 |
| M11 | Nice · Away10 Nov 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.19 | +1.86 |
| M12 | Rennes · Home24 Nov 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.20 | +3.06 |
| M13 | Montpellier · Away1 Dec 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.85 | +2.21 |
| M14 | Brest · Home6 Dec 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.02 | +3.23 |
| M15 | Marseille · Away14 Dec 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.08 | +3.15 |
| M16 | Nantes · Home4 Jan 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.11 | +2.04 |
| M17 | Auxerre · Away10 Jan 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.89 | +1.15 |
| M18 | Nice · Home17 Jan 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.28 | +2.43 |
| M19 | Strasbourg · Away25 Jan 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.46 | +0.96 |
| M20 | Saint-Étienne · Home1 Feb 2025 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.86 | +1.82 |
| M21 | Le Havre · Home8 Feb 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.48 | −0.65 |
| M22 | Rennes · Away16 Feb 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.57 | +0.92 |
| M23 | Monaco · Home22 Feb 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.51 | +2.43 |
| M24 | Paris Saint-Germain · Away1 Mar 2025 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.51 | +1.92 |
| M25 | Montpellier · Home8 Mar 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.77 | +2.69 |
| M26 | Nantes · Away15 Mar 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.74 | +0.95 |
| M27 | Lens · Home30 Mar 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.29 | +2.25 |
| M28 | Lyon · Away5 Apr 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.21 | +1.04 |
| M29 | Toulouse · Away12 Apr 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.50 | +2.54 |
| M30 | Auxerre · Home20 Apr 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.70 | +3.24 |
| M31 | Angers · Away27 Apr 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.84 | +4.07 |
| M32 | Marseille · Home4 May 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.48 | +3.59 |
| M33 | Brest · Away10 May 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.93 | +1.66 |
| M34 | Reims · Home17 May 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.71 | +2.37 |
| Total | 60 | +2.37 | |||